Core Thesis - Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. (HPP) presents a unique investment opportunity due to a significant disconnect between its intrinsic asset value and current market pricing, driven by a stressed capital structure [2][4]. Financial Overview - HPP's share price was $9.49 as of January 14th, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 159.93 and 6.32 respectively [1]. - The company owns approximately $6.3 billion in net real estate and $1.2 billion in land at cost, while the market values its equity at roughly $0.8 billion, indicating a price-to-book ratio of 0.25× pre-reverse split [2]. - Q3 2025 results showed total revenue declined to $186.6 million from $200.4 million year-over-year, same-store cash NOI fell to $89.3 million from $100 million, and a net loss attributable to common shareholders was $136.5 million, or $0.30 per share [2]. Capital Structure - HPP maintains total assets of $7.8 billion, equity of $3.4 billion, and debt of approximately $3.9–4.0 billion, with net debt of $3.7–3.8 billion [3]. - The company has $200 million in working capital and $1.0 billion in liquidity, with 100% of its debt being fixed or capped and no maturities until H2 2026 [3]. - A recent $600 million equity raise and a 1-for-7 reverse stock split have been completed, indicating efforts to stabilize the financial position [3]. Investment Potential - The disconnect between book value and market valuation suggests a deep-value opportunity if the capital structure can withstand the next year [3]. - Key hidden assets include a $1.65 billion studio joint venture with Blackstone, land held at historical cost with potential upside, and development rights that offer optionality [3]. - Despite challenges in the West Coast office cycle, studios and development platforms provide long-term optionality, and multiple catalysts such as SOTP recognition and potential upside in undervalued assets make HPP a compelling investment case for long-term investors [4]. Market Sentiment - HPP's stock price has appreciated by approximately 80.76% since a bearish thesis was published in September 2024, attributed to recapitalization efforts and recognition of hidden value [5]. - A contrarian view emphasizes the optionality in creative offices, Hollywood studios, and land assets as key drivers for potential upside [5].

Core Thesis - Harley-Davidson, Inc. is viewed as a deep-value investment opportunity, trading below tangible book value, indicating that the market assigns little value to its strong brand presence in the motorcycle industry [2][3]. Company Overview - Founded in 1903, Harley-Davidson is a key player in American motorcycling culture, known for its strong brand loyalty [3]. - The company's stock is currently trading at $21.25, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 5.09 and 6.76 respectively [1]. Valuation Insights - The current market valuation suggests that Harley-Davidson's intangible assets, including its brand and financing arm, are being valued at nearly zero, reflecting investor pessimism rather than the company's intrinsic worth [3]. - A sum-of-the-parts analysis indicates that the intrinsic value of Harley-Davidson could approach the low-$30s per share, suggesting a potential upside of over 50% [7]. Challenges Faced - The company's valuation discount is attributed to both self-inflicted challenges, such as past management decisions and a shift in focus towards younger demographics, and external macroeconomic pressures like high interest rates and weak consumer sentiment [4][5]. - Recent leadership changes are aimed at refocusing on core operations and profitability, which may help address these challenges [5]. Strategic Moves - Harley-Davidson's decision to sell a 10% stake in Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS) has raised investor concerns, but this move is seen as a way to de-risk the business while maintaining operational control [6]. - The transaction, which transfers $4 billion of loans off the balance sheet, is expected to bring in institutional investors like KKR and PIMCO, validating the value of HDFS [6].

Core Viewpoint - Devon Energy Corporation is a significant player in the oil and gas industry, focusing on exploration, development, and production, particularly in natural gas, with a strong emphasis on capital management and strategic positioning [1][3][6] Financial Performance - The current stock price of Devon Energy is $37.55, reflecting a decrease of approximately 2.25% today, with fluctuations between $37.32 and $38.16 during the trading day [5] - Over the past year, the stock has experienced volatility, reaching a high of $38.88 and a low of $25.89 [5] - The company has a market capitalization of approximately $24 billion, indicating its substantial presence in the industry [4] Investment Outlook - Josh Silverstein from UBS has set a price target of $46 for Devon Energy, suggesting a potential upside of about 22.52% from its current price [2][6] - Devon Energy is viewed as a deep-value buy due to its discounted valuations compared to peers, supported by strong fundamentals and strategic market positioning [3][6] Capital Management - The company demonstrates capital efficiency with a healthier balance sheet and reduced capital expenditure intensity, particularly in natural gas production [3][6] - Despite suspending variable dividends, Devon Energy offers a modest forward yield of 2.56%, with robust shareholder returns supported by share buybacks [4]

Core Viewpoint - 1847 Holdings LLC announced a favorable development in a pending civil lawsuit, with the court dismissing the plaintiff's first amended complaint without prejudice, allowing for a potential re-filing by the plaintiff [1][2][3]. Legal Proceedings - The court dismissed the plaintiff's first amended complaint, which alleged violations of RICO and other fraud-related claims, citing that the complaint was excessively lengthy and not in compliance with the required legal standards [2][3]. - The plaintiff is permitted to file an amended complaint, limited to 40 pages, by November 24, 2025 [2]. Company Background - 1847 Holdings LLC is a diversified acquisition holding company focused on identifying undervalued investment opportunities in middle market businesses [4]. - The company aims to acquire businesses at reasonable multiples of cash flow, improve their operations, and potentially sell or IPO them at higher valuations [4].