本报记者 梁傲男 据记者了解，7月4日，本次合并重组交易获上交所并购重组审核委员会审核通过，7月8日完成向中国证 监会提交重组方案注册稿。目前，本次合并重组交易尚待中国证监会签发注册批文，并由上交所完成发 行上市安排后，才可正式实施。 中国重工是国内产业链最完整的船舶及海洋装备制造企业之一，也是国内海军舰船装备的主要研制和供 应商。公司主要业务涵盖海洋防务及海洋开发装备、海洋运输装备、深海装备及舰船修理改装、舰船配 套及机电装备、战略性新兴产业及其他等五大业务板块。 中国船舶是全球唯一一家同时在建大型LNG船、大型邮轮的上市公司，在造船国际市场份额持续领 先，公司在手集装箱船、油轮、超大型乙烷运输船（VLEC）、汽车运输船（PCTC）、多用途船、自 卸船等细分船型订单数量均居全球前列。 长江证券研报显示，两家企业合并将助力中国造船业进入高质量发展阶段。重组完成后，中国船舶将成 为全球最大造船上市公司，根据中国船舶、中国重工2024年年报数据，合并后公司手持订单量占全球总 量约15%，造船完工量全球占比超过14%，新签订单量全球占比超过16%。中国船舶合并中国重工后将 减少同业竞争，优化船舶制造板块产业布局，并 ...

每经记者｜张韵 每经编辑｜文多 7月10日晚间，中国船舶（SH600150）、中国重工（SH601989）发布2025年上半年业绩预告，两公司 预计归母净利润均实现同比大幅增长。中国船舶的预计净利润规模高于中国重工，中国重工的预计净利 润同比增速则快于中国船舶。 图片来源：中国船舶公告截图 两"船"合并，民船订单量价齐升 中国船舶表示，船舶行业整体保持良好发展态势，公司手持订单结构升级优化。中国船舶报告期（今年 上半年）内交付的民品船舶价格同比提升，建造成本管控得当，营业毛利同比增加。此外，中国船舶联 营企业的经营业绩持续改善。 中国重工表示，报告期内，公司把握船舶行业发展态势，进一步发挥主建船型批量建造优势，强化精益 管理、深化成本管控并着力提升效率效益，交付的民船产品数量大幅增加。公司营业收入因此相应增 长，经营业绩同比明显提升。 7月1日，中央财经委员会第六次会议强调，推动海洋经济高质量发展，要更加注重创新驱动，更加注重 高效协同。7月4日，中国船舶吸收合并中国重工重大重组事项获上海证券交易所并购重组审核委员会审 议通过，待中国证监会签发注册批文，并由上交所完成发行上市安排后，即可正式实施。 A股造船龙 ...

Q1 2019 Highlights - VLCC average spot rate in TI Pool was $35,195 per day, compared to $18,725 in Q1 2018[8] - VLCC average time charter rate was $27,630 per day[8] - Suezmax average spot rate was $27,380 per day, compared to $14,000 in Q1 2018[8] - Suezmax average time charter rate was $32,680 per day[8] - In Q1 so far, VLCC 535% fixed at around $26500 per day[12] - In Q1 so far, Suezmax 493% fixed at around $18000 per day[12] Financial Performance - Revenue increased to $232589 thousand in Q1 2019 from $98136 thousand in Q1 2018[13] - Net profit for the period was $19526 thousand in Q1 2019, compared to a loss of $39091 thousand in Q1 2018[13] - Result after taxation per share was $009 in Q1 2019, compared to $(025) in Q1 2018[13] - Cash increased to $1785 million in Mar-19 from $1730 million in Dec-18[15] Market Signals - US crude export outlook shows potential for growth to 2022[18] - Correlation between Euronav share price and new build VLCC value is 84%[25] - Demand 3% Supply 3% - VLCC $35K Q4 & Q1[26] Liquidity and Leverage - Liquidity increased to $785 million[17] - Leverage is 462% marked to market[16]

