Okay, we're gonna pass from Steve to Steve. So, Steve Graass, so I'm going to kick it off with you just because the name was top of mind. Nice.Uh, have Steve Leeman on more. Well, listen, two big interviews today. Waller made comments.I just don't know if anybody has any visibility, including Jay Pal on down about where things are going to be given we don't know what oil prices are going to do, inflation's going to do, tariffs are going to do. So, you know, when you look at uh the Treasury Secretary uh Bess ...

All right. So, Lauren, I was just mentioning um our Fed survey, our CNBC exclusive Fed survey. It shows the Fed funds rate at 3.89% by the end of this year.Do you see a similar picture playing out with the Fed cutting rates pretty significantly this year. That is our base case expectation this year that the Fed would cut one to two times because frankly that's what the Fed has told us so far. And our expectation for the meeting this afternoon is that the Fed will do as much as it can to do as little as poss ...

Economic Overview - The U.S. trade deficit reached a record low of -$140.5 billion in March, surpassing the previous estimate of -$137.6 billion and the revised prior record of -$123.2 billion [2] - The trade deficit metric has been consistently reported since 1992, indicating ongoing trade challenges [3] Company Earnings Reports - DoorDash (DASH) reported Q1 earnings of 44 cents per share, beating estimates by 10%, but revenues of $3.03 billion fell short by nearly 2%. The company announced acquisitions of Deliveroo for $3.9 billion and SevenRooms for $1.2 billion [3] - Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) reported earnings of 70 cents per share, slightly beating estimates but significantly lower than the $1.46 per share from the previous year. Revenues of $20.18 billion missed expectations by 2.5% [4] - Marriott International (MAR) reported Q1 earnings of $2.32 per share, exceeding estimates by 5 cents, with revenues of $6.26 billion, which was slightly below expectations but an increase from $5.98 billion a year ago [5] Market Expectations - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is underway, with no expected changes to the Fed funds rate, which has been stable in the 4.25-4.50% range since December [6][7] - The U.S. dollar has shown some instability due to new global trade realities, but bond yields remain stable, indicating no immediate pressure for rate changes [8] Upcoming Earnings Reports - Upcoming earnings reports include Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Electronic Arts (EA), and Wynn Resorts (WYNN), with The Walt Disney Company (DIS) reporting the following day [9]