Economic outlook

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X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-07-09 03:20
High youth unemployment and a property slump mean the situation will probably only worsen for millions of people in China https://t.co/EfS5WSmD4U ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-03 06:16
The World Bank expects Thailand’s monetary stance to become “more accommodative” this year amid mounting external and domestic uncertainty https://t.co/El2OGHoyFM ...
ECB Shouldn't Be Complacent About Inflation, Nagel Says
Bloomberg Television· 2025-07-01 07:10
There's a lot going on on inflation, growth, expectations and everything like that. But do you think the ECB is done cutting rates now. Good morning.I believe that I think the current situation that maybe to put it like this, that we are at income borders, that doesn't mean that we shouldn't be too complacent, but we are at our target. And this is really good news. I think when you look back where we started and we hiked ten times, we lowered eight times, now we are close to our target and this is good news ...
CNBC Rapid Update: Tariff effects weigh on outlook
CNBC Television· 2025-06-30 11:38
Stocks have marched higher, but what about the economic outlook. Our senior economics reporter Steve Leeman joins us right now. He's got a rapid update with how things are going.Steve, good morning. Good morning, Becky. Yeah, the economic outlook has brightened a bit, but it's not nearly as rosy as the market looks to be.Most forecasts still see tariff effects weakening growth and driving inflation higher, though both are somewhat less than they were in our prior forecast. the average of 15 forecasts on the ...
Powell Says Fed Positioned to Wait for Tariff Clarity Before Cutting Rates | WSJ News
WSJ News· 2025-06-24 18:10
- Incoming data suggests that the economy remains solid. Following growth of 2.5% last year, GDP was reported to have edged down in the first quarter, reflecting swings in net exports that were driven by businesses bringing in imports ahead of potential tariffs. Surveys of households and businesses, however, reported decline in settlement sentiment in recent months, and elevated uncertainty about the economic outlook, largely reflecting trade policy concerns.It remains to be seen how these developments migh ...
Fed Chair Powell: There was strong support for today’s decision to hold rates steady
CNBC Television· 2025-06-18 19:27
Nick Tamros of the Wall Street Journal. Uh, Cher Pal, I guess I'm wondering if you could explain a little bit more the divergence we see in the dot plot, particularly around the 2025 rate projections. I realize this is uh, you know, you have one group of officials that are putting down no cuts, another that are putting down more than one.Um, and again recognizing that could be difficult to summarize, but is it a matter of people having a different outlook or a different reaction function, a different commit ...
Here’s the next big investing theme in the Trump economy
Yahoo Finance· 2025-06-17 18:38
It could be a pressure cooker of a summer for the US economy, and not because of the warmer weather. Tariffs from the Trump administration don’t appear to be going anywhere anytime soon, forcing businesses to raise prices on consumers and delay key projects. At the same time, the Federal Reserve is in no hurry to cut interest rates amid stagflation fears. Economic data has also begun to weaken, with the latest evidence being the employment readings from the last three months. Yahoo Finance executive editor ...
摩根士丹利:全球经济年中展望-下行风险加剧
摩根· 2025-05-21 06:36
M Global Insight May 20, 2025 06:00 PM GMT Global Economics Mid-Year Outlook Skewed to the Downside Global growth steps down by a percentage point from 2024. US trade policy and the uncertainty it engenders are the main drivers. Central banks have to confront the slowing, but the Fed must wait until inflation ebbs. Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could aff ...
Vatee外汇:欧债收益率普跌,市场信心与经济前景如何?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 11:57
市场影响与未来展望 当地时间5月7日,欧洲债券市场收益率普遍下跌,显示出市场对欧洲经济前景的担忧以及对货币政策的预 期变化。英国10年期国债收益率跌5.5个基点报4.456%,法国10年期国债收益率跌6.4个基点报3.192%,德 国10年期国债收益率跌6.6个基点报2.472%,意大利10年期国债收益率跌7.9个基点报3.546%,西班牙10年 期国债收益率跌6.3个基点报3.127%。这一现象引发了市场的广泛关注,特别是在当前全球经济形势不确定 的背景下,欧洲债券市场的表现对投资者和政策制定者都具有重要意义。 欧债收益率普跌的原因 1. 经济前景的不确定性 欧洲债券收益率的普遍下跌反映了市场对欧洲经济前景的担忧。尽管欧洲经济在逐步复苏,但全球经济形 势的不确定性,特别是贸易政策的变化和地缘政治风险,增加了市场的波动性。投资者对经济增长的可持 续性表示担忧,从而增加了对债券的需求,推动收益率下降。 2. 货币政策的预期变化 市场对欧洲央行货币政策的预期变化也影响了债券收益率。尽管欧洲央行尚未明确表示将调整货币政策, 但市场预期其可能在未来逐步放松货币政策,以应对经济增长的放缓。这种预期导致投资者调整投资组 ...