Q2 2019 Highlights - VLCC average spot rate in the TI Pool was $23,218 per day, compared to $16,751 in Q2 2018[8] - VLCC average time charter rate was $27,165 per day, compared to $34,976 in Q2 2018[8] - Suezmax average spot rate was $17,217 per day, compared to $12,883 in Q2 2018[8] - Suezmax average time charter rate was $30,375 per day, compared to $20,882 in Q2 2018[8] - The company bought back shares totaling $29 million (13 cents per share) during the first half of the year[12] - A dividend of $0.06 per share for the first half of 2019 will be paid in October 2019[12] - For Q3, 65% of VLCC capacity has been fixed at approximately $20,600 per day[12] - For Q3, 58% of Suezmax capacity has been fixed at approximately $15,800 per day[12] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first semester of 2019 was $401.936 million, compared to $202.748 million in the first semester of 2018[13] - The company experienced a net loss of $38.556 million in Q2 2019, compared to a net loss of $51.602 million in Q2 2018[13] - Cash increased to $203.6 million in June 2019, compared to $173.0 million in December 2018[14] - Total liquidity increased to $858 million, including an undrawn secured revolving facility of $634 million and an undrawn unsecured credit line of $20 million[14, 16] Market Outlook and Themes - The company anticipates constructive large crude tanker market fundamentals into the winter[12] - VLCC ordering is near 5-year lows, indicating restricted contracting in large tankers[20, 21] - IMO 2020 disruption is expected to impact the market in the second half of 2019, with retrofitting potentially reducing fleet days by 3-5%[23]

Financial Performance Highlights - In Q4 2019, the average spot rate for VLCCs in the TI pool was $61,700 per day, while the average time charter rate was $35,700 per day[8] - For Suezmax vessels, the average spot rate in Q4 2019 was $41,800 per day, and the average time charter rate was $29,300 per day[8] - The company's revenue for Q4 2019 was $355.154 million, compared to $236.107 million in Q4 2018[12] - Full year 2019 revenue reached $932.377 million, a significant increase from $600.024 million in 2018[12] - Net profit for Q4 2019 was $160.801 million, a substantial improvement from $279 in Q4 2018[12] - Full year 2019 net profit was $118.868 million, compared to a loss of $110.070 million in 2018[12] Q1 2020 Outlook - For Q1 2020, approximately 60% of VLCC days have been fixed at around $89,200 per day[11] - For Q1 2020, approximately 51% of Suezmax days have been fixed at around $57,500 per day[11] Balance Sheet & Leverage - The company's leverage, based on book value, is at 44%[14] - Cash reserves stand at $297 million as of December 2019, compared to $173 million in December 2018[13] Market Dynamics & IMO 2020 - The company anticipates constructive crude tanker market fundamentals for 2020[11] - The company notes that the reduction of fuel spreads and built-in protection mechanisms[16]

Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2020 was $241 million[16], a significant increase compared to the year-to-date revenue of $5772 million in 2019[14] - Net income for Q3 2020 reached $462 million[16], a substantial turnaround from a loss of $419 million year-to-date in 2019[14] - Euronav's leverage stands at 358% of book value, with available liquidity of $12 billion[19] Fleet and Operations - VLCC average spot pool rate was $42000 per day in Q3 2020, compared to $25250 in Q3 2019[8] - Suezmax average spot rate was $23500 per day in Q3 2020, versus $17250 in Q3 2019[8] - The company extended an FSO contract by 10 years to 2032, projecting $645 million in additional revenue for the joint venture[11, 34] Capital Allocation - The company declared a Q3 dividend of USD 9c per share and executed a share buyback of $185 million[11] - Year-to-date dividend yield reached 21%, with $157 per share distributed[13] - Euronav has $236 million in outstanding capex, primarily financed by bank loans, with VLCC deliveries expected in Q1 2021[13] Market Outlook - Approximately 50% of Q4 VLCC days are fixed at around $225k per day, and 45% of Suezmax days are fixed at about $115k per day[11] - The tanker market remains in a transition phase, influenced by COVID-19 restrictions, OPEC+ supply cuts, and vessel supply[35, 36] - Recycling trends indicate that when VLCC rates fall below P&L breakeven, approximately 5% of the fleet is typically recycled[22]

