India's external balance and government finances could be hit if oil prices stay high foran extended period, economists have said, as the Iran war pushesup oil import ​costs and the subsidies needed to keep keycommodities affordable.India is considered to be among the most ‌vulnerable to aglobal oil shock as it imports nearly 90% of its ​cruderequirements and about 50% of its gas requirements. Over half ofits crude ⁠is from the Middle East, where export flows have beendisrupted by the U.S.-Israeli war on Ir ...

Core Viewpoint - India's external balance and government finances are at risk due to high oil prices driven by the ongoing conflict in Iran, which could lead to increased oil import costs and necessary subsidies for key commodities [1][3]. Current Account Deficit - India is highly vulnerable to global oil shocks, importing nearly 90% of its crude and about 50% of its gas, with current oil stocks sufficient for only 20 to 25 days [2]. - An average oil price of $100 per barrel could widen India's current account deficit to 1.9%-2.2% of GDP for the 2026/27 financial year, up from a projected 0.7%-0.8% [4]. Fiscal Deficit - The federal government's annual expenditure may increase by 3.6 trillion rupees ($39 billion) if oil prices average $100 per barrel, with total estimated expenditure for the next financial year at 53.5 trillion rupees [5]. - Fertilizer subsidies could rise by 200 billion rupees, and the government may need to compensate oil marketing companies to keep retail fuel prices low [6]. Growth and Inflation Impact - India's economy is projected to grow over 7% in the next financial year, but if oil prices remain around $100 per barrel, GDP growth could decline to 6.6% and inflation could rise to 4.1% [8]. - If oil prices average $130 per barrel, GDP growth could drop further to 6% [8].

Welcome back. China is reportedly advising banks in the country to limit exposure to US treasuries and a sign that the US assets could be less appealing on the global stage. But our next guest just published an op-ed in the Financial Times arguing that while foreign investors have been bashing many US policies, they're still pouring money into American assets.Joining us now is Rockefeller International Chairman Rier Sharma. Obviously, it's topical with this with this report RI that that China's telling bank ...

Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced a decline, with the Nasdaq Composite falling over 350 points, the Dow down 0.55% to 48,922.97, the NASDAQ down 1.58% to 23,335.70, and the S&P 500 down 1.06% to 6,889.76 [1] - Energy shares increased by 2%, while information technology stocks decreased by 1.3% [1] Retail Sales and Economic Indicators - U.S. retail sales rose by 0.6% month-over-month in November, marking the largest increase since July, compared to a revised 0.1% drop in October [2][10] - The U.S. current account deficit decreased by 9.2% to $226.4 billion in Q3, against market expectations of a $238 billion gap [10] - U.S. producer prices increased by 0.2% month-over-month in November, consistent with market expectations [10] Commodity Market - Oil prices rose by 1.3% to $61.97, gold increased by 0.5% to $4,622.10, silver surged by 4.8% to $90.560, and copper rose by 0.3% to $6.0345 [5] European and Asian Markets - European shares were mostly higher, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 up 0.19%, Spain's IBEX 35 up 0.43%, London's FTSE 100 up 0.28%, Germany's DAX down 0.40%, and France's CAC 40 up 0.10% [6] - Asian markets closed mixed, with Japan's Nikkei up 1.48%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index up 0.56%, China's Shanghai Composite down 0.31%, and India's BSE Sensex down 0.29% [7] Company-Specific Movements - High Roller Technologies, Inc. shares surged by 289% to $13.64 after announcing a partnership with Crypto.com [9] - Clover Health Investments Corp shares rose by 10% to $2.78 following a year-over-year increase in membership growth [9] - Inspire Veterinary Partners Inc shares increased by 78% to $0.041 after filing to increase its authorized common stock [9] - Briacell Therapeutics Corp shares fell by 53% to $5.09 after pricing a public offering at $5.59 per unit [9] - Plus Therapeutics Inc shares dropped by 39% to $0.29 after announcing a public offering priced at $0.38 per unit [9] - Hub Cyber Security Ltd shares decreased by 39% to $0.33 following a reverse stock split announcement [9]

