Currency devaluation
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BTGD: The Financial Repression Regime
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-21 21:03
Currency devaluation is a phenomenon that affects all investors and forces us to invest our savings in products that outperform inflation. To this end, we will analyze the STKd 100% Bitcoin & 100% Gold ETF ( BTGD ).Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other tha ...
Ray Dalio Warns All Fiat Currencies Are In 'Trouble,' Says 'Money Is Debt' and Predicts a Major Devaluation Cycle - Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ), SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY)
Benzinga· 2025-12-30 11:15
Core Viewpoint - Billionaire investor Ray Dalio warns that all major fiat currencies are "in trouble" due to unsustainable debt levels, predicting significant currency devaluation similar to historical periods in the 1930s and 1970s [1][2]. Currency Devaluation Mechanics - Dalio emphasizes that "money is debt," explaining that fiat currency represents a promise to receive payment. As governments accumulate unsustainable debt, such as the United States' $38 trillion, they are compelled to devalue their currency to manage these liabilities [2][3]. - Developed nations are trapped in a cycle where raising taxes or cutting spending sufficiently to balance budgets could lead to social unrest, leading policymakers to print more money, which dilutes currency value [3]. Structural Economic Challenges - This issue is not limited to the U.S.; similar dynamics are observed in the UK and France, where the political cost of austerity is deemed too high. The UK's instability, evidenced by the turnover of four prime ministers in five years, highlights the economic pressures faced [4]. Shift to Gold - As confidence in fiat currencies diminishes, central banks are increasingly selling debt-based assets and purchasing gold, which Dalio describes as the "oldest money" and a non-liability asset. This shift is seen as a defensive strategy against impending devaluation of paper money [6]. - The U.S. Dollar Index Spot has decreased by 9.63% year-to-date, while Gold Spot has reached $4,550.11 per ounce, marking a 67.25% increase over the year [7]. ETF Performance - Performance data for dollar ETFs shows varied results, with the Invesco DB U.S. Dollar Index Bullish Fund down 9.07% year-to-date, while the Invesco DB U.S. Dollar Index Bearish Fund has gained 10.25% [8].
X @The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal· 2025-12-15 23:32
Argentina’s central bank said it would allow the peso to move more freely, responding to investors who have demanded President Javier Milei’s government correct an overvalued currency. https://t.co/HcZWJGKfNi ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-03 03:41
JUST IN: India’s rupee falls to a fresh record low of 90 per US dollar https://t.co/q3K6aOvUVI ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-11-19 00:40
Taiwan’s secret economic weapon? A deliberately weak currency. It’s made the island’s exports dominate globally—but left everyday Taiwanese paying the price at home https://t.co/lQx853URS7 ...
X @Nick Szabo
Nick Szabo· 2025-11-14 19:15
RT Orange Effect (@maxpeaceofmind)$111T in obligations can’t be repaid honestly-it’ll be repaid in weaker currency.That’s the quiet confiscation nobody notices until it’s too late.Low-dilution, trust-minimized assets; held privately, outside the system are the only antidote. ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-13 01:20
The South Korean won is approaching its weakest level since 2009, adding pressure to the central bank to protect the currency https://t.co/qB84jPUY0Z ...
Berkshire worries grow as Buffett's CEO handover nears
CNBC· 2025-11-01 11:05
Core Insights - Concerns are rising among investors regarding the upcoming transition of CEO from Warren Buffett to Greg Abel at Berkshire Hathaway, with a notable decline in stock performance since the announcement [1][3][5] Stock Performance - Berkshire's B shares reached an all-time high of nearly $540 on May 2, outperforming the S&P 500 by 22.4 percentage points for the year, but have since fallen behind by 10.9 percentage points [2] - The B shares have dropped 11.5% since Buffett's announcement, with a recent closing high of almost $507 on September 4 [3] - Analysts at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods downgraded Berkshire's A shares from "market perform" to "underperform," lowering the price target from $740,000 to $700,000 [3] Analyst Concerns - Analysts express worries about GEICO's underwriting margins, declining reinsurance rates, and tariff pressures, attributing recent underperformance to Buffett's announcement [4] - The report highlights Berkshire's "historically unique succession risk," indicating that the lack of Buffett's presence may deter investors due to inadequate disclosure practices [5] Market Sentiment - There is a divide in market sentiment, with some investors maintaining confidence in Greg Abel, while others believe Berkshire was overvalued prior to Buffett's announcement [7][9] - Despite the transition, some analysts argue that Berkshire's operating companies will continue to generate significant cash flow [10] DaVita Stake Adjustment - Berkshire Hathaway sold 401,514 shares of DaVita for $54 million to maintain its stake at 45% following a decline in DaVita's stock price due to disappointing earnings [11][12] - The sale aligns with a previous agreement to keep its stake below 45% as DaVita's buybacks reduced outstanding shares [12][13]
Wall Street Lunch: Gold Glitters As Investors Run Towards Safe Heaven Assets
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-07 19:22
Gold Market Insights - Gold futures have surpassed $4,000/oz for the first time, with spot gold reaching an intraday high of $3,990.65 [3] - The rally in gold prices is attributed to inflation and currency devaluation risks in the U.S. and other major economies, as noted by Daniel Altman [4] - Gold has increased over 50% this year, driven by investor demand for safe-haven assets amid new tariffs and concerns about central bank independence [5] - Goldman Sachs has raised its gold price target for the end of next year to $4,900 from $4,300, indicating that ETF inflows and central bank purchases are likely to continue [5] Ford Motor Company - Ford shares have declined following a fire at a New York plant that supplies 40% of the auto industry's aluminum sheet, leading to an estimated $800 million hit to EBIT [6][7] - The F-Series pickup, a major product for Ford, is one of the largest consumers of aluminum in the auto industry [7] Trilogy Metals - Trilogy Metals' stock has surged over 200% after South32 agreed to sell approximately $17.8 million worth of shares to the U.S. Department of Defense, resulting in a 10% stake for Washington in the Canadian exploration company [7] Dell Technologies - Dell has raised its long-term financial targets, now expecting annual revenue growth between 7% and 9%, up from a previous estimate of 3% to 4% [8] Employment Data Insights - Carlyle Group estimates that the U.S. added 17,000 jobs in September, similar to the official August nonfarm payrolls number of 22,000, based on its global portfolio [9] - Alternative indicators of employment have been criticized for leading to larger forecasting errors, according to economist Samual Tombs [9] Consumer Expectations - Consumers have raised their inflation expectations for both short- and long-term horizons in September, while their views on the labor market have weakened [10] Market Conditions - Current market conditions are likened to those of 1999, with investor Paul Tudor Jones suggesting that leverage metrics are higher than before the dot-com bubble [13]
X @THE HUNTER ✴️
GEM HUNTER 💎· 2025-10-06 15:28
Currency Value - US dollar has lost over 10% of its value this year [1]