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Is FDX's Cheap Valuation Reason Enough to Invest in the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 15:51
Core Insights - FedEx Corporation (FDX) is currently viewed as an attractive investment opportunity due to its low valuation, with a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.61X, which is below the Zacks Transportation—Air Freight and Cargo industry average, the S&P 500, and its competitor United Parcel Service (UPS) [1] Financial Performance - FedEx reported better-than-expected earnings per share and revenues for Q1 of fiscal 2026, driven by cost-cutting measures and strong domestic delivery performance [5] - The company faced a $150 million headwind from the global trade environment and a $130 million headwind from the expiration of a contract with the U.S. Postal Service, yet domestic average daily volumes increased by 5% [7] - Total freight revenues declined by 8% year-over-year, with U.S. freight revenues dropping significantly by 47% [8] - FedEx anticipates revenue growth of 4-6% year-over-year for fiscal 2026, with adjusted earnings per share projected between $17.2 and $19 [8] Stock Performance - Despite the earnings beat, FedEx shares have declined in double digits year-to-date, underperforming compared to GXO Logistics, which has gained over 25% this year [12] - Over the past year, FedEx shares have decreased by 10%, while UPS and GXO Logistics have seen declines of 35.1% and 6.2%, respectively [15] Shareholder Initiatives - FedEx has raised its quarterly dividend by 5.1% to $1.45 per share and repurchased $3 billion worth of shares in fiscal 2025, returning a total of $4.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks [16] Challenges Ahead - The company is facing challenges such as weak international package volumes and economic uncertainty due to tariffs, with expectations of a $1 billion headwind in fiscal 2026 [17]
Unum Group to Benefit From Growing Premium Amid Cost Woes
ZACKS· 2025-09-30 15:30
Core Insights - Unum Group's premiums are benefiting from healthy in-force block growth and higher sales [1] - The company has maintained profitability through conservative pricing and reservation practices, with premium income increasing across its main operating segments [2] - Long-term projections indicate sales growth of 8-12%, premium growth of 4-7%, and adjusted operating earnings per share growth of 8-12% [3] Financial Performance - Unum Group expects improved sales growth in the second half of 2025, with flat sales growth anticipated for the full year [4] - The company projects after-tax adjusted operating earnings per share to be approximately $8.50 in 2025 [4] - Unum Group maintains a strong capital position, with an expected year-end Risk-Based Capital (RBC) ratio of 425% to 450% and holding company liquidity between $2 billion and $2.5 billion [4] Shareholder Value - The board has increased the shareholder dividend by 15%, effective in Q3 2024, marking the 15th dividend hike in the last 14 years [5] - Unum Group plans to complete share repurchases in the range of $500 million to $1 billion by the end of 2025, enhancing its attractiveness for yield-seeking investors [5] Industry Context - Other players in the Accident and Health insurance industry include Aflac, Trupanion, and Globe Life, with varying earnings performance [7][10][11] - Aflac has benefited from strategic growth investments and product enhancements, while Trupanion focuses on the pet insurance market [8][10] - Globe Life is experiencing revenue growth driven by premium increases in its Life and Health Insurance segments [11]
Is Unum Group Stock Worth Buying Post its Recent Dividend Hike
ZACKS· 2025-05-23 18:58
Core Viewpoint - Unum Group has approved a 10% increase in its dividend, making it an attractive option for yield-seeking investors due to its higher dividend yield compared to the industry average [1][2]. Group 1: Dividend and Capital Deployment - The recent dividend hike marks the 16th increase in the last 15 years, with a 10-year CAGR of 10.8% [2]. - The company estimates a dividend payout of $300-$330 million in 2025 [2]. - Unum Group has a strong capital and liquidity position, supported by cash flow generation, which instills confidence in its capital deployment strategy [2][4]. Group 2: Share Buybacks - Unum Group has been actively buying back shares, with a $200 million repurchase in Q1 2025 and plans for at least the same amount in Q2 [3]. - A $1 billion buyback program was approved, starting on April 1, 2025, with expectations to buy back $0.5-$1 billion in shares throughout 2025 [3]. Group 3: Operational Performance - Unum Group is the leading disability income writer and the second-largest writer of voluntary business in the U.S., demonstrating strong operating performance across key insurance segments [5]. - The two primary divisions, Unum U.S. and Colonial Life, have shown ongoing growth in operating income, driven by disciplined sales efforts and increasing premium income [6]. Group 4: Growth Projections - The company forecasts high-single-digit sales growth and 4% to 7% premium growth over the long term, with earnings growth expected between 6% and 10% for 2025 [7]. - Unum Group maintains a robust capital position, with a return on equity of 14.2%, although it lags behind the industry average of 15.5% [7]. Group 5: Stock Performance and Valuation - Shares of Unum Group have gained 6.5%, outperforming the industry growth of 2% and the sector's return of 3.9% [8]. - The current price-to-book multiple is 1.24, above its five-year median of 0.87, indicating that the shares are relatively expensive [9]. - Compared to other insurers like Prudential Financial Inc and Lincoln National Corporation, Unum Group shares are also considered expensive [10]. Group 6: Analyst Sentiment - The Zacks average price target for Unum Group is $92.36 per share, suggesting a potential 16% upside from the last closing price [12]. - However, the consensus estimates for 2025 and 2026 earnings have seen slight declines of 0.7% and 0.6%, reflecting analysts' muted sentiment [12].
