Core Insights - Autodesk is set to release its earnings on August 28, 2025, with a historical positive bias in stock performance post-earnings, achieving a positive one-day return in 53% of instances over the past five years [2][7] - Analysts project adjusted earnings of $2.45 per share on revenue of $1.72 billion, an increase from $2.15 per share and $1.5 billion in revenue in the same quarter last year [3] - Autodesk has a market value of $61 billion, generating $6.3 billion in revenue, with an operating profit of $1.4 billion and net income of $1.0 billion over the past twelve months [4] Historical Performance - Over the last five years, Autodesk tracked 19 earnings events, resulting in 10 positive and 9 negative one-day returns, with a median positive return of 1.4% and a median negative return of -6.9% [7] - The likelihood of positive returns improves slightly to 55% when focusing on the last three years [7] Trading Strategies - Event-driven traders can analyze historical odds of positive versus negative moves to establish positions ahead of the earnings announcement [6] - Post-earnings, traders should study the relationship between immediate earnings reactions and medium-term stock performance to inform trading decisions [6][8]

Group 1 - CSX is scheduled to release its earnings on July 23, 2025, with historical data indicating a positive one-day return in 65% of cases following earnings announcements over the past five years, and a median positive return of 2.6% [2][7] - The current consensus forecasts for CSX's upcoming earnings report are $0.41 per share on revenue of $3.57 billion, compared to earnings of $0.49 per share on revenue of $3.7 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - CSX has a current market capitalization of $65 billion, with reported revenues of $14 billion, operating income of $5.1 billion, and a net profit of $3.2 billion over the last twelve months [4] Group 2 - Historical data shows that there have been 20 earnings data points recorded over the last five years, with 13 positive and 7 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 65% rate of positive returns [7] - The median of the 13 positive returns is 2.6%, while the median of the 7 negative returns is -3.2% [7] - A strategy based on historical probabilities suggests establishing a position ahead of the earnings announcement or evaluating the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns post-earnings [6]

Core Insights - Autodesk is set to announce its earnings on May 22, 2025, with historical data indicating a balanced trend in stock performance post-earnings announcements, showing a 50% chance of positive returns and a 50% chance of negative returns [1][7] - Consensus forecasts predict Autodesk will report revenues of $1.61 billion and earnings per share of $2.15 for the upcoming quarter, reflecting an increase from the previous year's revenues of $1.42 billion and earnings per share of $1.87 [2] Financial Performance - Autodesk currently has a market capitalization of $64 billion, with $6.1 billion in revenue, an operating profit of $1.4 billion, and a net income of $1.1 billion over the past twelve months [3] Earnings Reaction History - Over the past five years, Autodesk has recorded 20 earnings data points, with 10 positive and 10 negative one-day returns, indicating a 50% occurrence of positive returns, which increases to 58% when considering the last three years [7] - The median of positive one-day returns is 1.7%, while the median of negative returns is -6.3% [7] Trading Strategies - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical probabilities of positive and negative reactions, as well as post-earnings positioning to analyze immediate market responses and adjust trades accordingly [6] - A strategy involving correlation analysis between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be employed to identify trading opportunities [5][6]