Core Insights - Rising crude supply from OPEC+ and South America, along with increased longer-haul routes, has driven freight rates for very large crude carriers (VLCCs) to levels not seen in nearly three years [1][3] - VLCC rates on the Middle East-to-China route have recently surpassed $100,000 per day, marking the highest rates in almost three years [2] - The current spike in freight rates is attributed to favorable market fundamentals rather than geopolitical events, with increased supply from the Middle East and the Americas supporting the demand for long-distance shipments [3][6] Supply Dynamics - OPEC+ is increasing production, leading to a rise in shipments from the Middle East, while Saudi Arabia has reduced crude prices for Asia, further boosting flows to this key importing region [4] - Middle Eastern producers are expected to increase crude shipments following the summer months, during which many countries rely on direct crude burn for electricity [4] Market Structure - The global tanker fleet is divided between those complying with sanctions on Iran and Russia and those operating in the shadow fleet, which affects the overall supply of tankers available for crude transportation [5] - The spot rate for a VLCC on the Middle East to China route has reached at least $6.6 million, with daily rates for several chartered tankers hitting $100,000, reflecting strong demand for long-distance shipments [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated revenue of $1.6 billion in Q2 2025, a decrease of 15% year-over-year, primarily due to lower freight rates and volumes [4][15] - Net income for Q2 was $24 million, down from $373 million in the same quarter last year [21] - Adjusted EBITDA was $472 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 29%, compared to 40% in Q2 2024 [20][21] - Total liquidity stood at $2.9 billion as of June 30, 2025, after paying approximately $470 million in dividends during the quarter [5][15] - The company raised its full-year guidance for adjusted EBITDA to a range of $1.8 billion to $2.2 billion [6][23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Carried volumes in Q2 were 895,000 TEUs, a 6% decline year-over-year, attributed to weak Transpacific demand [21][22] - Revenue from non-containerized cargo totaled $111 million, down from $128 million in Q2 2024 [16] - The average freight rate per TEU in Q2 was $1,479, down from $1,674 in the same quarter last year [15][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced a 10% volume growth year-over-year in Latin America, contrasting with the decline in volumes from China [10][22] - The Transpacific demand was weak, and the company does not anticipate a strong peak season due to ongoing tariff uncertainties [9][10] - The overall market fundamentals indicate supply growth outpacing demand, with a projected 6% increase in supply for 2025 [13][25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to build a strong commercial presence in key markets and diversify its geographic footprint to enhance business resilience [7][8] - A focus on maintaining a modern and cost-competitive fleet is emphasized, with plans for long-term charter agreements for LNG dual-fuel vessels [11][12] - The company is adapting its Transpacific network to changes in cargo flow due to tariff announcements, aiming to capitalize on growth in Southeast Asia [7][9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current turbulent market environment, citing a transformed fleet and improved cost structure [6][61] - The company anticipates continued pressure on freight rates and a weaker peak season due to tariff-related disruptions [10][23] - Management highlighted the importance of agility in operational capacity to respond to shifting market dynamics [12][13] Other Important Information - The company operates 123 containerships with a total capacity of 767,000 TEUs, with two-thirds of this capacity coming from new vessels delivered in 2023 and 2024 [17][18] - The company has options to extend charter periods and purchase options for its LNG vessels, providing flexibility in capacity management [18][19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations on volume for the second half of the year - Management indicated that the expectation of flat volumes is driven by both market conditions and potential pullbacks in capacity due to expiring charters [30][31] Question: Capacity renewal strategy - Management stated that if market conditions continue to deteriorate, they are more likely to downsize rather than renew charters [35] Question: Impact of tariff changes on capacity - Management noted that the influx of capacity has not been rerouted due to ongoing market conditions and alliance adjustments [36][37] Question: Timing effects of freight rates - Management confirmed that there is a timing lag in revenue recognition due to the surge in spot rates, which will impact Q3 performance [42][43] Question: Cost structure and breakeven levels - Management acknowledged that costs have increased compared to pre-pandemic levels, influenced by various factors including fuel transition and operational inefficiencies [46][50] Question: Cost improvement initiatives - Management outlined several cost improvement strategies, including scaling up vessel sizes, transitioning to LNG, and leveraging partnerships to maintain cost efficiency [55][58]

Q1 2019 Highlights - VLCC average spot rate in TI Pool was $35,195 per day, compared to $18,725 in Q1 2018[8] - VLCC average time charter rate was $27,630 per day[8] - Suezmax average spot rate was $27,380 per day, compared to $14,000 in Q1 2018[8] - Suezmax average time charter rate was $32,680 per day[8] - In Q1 so far, VLCC 535% fixed at around $26500 per day[12] - In Q1 so far, Suezmax 493% fixed at around $18000 per day[12] Financial Performance - Revenue increased to $232589 thousand in Q1 2019 from $98136 thousand in Q1 2018[13] - Net profit for the period was $19526 thousand in Q1 2019, compared to a loss of $39091 thousand in Q1 2018[13] - Result after taxation per share was $009 in Q1 2019, compared to $(025) in Q1 2018[13] - Cash increased to $1785 million in Mar-19 from $1730 million in Dec-18[15] Market Signals - US crude export outlook shows potential for growth to 2022[18] - Correlation between Euronav share price and new build VLCC value is 84%[25] - Demand 3% Supply 3% - VLCC $35K Q4 & Q1[26] Liquidity and Leverage - Liquidity increased to $785 million[17] - Leverage is 462% marked to market[16]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the global shipping industry Core Insights - Capacity growth in the global shipping industry is projected at +8% year-over-year in June, a decrease from +10% in May [3] - Air freight rates have shown a growth of +2% year-over-year in April, down from +4% in March [1] - The overall number of scheduled sailings has increased by approximately +11% year-over-year [3] - The idling rate of vessels has decreased to 4.0% by TEU, compared to 4.5% the previous week, aligning with the ten-year average [3] - Schedule reliability improved to 57.5% in March, up from 54.5% in the previous month [3] Summary by Sections Capacity and Sailings - Capacity growth into the US is +4%, while growth into Europe is +10% [3] - Cancelled sailings decreased to 8.0% this week from 9.8% last week, which is higher than the previous year's level of 5.5% [3] Congestion and Reliability - Global congestion has decreased, with a seven-day moving average at 9.59 million TEU, down from 9.69 million TEU last week [4] - Congestion at the US West Coast decreased to 0.56 million TEU, while the US East Coast saw an increase to 0.72 million TEU [4] Market Dynamics - The China-US shipping lane experienced a volume drop of 30%-40% in April [8] - Shippers are currently in a "wait and see" mode, relying heavily on existing inventories across Canada, Mexico, and the US [8] - There is a significant impact expected on goods with no alternative to Chinese supply, with US consumers likely to absorb inflation if the situation does not resolve by summer [8] - If normalization occurs, demand growth is expected to catch up according to Maersk [8]