We again see a flattish board ahead of today’s regular market session, with the Dow, S&P 500 and small-cap Russell 2000 all down single-digits at this hour. The tech-heavy Nasdaq is -38 points currently. We expect this narrow range of trading to continue until at least after today’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision on monetary policy and the subsequent press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell.Widely expected to be the third rate cut of 2025, the market has already priced in a -25 basis poi ...

It's Rick Santelli. What are the numbers. >> The numbers are our third quarter employment cost index up 8/10en of a percent.That's a smidge lighter than the 9/10 we're expecting. And the last three quarters have been 9/10 from the last quarter 24 the first second quarter this year. And as I said, this is the third quarter.And that would be the lightest going back to wow you have to go back a ways to the second quarter of 2021. It equaled it equal where we were in the third quarter of last year. So it has be ...

Economic Indicators - Personal income rebounded, increasing by 0.3%, surpassing expectations, a notable improvement from the previous month's decline of 0.4% [1][2] - Personal spending rose by 0.3%, slightly below expectations, but reversing a previous decline [2] - Real spending, adjusted for inflation, increased by 0.1%, aligning with expectations [2] Inflation Analysis (PCE) - Month-over-month PCE increased by 0.3%, slightly warmer than previous months, but not the highest reading of the year [3] - Year-over-year PCE increased by 2.8%, the highest reading of the year, equaling March 2024 levels [4] - Core month-over-month PCE increased by 0.3%, the warmest since February [4] - Year-over-year core PCE increased by 2.8%, also warmer than expected and the warmest since February [5] Employment Data - The Employment Cost Index (ECI) for the second quarter increased by 0.9%, slightly above expectations [5] - Initial jobless claims were reported at 218,000, lower than expected [6] - Continuing claims remained above 1.9 million, specifically 1,946,000 [6] Market Reaction - Despite slightly hotter PCE numbers, the market did not climb aggressively [7] - The 10-year Treasury yield increased by approximately one basis point to 4.34%, but remained down almost three basis points for the session [7]