DDR5内存渗透率提升
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聚辰股份(688123):2025年三季报点评:DDR5 SPD等高附加值业务高增,汽车存储芯片组合优势显著
Huachuang Securities· 2025-10-30 08:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [22]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 358 million yuan for Q3 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 40.70% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 14.07%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 115 million yuan, up 67.69% year-over-year and 8.55% quarter-over-quarter [1]. - The growth in high-value-added businesses such as DDR5 SPD and automotive storage chips has significantly contributed to the company's revenue expansion and profitability enhancement, effectively offsetting declines in traditional business segments [7]. - The company is positioned as the only domestic supplier capable of providing mature and serialized automotive EEPROM chips, with successful market penetration into leading automotive electronic Tier 1 suppliers [7]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve total revenue of 1.369 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of 33.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 467 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 61.0% [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 1.83 yuan in 2024 to 2.95 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 91 to 56 over the same period [3]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 59.03%, an increase of 3.86 percentage points year-over-year, while the net margin stood at 31.33%, up 5.15 percentage points year-over-year [7]. Market Position and Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing recovery in the global semiconductor market, particularly from the increasing penetration of DDR5 memory and the domestic substitution trend in automotive EEPROM [7]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 195.77 yuan, based on a valuation of 50 times the projected earnings for 2026 [7].