Core Insights - The U.S. current account deficit narrowed significantly in Q3 2023, decreasing by $22.8 billion, or 9.2%, to $226.4 billion, marking the lowest level since Q3 2023 [1][2] Group 1: Current Account Deficit - The current account deficit represented 2.9% of GDP, the smallest since Q1 2020, down from 3.3% in Q2 2023 [2] - The deficit peaked at 6.3% in Q3 2006, indicating a long-term trend of improvement in the current account balance [2] Group 2: Trade Dynamics - Imports of goods decreased by $5.0 billion to $815.4 billion, primarily due to a decline in consumer goods, while nonmonetary gold imports increased [3] - Goods exports fell by $1.9 billion to $548.0 billion, affected by nonmonetary gold, although exports of capital and consumer goods rose [3] - Exports of services increased by $11.7 billion to $314.2 billion, contributing positively to the current account [3] Group 3: Income Flows - Receipts of primary income rose by $16.3 billion to $395.2 billion, driven by an increase in direct investment income [4] - Payments of primary income advanced by $5.3 billion to $390.0 billion, indicating a rise in outflows [4] - Receipts of secondary income decreased by $2.0 billion to $44.4 billion, while payments declined by $2.1 billion to $97.9 billion due to reduced government transfers [4]

Market Overview - U.S. stocks traded lower, with the Nasdaq Composite falling more than 100 points on Wednesday, while the Dow decreased by 0.21% to 49,090.31, the NASDAQ declined 0.67% to 23,551.77, and the S&P 500 dropped 0.47% to 6,931.31 [1] - Energy shares gained by 0.9%, while consumer discretionary stocks dipped by 0.9% [1] Company Earnings - Bank of America Corp reported a net income of $7.6 billion for Q4 fiscal 2025, down from $6.80 billion a year ago, with an EPS of 98 cents, beating the analyst consensus estimate of 96 cents [2] - Revenue increased by 7% year-over-year to $28.532 billion, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $27.944 billion [2] Commodity Prices - Oil traded up 1% to $61.73, gold increased by 1% to $4,643.70, silver rose by 5.8% to $91.365, and copper gained 0.5% to $6.0450 [5] Global Market Performance - European shares were mostly higher, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 rising 0.1%, Spain's IBEX 35 Index up 0.4%, London's FTSE 100 gaining 0.3%, Germany's DAX falling 0.5%, and France's CAC 40 rising 0.1% [6] - Asian markets closed mixed, with Japan's Nikkei surging 1.48%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index gaining 0.56%, while China's Shanghai Composite fell 0.31% and India's BSE Sensex decreased by 0.29% [7] Stock Movements - High Roller Technologies, Inc. shares surged 322% to $14.65 after announcing a partnership with Crypto.com [8] - Lottery.com Inc shares increased by 87% to $0.96, while Inspire Veterinary Partners Inc shares rose by 99% to $0.046 following an increase in authorized common stock [8] - Briacell Therapeutics Corp shares dropped 53% to $5.11 after pricing a $30 million public offering at $5.59 per unit [8] - Plus Therapeutics Inc shares fell 41% to $0.28 after announcing a $15 million public offering at $0.38 per unit [8] - Hub Cyber Security Ltd shares decreased by 40% to $0.32 after announcing a reverse stock split [8]

India’s current account deficit widened in the July–to-September quarter as US President Donald Trump’s 50% tariff hurt the country’s exports https://t.co/xwYOaW8FZE ...

Market Sentiment - The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed a decline in overall market sentiment, remaining in the "Greed" zone with a reading of 61.7, down from 62.3 [5] - U.S. stocks settled lower, with the Nasdaq Composite falling more than 200 points and the S&P 500 ending a three-day winning streak [1] Economic Indicators - The S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI slowed to 53.6 in September from 54.6 in August, indicating softer growth in services and manufacturing [2] - The U.S. current account deficit decreased by 42.9% to $251.3 billion in the second quarter [2] Sector Performance - Most sectors on the S&P 500 closed positively, with energy, real estate, and utilities stocks showing the biggest gains [3] - Information technology and consumer discretionary stocks closed lower, bucking the overall market trend [3] Company Earnings - Investors are awaiting earnings results from Cintas Corp., Thor Industries Inc., and KB Home [4]

New Zealand’s current account deficit has narrowed dramatically after a downward revision to imports because of more low-value parcels arriving from e-commerce retailers like Temu. https://t.co/tMUKd7fezC ...

South Africa’s current account deficit widened by more than expected in the second quarter https://t.co/wEULN6CCYc ...