Market Outlook & Investment Strategy - A weaker dollar generally supports buying assets in foreign currencies, with some expected to outperform others [1] - Emerging markets are typically sensitive to Fed rate hikes; a weaker Fed and benign rate outlook create a favorable environment for growth countries [1][2] - The industry anticipates Europe to deliver surprising EPS (Earnings Per Share) growth [2] - The industry suggests focusing on developed markets, with a mix of 75% developed and 25% emerging markets for investment [5] - The industry believes there's no need to take excessive risk to find strong growth and superior dividend growth opportunities [6] Specific Company & Sector Recommendations - European money center banks and European staples like Imperial and British tobaccos are highlighted as potential investments [2] - Siemens is favored, including for the data center trade [3] - ASML is favored due to strong order book [3][4] - Taiwan Semiconductor is considered a crucial semiconductor company [4][5] Macroeconomic Factors - Above-trend growth coupled with benign Fed dynamics creates a positive backdrop [5] - A 4.3% growth print indicates a strong economic environment [2]

Group 1 - Emerging markets (EM) are expected to perform well next year due to the U.S. Federal Reserve's continued rate cuts and pressure on the U.S. dollar [1] - Stubborn inflation may lead policymakers to maintain tighter monetary conditions for a longer period, which could favor certain sectors [1] Group 2 - The analyst has extensive experience in investment research, covering publicly listed securities primarily in the tech sector [1] - The analyst's investment journey began with mutual funds and evolved to individual stocks and ETFs, emphasizing a focus on capital preservation strategies [1]

Market Focus - Western firms will shift focus to emerging markets due to stalled growth in America and Europe [1] - The majority of growth in the coming years is expected in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa [1]

Market Performance - US stocks and emerging markets have shown strong performance over the last quarter century [1] - One asset has significantly outperformed all others [1] Time Context - The report reflects on market performance as the end of 2025 approaches [1]

Subtle differences in cost, holdings, and risk profiles set these two emerging markets ETFs apart for globally minded investors.Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO +1.07%) and iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (IEMG +1.05%) differ on expense ratio, the number of holdings, and recent performance, with VMO offering broader stock coverage, while IEMG has delivered stronger one-year returns.Both VWO and IEMG are large, highly liquid exchange-traded funds tracking emerging market stocks, aiming to provi ...

Market Outlook - Emerging markets are expected to be a favored trade on Wall Street starting in 2026 [1] - Money managers are betting on a multi-year cycle of investment inflows into emerging markets [1]

Global Markets Strategy December 15th, 2025 Global Macro Outlook and Strategy Global Rates, Commodities, Currencies and Emerging Markets Luis Oganes AC (44-20) 7742-1420 luis.oganes@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities plc See the end pages of this presentation for analyst certification and important disclosures. {[{oW73U7lx7NxxSQt2Lq7YJ5RtKCP_A-B5IJyEVsEYO20btSQwg-epq6yo4g4tdwvSgTdmAchc_FhZyL10}]} Overall summary US Rates Hawkish developments across DM central banks and the end of the Fed's "insurance cut" ...

Market Trends & Investment Themes - The market is experiencing ebbs and flows, with a resurgence in the AI sector [1] - The engagement of the US consumer and the performance of the holiday season are key factors to watch in early January [2] - AI is expected to remain a significant tailwind, contingent on capex investments from companies beyond the technology sector, including industrials and financials [4] - Healthcare sector price cuts may provide a tailwind [4] Small Cap vs Large Cap - Small caps are favored entering the year, particularly if economic growth strengthens, rates decrease, and liquidity is infused around tax time in April and May, potentially leading to strong performance in the first half of 2026 [5] - The recent rally in small caps has been primarily in lower-quality companies with low or no earnings [5] Interest Rates & Monetary Policy - At least one more interest rate cut is anticipated in the first quarter [6] - The Fed's actions in the second half of the year remain uncertain [6] - The potential for inflation to decrease may lead the Fed to adopt an easier monetary policy in the second half of the year [7] Global Markets - The US market continues to show significant strength [8] - Optimism surrounds the Japanese market, making developed markets excluding the US (Developed XUS) attractive [8] - Emerging markets (EM) are becoming more appealing, despite concerns about the Chinese consumer and real estate [8][9] - Korea is seen as offering opportunities in the next phase of the AI trade [9] - When considering EM exposure, diversification beyond China is recommended [10]

Navigating their way through a volatile geopolitical backdrop and tariff uncertainty, emerging markets delivered robust gains in 2025, with stocks rising roughly 26%, per Reuters.Investors, increasingly optimistic that emerging markets will continue with their momentum in 2026, attributed the outperformance to increased diversification flows away from developed markets and reform progress across emerging economies, per the abovementioned Reuters article. According to an HSBC survey, emerging market pessimis ...

Key Takeaways MKTX surpassed $1 trillion in EM trading volume in 2025 across hard and local currency bonds.MKTX now covers the full J.P. Morgan GBI-EM Index after launching electronic trading for IGBs.It posted record EM ADV near $5B, up 16% YoY, driven by growth across multiple trading channels.MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) just revealed a major milestone: it has surpassed $1 trillion in emerging markets (EM) trading volume so far in 2025. This huge figure reflects cumulative activity across both hard c ...