Economic Cycle

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Investopedia· 2025-10-08 14:00
Expansion. Peak. Contraction. Trough.The economy moves in cycles—and investors who recognize the signs can adapt before the next shift.Learn more: https://t.co/W3sjN1XH9F https://t.co/E2cNipLjDg ...
Economic Cycle Spinning in Favor of This ETF
Etftrends· 2025-09-16 12:29
CCNR Has Perks Some sectors are considered defensive, while others fall into the cyclical camp, meaning they're tethered to the economy's performance. Materials is certainly in the latter camp, and that's something to remember when considering ETFs such as the ALPS CoreCommodity Natural Resources ETF (CCNR). For all the talk about the U.S. economy perhaps softening this year — plausible thinking given the state of the jobs market — CCNR has run contrary to that talk, surging more than 28% since the start of ...
【UNFX 课堂】破解外汇市场周期密码从此交易不再迷茫
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 05:02
Core Viewpoint - The foreign exchange market exhibits cyclical patterns driven by economic, policy, seasonal, emotional, and geopolitical factors [11] Group 1: Reasons for Cycles in the Forex Market - Economic cycles directly influence currency strength, with strong economies typically leading to currency appreciation and weak economies to depreciation [2] - Central bank policies, particularly interest rate cycles, are key drivers, with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy often setting the trend for the dollar [2] - Seasonal patterns can cause specific currencies to exhibit regular fluctuations during certain months or quarters [2] - Market sentiment oscillates between greed and fear, impacting the performance of high-risk currencies versus safe-haven currencies [2] - Geopolitical events have their own cycles, affecting related currencies during periods of tension or resolution [2] Group 2: Identifying and Utilizing Forex Cycles - Monitoring central bank policies and economic indicators like GDP and inflation is crucial for understanding macro trends [3] - Technical analysis tools such as moving averages and oscillators can help identify market trends and potential reversal points [4] - Market sentiment can be gauged through the VIX index and CFTC positioning reports, indicating potential shifts in risk appetite [5][6] Group 3: Practical Applications of Cycles - Traders should align their strategies with prevailing cycles, such as capitalizing on the end of a rate hike cycle [7] - Recognizing turning points at the end of cycles can help capture new opportunities as trends shift [8] - Risk management is essential, as cyclical patterns are not foolproof and unexpected events can occur [8] Group 4: Key Reminders for Successful Trading - Cycles serve as a tool rather than a guaranteed method for success, emphasizing the need for continuous learning and system development [16] - Establishing a disciplined approach to trading, including strict adherence to plans and emotional control, is vital for long-term success [10]
Citi's Chronert Says S&P 500 Could Reach 7,000
Bloomberg Television· 2025-07-28 18:29
Market Outlook - The firm had a 6300 target for the S&P, considering it a fair value, but positive sentiment could lead to further gains [1] - The firm's bull case target for the S&P has been 7000 for several months [2] - Achieving the 7000 target requires more confidence in the economic cycle's durability, which hinges on the Federal Reserve easing monetary policy [2] Key Factors - Earnings growth needs to inspire more confidence, addressing concerns from the first half of the year [3] - The continuation of the AI spending and infrastructure playbook theme is critical for the market's short-term and long-term performance [3]