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X @Joe Consorti ⚡️
Joe Consorti ⚡️· 2025-08-22 15:45
Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve has abandoned its 2% inflation target in favor of "flexible inflation targeting" [1] - Low interest rates are now primarily used to manage the national debt [2] - Fiscal dominance is now the prevailing economic condition [3]
高盛:美国经济-美联储沟通存在创新空间
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-03 02:41
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy framework review is ongoing, with a revised "Statement of Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy" expected to be released later this summer [2] - The last framework review in 2020 was influenced by low inflation and concerns about the zero lower bound (ZLB), leading to the adoption of "flexible average inflation targeting" (FAIT) [6][7] - Critics argue that the 2020 changes contributed to high inflation during the pandemic, although Fed officials have defended these strategies [8] - The FOMC is likely to revert to responding to "deviations" from maximum employment and return to flexible inflation targeting as its main strategy [10][12] - Proposed changes to communication practices include providing alternative economic scenarios and linking individual projections for the economy and interest rates [15][37] Summary by Sections Framework Review - The FOMC will announce changes to its communication practices in the fall, with adjustments likely to the consensus statement [5] - The review aims to address the effectiveness of the current framework in light of recent economic challenges [6] Key Changes from 2020 Review - The 2020 review emphasized responding to "shortfalls" from maximum employment and introduced FAIT, allowing inflation to overshoot 2% [7][8] - The FOMC is expected to reconsider the "shortfalls" language and may adopt a more robust approach to inflation targeting [10][12] Proposed Communication Innovations - Proposal 1: Publishing alternative economic scenarios to highlight risks and improve market understanding of the Fed's reaction function [16][17] - Proposal 2: Linking individual economic and interest rate projections to provide clearer insights into participants' reaction functions [37][41]