ASML Holding NV Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: ASML Holding NV (ASML.AS) - **Industry**: European Semiconductors - **Market Cap**: €457,030 million - **Current Share Price**: €1,149.40 (as of January 15, 2026) - **Price Target**: Raised from €1,000 to €1,400 Key Points 1. Earnings Growth Expectations - **2027 Earnings Growth**: Projected to be the highest with expectations of €46.8 billion in sales and an EPS of approximately €45.7, indicating a 57% year-over-year growth [3][7] - **Sales Breakdown**: Anticipated sales include around €15 billion from DUV tools and €9.9 billion from IBM, with revenue recognition for approximately 6 High NA systems contributing an additional €2-3 billion [3][14] 2. Demand and Capacity Insights - **Foundry and Memory Capex**: Increased capex expected in 2027 for foundry and memory sectors, driven by strong demand from companies like TSMC and Samsung [3][7] - **China Demand**: Better than feared demand from China, with expectations for sales to remain flat year-over-year instead of the previously anticipated decline of 15-20% [21][7] 3. Market Dynamics - **DRAM Pricing**: Strong pricing in DRAM driven by server CPU demand and AI-related needs, with expectations for continued high prices leading to a significant capacity build-out in 2026-27 [19][7] - **EUV Tool Shipments**: Anticipated shipments of approximately 80 EUV tools in 2027, with TSMC expected to ramp up capacity earlier than previously assumed [3][15] 4. Financial Projections - **2026 Financials**: Projected sales of €36.5 billion for FY26, with a 12% year-over-year growth expected [28][7] - **Operating Income**: Expected to reach €19.7 billion in 2027, with a gross margin of approximately 56.2% [14][7] 5. Risks and Challenges - **Potential Risks**: Risks include a sudden inventory digestion phase in AI and a near-term peak in DRAM pricing, which could impact future earnings [7][19] 6. Upcoming Earnings Report - **4Q25 Earnings**: Scheduled for January 28, 2026, with expectations for a stronger order intake of €7.27 billion compared to €5.40 billion in Q3 [24][30] 7. Analyst Ratings - **Stock Rating**: Overweight, with ASML being a top pick in the semiconductor sector [5][7] 8. Historical Context - **Historical Performance**: The company has shown consistent growth, with significant increases in revenue and EPS over the past years, reflecting strong market positioning and demand for its products [31][7] Conclusion ASML Holding NV is positioned for significant growth in 2027, driven by increased demand in the semiconductor industry, particularly in foundry and memory sectors. The company is expected to benefit from strong pricing in DRAM and a favorable demand outlook from China, despite potential risks that could impact its performance. The upcoming earnings report will provide further insights into the company's order intake and financial health.