RDN Boosts Shareholder Value, Okays Buyback Program Worth $750M
ZACKS· 2025-05-22 13:40
Core Viewpoint - Radian Group Inc. has authorized a new $750 million share buyback program, reflecting confidence in its financial strength and capital flexibility, while also increasing its quarterly dividend by 4.1% [1][4][3]. Group 1: Share Buyback Program - The board of directors has approved a new share repurchase program of $750 million, which will expire on December 31, 2027, bringing the total repurchase authority to approximately $863 million [1][2]. - Since 2020, Radian Group has repurchased 74 million shares for $1.8 billion, representing over 36% of shares outstanding as of January 1, 2020 [2][3]. - As of March 31, 2025, Radian repurchased shares for $207 million, with $336 million remaining under the current program [3]. Group 2: Dividend Increase - The board has approved a quarterly dividend of 25.5 cents per share, to be paid on June 17, 2025, to stockholders of record as of June 2 [4]. - This marks the sixth consecutive year of dividend increases, with the dividend more than doubling over the past five years and a six-year CAGR of 13% [4]. - Radian's current dividend yield stands at 3.1%, surpassing the industry average of 2.5%, making it attractive for yield-seeking investors [4]. Group 3: Financial Position and Growth - Radian Group maintains a solid balance sheet with sufficient liquidity and strong cash flows, enabling effective capital deployment through share repurchases and dividend hikes [3][5]. - The company is well-positioned to return capital to stockholders while pursuing growth initiatives and delivering innovative products and services [5]. - An improving mortgage insurance portfolio, declining claims, and a solid capital position are expected to contribute to impressive results for the insurer [5]. Group 4: Stock Performance - Radian's stock has gained 4.3% year-to-date, underperforming the industry and sector returns of 5.7%, but outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite growth of 0.2% [6][8].
GM's Investor Moves Impress but is it a Buy Amid Tariff Risks?
ZACKS· 2025-02-27 14:40
Core Viewpoint - General Motors (GM) announced a 25% increase in dividends and a $6 billion share buyback program, which positively impacted its stock price, rising 3.75% [1][2] Dividend and Buyback Details - The new dividend will be 15 cents per share, up from 12 cents, effective with the next payout in April 2025, aligning GM with Ford [3] - The $6 billion buyback plan includes a $2 billion accelerated share repurchase (ASR) to be completed by Q2 2025, leaving $4.3 billion for future buybacks [3] Financial Performance - GM generated $14 billion in adjusted auto free cash flow last year and returned nearly $7.6 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks [4] - The company reduced outstanding shares below 1 billion, closing 2024 with 995 million shares, and has $35.5 billion in total automotive liquidity, including $21.7 billion in cash [4] Tariff Preparedness - GM is the largest U.S. automaker importing from Mexico, with around 750,000 vehicles shipped from Mexico and Canada in 2024 [5] - The company has proactively cut international inventory by over 30% to mitigate risks associated with the impending 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada [5][6] - GM's CFO stated that the company has been preparing for tariff impacts since November and has strategies in place to adjust to the changing trade environment [5][6] Market Position and Outlook - GM maintained its position as the top-selling automaker in the U.S. in 2024, with a market share increase of 30 basis points to 16.5% [8] - The company achieved its $2 billion net-fixed cost-reduction goal, enhancing profitability and raising its 2025 earnings outlook to $11-$12 per share, up from $10.60 in 2024 [8][9] Electric Vehicle (EV) Performance - GM's U.S. EV sales reached 114,000 units in 2024, a 50% increase from 2023, with the EV portfolio becoming profitable at the variable level in Q4 2024 [10] - The company expects EV losses to shrink by $2 billion this year due to improved production scaling and lower material costs [10] China Market Restructuring - GM's restructuring efforts in China are yielding positive results, with a 40% sequential increase in deliveries in Q4 2024, aiming for profitability in its China business this year [11] Valuation and Analyst Sentiment - GM stock is considered undervalued, trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 4.21, significantly lower than industry peers [12] - Analysts have a bullish outlook on GM, with an average price target of $58.09, indicating approximately 20% upside potential [15]