🚨 CRYPTO: BITCOIN IS OUTPERFORMING GOLD IN THE POST-FOMC SELLOFFBTC-gold ratio climbing to ~15 oz of gold per 1 BTC, up ~1% in 24 hours. Bitcoin falling less aggressively than gold despite the same macro headwinds.$BTC holding ~$69K-$71K. Gold dropping harder at ~$4,800-$4,900/oz. BTC-gold correlation has flipped negative in rolling windows.Powell flagged sticky inflation and delayed cuts. Oil past $100 on Iran tensions. Both should favor gold. Instead, BTC is holding up better.Institutional ETF inflows, co ...

RT Mr hunter (@TrueGemHunter)BITCOIN to 100K or BITCOIN to 50K?During geopolitical crises crypto usually moves in two opposite ways.Sometimes it dumps with stocks because traders cut risk everywhere.Other times Bitcoin becomes a digital safe haven and money flows in when traditional markets look shaky.Right now it is unclear.BTC pumped to 73K but retraced fast.If Bitcoin really acts like digital gold during a major crisis we could see a fast move to new ATH.Expect sharp swings. Liquidity will decide everyth ...

Imagine waking up to find that the fundamental rule of Bitcoin was about to be completely rewritten. Imagine a handful of developers altering the blockchain's history to recover billions in lost funds. It sounds like a dystopian nightmare. >> Dystopian nightmare >> concocted by a central bank.But on the 27th of February, this exact scenario was proposed for the world's largest cryptocurrency. It threatened to shatter the illusion of absolute immutability and split the entire network in two. Wow.My name is L ...

Gold doing exactly what it’s supposed to do in times of war. Digital gold on the other hand… 😭 https://t.co/K5uTfQ54GY ...

RT perry (@perry8888_)Tokenized gold has grown ~5x since early 2025. Now at ~$8BWintermute just launched institutional trading for it, forecasting $15B by end of 2026Bitcoin was supposed to be digital gold. Turns out institutions might just want… gold ...

Core Insights - The World Uncertainty Index (WUI) has reached an all-time high, surpassing levels seen during significant historical events such as the September 11 attacks, the Iraq War, the global financial crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic [1][3] Economic Indicators - The WUI measures uncertainty by counting the frequency of the word "uncertainty" in country reports from the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), indicating that higher mentions correlate with a higher uncertainty index [2] - Increased uncertainty typically leads to reduced investment, slower economic growth, and heightened financial volatility [3] Market Performance - Despite the record high in the WUI, major market indicators like the NASDAQ Composite, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500 are achieving new record highs, suggesting a disconnect between market performance and perceived uncertainty [4] - The U.S. dollar index is at its lowest point around 95, indicating a loss of confidence in the fiat currency, which has prompted traders to invest in precious metals [5] Precious Metals and Bitcoin - Gold and silver have reached new record prices, with gold surpassing $5,500 per ounce and silver exceeding $100 per ounce, as investors seek safe-haven assets amid dollar debasement [5] - Bitcoin has not capitalized on the dollar debasement trend recently, despite being viewed by some as "digital gold" and a hedge against inflation [6][9]

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin's recent price movements indicate it is behaving more like a high-growth technology asset rather than a stable store of value, as it has fallen in tandem with tech stocks [1][3] Group 1: Bitcoin's Characteristics - Bitcoin's design features capped supply, independence from governments, and a decentralized network, which provide it with long-term store of value qualities [2] - Despite these qualities, Bitcoin is still in the early stages of its monetary journey compared to gold, which has a much longer history [2] Group 2: Market Behavior and Comparisons - Bitcoin's recent performance has shown it is not acting as a safe haven asset, as it has sharply declined from its highs alongside risk assets [3][4] - In contrast, physical gold has reached record levels, attracting capital inflows while Bitcoin has seen capital exit, indicating Bitcoin's reliability as a value holder during market stress is still in question [4] Group 3: Investment Perspective - Investing in Bitcoin is currently viewed as a bet on its adoption as a global monetary asset, with its price remaining sensitive to risk appetite [5] - Recent market dynamics, including U.S.-led selling pressure and outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, suggest a cooling institutional appetite rather than a crisis of confidence in the network [6][7] Group 4: Future Outlook - Grayscale anticipates a potential recovery driven by regulatory momentum around stablecoins and tokenized assets, along with ongoing innovation in blockchain infrastructure [8]

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin is increasingly behaving like a speculative financial instrument rather than a hedge against inflation or a safe haven asset like gold [2][5][9]. Market Behavior - Historically, Bitcoin would rise when the dollar weakened and when global money supply increased; however, it has recently shown the opposite behavior, declining alongside a weaker dollar [4][5]. - The current market dynamics suggest that Bitcoin is acting more like an overextended tech stock, influenced by liquidity concerns and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy [6][9]. Investment Analysis - The price level of Bitcoin around $38,000 is significant based on historical drawdowns, indicating a potential support level [11]. - The broader market is experiencing pressure on speculative assets like Bitcoin due to unsustainable price multiples and rising interest rates [13]. Economic Context - The current economic environment is characterized by slowing wage growth and weak job creation, leading to concerns about consumer spending power [14][15]. - The market is betting on a cyclical rotation into sectors like industrials and financials, but there are risks associated with this transition, reminiscent of past economic cycles [16].

Market Overview - Bitcoin fell below $70,000, trading at approximately $68,540, marking a 3% decline after a volatile week [1] - The cryptocurrency experienced significant fluctuations, dropping to $60,033 on Thursday, its lowest since October 2024, before rebounding above $70,000 on Friday [1] Market Sentiment - Caroline Mauron from Orbit Markets noted that while crypto markets have stabilized, uncertainty remains, with $60,000 identified as a key support level and $75,000 as a potential breakout point signaling the end of the bear market [2] - The Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility Index surged above 97%, indicating heightened volatility during last week's selloff, the largest intraday increase since the FTX collapse in 2022 [2] Institutional Activity - Despite Bitcoin's decline from a peak of $126,000 in October last year, there is a backdrop of increasing institutional adoption and a crypto-friendly regulatory environment [3] - On February 6, US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds saw inflows of $221 million as investors looked to capitalize on the dip following the market's selloff [3] Technical Analysis - Sean McNulty from FalconX described the current market mood as "guardedly constructive," suggesting that the recent turbulence has eliminated speculative excess and left the market with stronger fundamentals [4] - Analysts indicate that as long as Bitcoin remains above its 200-week moving average of $58,000, there is potential for a rebound towards resistance levels of $73,000 to $75,000 [4] - A move above $75,000 could pave the way for further gains towards $81,000 [5]

Bitcoin was supposed to be the new digital gold, but you know what's been performing really well. Gold. Backers have sold cryptocurrency as the ultimate hedge against the dollar, against inflation, against global instability.And evangelists claimed that once regulatory opponents got out of the way, that Bitcoin would thrive. But even in an environment when crypto should be doing well, where it has friends in the White House and the cabinet and in the regulatory agencies, it isn't. Crypto investors have been ...