Earned wage access
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Lake Street Raises Dave Inc Price Target as Credit Trends and Monetization Improve
Financial Modeling Prepยท 2025-12-25 21:59
Core Viewpoint - Lake Street Capital Markets raised its price target on Dave Inc. to $308 from $263 while maintaining a Buy rating, citing improving fundamentals despite recent share price volatility [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Reaction - Post-earnings stock volatility mirrored reactions seen in prior quarters, despite the company delivering a strong quarter marked by improving credit performance [2] - The pullback in stock price is viewed as an attractive entry point, supported by declining delinquencies, expansion in net monetization rates, and improving customer acquisition costs per monthly transacting member [2] Group 2: Growth Opportunities - The upcoming launch of Dave's buy-now-pay-later card is highlighted as a significant opportunity to expand into a previously untargeted market segment [3] - The broader consumer macro backdrop supports an expanding addressable market, making the stock attractive ahead of a seasonally stronger fourth quarter for discretionary spending [3] Group 3: Valuation Perspective - Dave's shares are trading at approximately 13x 2026 EBITDA, which is considered inexpensive relative to other earned wage access and BNPL providers, which trade between 10x and 40x, with a median near 24x [4] - The higher price target reflects continued outperformance in key operating metrics and upward revisions to 2026 estimates [4]