As the U.S. government shutdown suspends Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data releases, including the critical September jobs report scheduled for Friday, the Chicago Fed has stepped in with a final real-time forecast, predicting a steady unemployment rate of 4.34% for September 2025, based on 11 job market indicators.However, private data sources paint a concerning picture, signaling a “low fire, low hire, low gear” labor market with weak holiday hiring plans that could impact payrolls through year-end.Ch ...