Fiscal Sustainability

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Global Markets React to US Fiscal Shift, Geopolitical Tensions, and Monetary Policy Stance
Stock Market News· 2025-09-12 01:38
Fiscal Landscape - The U.S. government's interest payments on its national debt have reached a record $1.21 trillion, surpassing the entire defense budget for the first time since at least 1940 [2][9] - Projections indicate that interest payments could rise to $1.6 trillion by 2034, consuming over 20% of the federal budget, raising concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability [3][9] Global Monetary Policy - The European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained its key deposit rate at 2%, citing stable inflation and a resilient economic outlook, with future decisions being data-dependent [4][9] - Anticipation is building for the Federal Reserve to implement a rate cut in the U.S., following mixed economic data, which has positively impacted gold prices [5][9] Corporate and Energy News - Baidu's Hong Kong shares are expected to open 3.8% higher, reflecting positive market sentiment [13] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) has released a higher oil surplus estimate, leading to a decline in crude prices [14] - Petronas has delivered Malaysia's first blended sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) to KL International Airport, marking a step towards sustainability [14] International Trade - A U.S. envoy has expressed optimism about resolving a tariff dispute with India, as negotiations continue to address the trade imbalance [15]
ECB's Guindos on Inflation, Euro Rate, Fiscal Policy
Bloomberg Television· 2025-07-01 07:37
When you look at trade negotiations right now, could they actually change the outcome of the European economy. Well, I think that there's going to be a very relevant factor. And if you see, for instance, if you watch our our predictions, they are different alternatives, different different scenarios according to the different outcomes that we might have.I hope that, you know, the negotiations will be finalized. So at least this, you know, will deliver a little bit of predictability because now, you know, th ...