Financial Performance - Revenue decreased significantly from $416.7 million in Q1 2020 to $113.4 million in Q1 2021[12] - The company reported a net loss of $71 million in Q1 2021, compared to a profit of $225.6 million in Q1 2020[12] - Euronav's leverage to book value is at 41.8%[14] - The company maintains access to liquidity greater than $1 billion[14] Operational Highlights - VLCC average spot rate in TI pool decreased from $61,700 per day in Q1 2020 to $14,000 per day in Q1 2021[8] - Suezmax average spot rate decreased from $41,500 per day in Q1 2020 to $11,500 per day in Q1 2021[8] - For Q2 so far, 48% of VLCC capacity is fixed at around $10,000 per day[11] - For Q2 so far, 41% of Suezmax capacity is fixed at around $10,500 per day[11] - The company completed 8 dry dockings in Q1 and another 8 in Q2, with 11 more planned for the second half of 2021[15] Strategic Initiatives - Euronav is diversifying financing with new sustainability funding, including a $60 million unsecured facility and an €80 million unsecured sustainability-linked facility[20] - The company is recycling older tonnage into new builds, involving 6 VLCCs and 3 Suezmax vessels with an average age of 13.7 years[22] - Euronav is focused on reducing emissions and meeting financial and strategic goals[21, 22] Market Outlook - The tanker market is awaiting recovery, influenced by demand and supply of oil, ton miles, and vessel supply[34, 35] - "Illicit" trade is potentially preventing recycling, with 8% of the VLCC fleet and 5% of the Suezmax fleet involved[27]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **shipping industry**, focusing on the **VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier)** market and its dynamics influenced by geopolitical factors and oil supply changes [2][3][8]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Changes in China's Crude Oil Import Structure**: - Significant reduction in the shipping volume of non-discount oil, with Iranian oil transport costs being high but offering a competitive landed price, impacting VLCC market rates structurally [2][3]. - Sensitive oil imports account for over 30% of China's total imports, suppressing VLCC demand [7]. 2. **OPEC+ Production Adjustments**: - Anticipated increase in crude oil exports in Q3 due to OPEC+ production policy adjustments, with U.S. Atlantic region oil production growth being a critical factor [2][5]. - Global oil demand growth is primarily driven by regions like India, potentially reaching hundreds of thousands to a million barrels per day [5]. 3. **VLCC Market Dynamics**: - Despite weak effective demand for VLCCs, the limited delivery of new ships and the retirement of older vessels have stabilized VLCC asset prices [2][7]. - Current VLCC average freight rates are around $40,000, with a breakeven point of approximately $28,000, indicating profitability for existing vessels [7]. 4. **Geopolitical Risks**: - Short-term spikes in VLCC freight rates due to geopolitical conflicts, with recent rates fluctuating from $43 to a peak of $120 before settling around $80 [3][9]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, are expected to continue influencing freight rates and market dynamics [9]. 5. **Future Market Outlook**: - The second half of 2025 is projected to be slightly optimistic, with expectations of increased cargo volumes and potential demand growth due to OPEC+ production changes [5][16]. - Long-term concerns about supply shortages due to aging fleets and insufficient new orders are highlighted, with potential implications for freight rates and asset values [9][19]. 6. **Impact of Iranian Oil**: - Iran's oil production and export growth significantly affect the VLCC market, with high transportation costs for sensitive oil leading to increased risks for shadow fleets [6][8]. - The potential lifting of sanctions on Iran could lead to increased effective supply and demand dynamics in the VLCC market [19]. 7. **Regional Shipping Trends**: - The West African mineral export growth is expected to enhance the rental elasticity of Cape-sized bulk carriers, significantly increasing transport ton-miles [4][10]. - The container shipping market in Asia shows notable growth, particularly in local consumption, although recent capacity increases may be temporary [13][14]. 8. **Market Sentiment and Valuation Discrepancies**: - Divergence in market sentiment between Chinese A-shares and overseas markets, with the former exhibiting pessimism while U.S. and Oslo markets remain optimistic [20]. - The valuation of Chinese shipping companies is considered low compared to international peers, suggesting potential for future upside if institutional investors engage more actively [20]. Other Important Insights - The impact of geopolitical conflicts on shipping efficiency and overall freight rates is significant, with rising oil prices contributing to increased operational costs [11]. - The future of the shipping market is closely tied to the geopolitical landscape, with potential for both short-term volatility and long-term structural changes [9][18].

摘要 以伊冲突最新进展，周期如何看？20250622 美国打击伊朗核设施，直接升级伊以冲突，霍尔木兹海峡作为全球石油 运输要道，日均输送 2000 万桶石油，占全球石油液体消耗量的 20%， 若封锁将导致能源通胀和油价飙升至每桶 120-130 美元。 伊以冲突升级后，VLCC 运价从 2.2 万元飙升至 5 万元以上，但中远海 能等股票涨幅有限，表明运价表现超过股价。随着美国介入，VLCC 运 价预计将继续上涨，相关股票配置价值提升。 若霍尔木兹海峡关闭导致油价飙升至 130 美元，将对航空股产生重大影 响，虽燃油附加费可覆盖部分成本，但会抑制需求。航空公司股价更多 受供需关系影响，可采取调整加仓策略。 快递行业价格战趋缓，义乌快递两次涨价，无人车末端应用迅速推进， 单票降本 0.6-0.8 元。顺丰速运件量增长率领先，收入成本剪刀差缩小， 资本开支下降，分红率提升，发展前景较好。 本周化工产品价格指数上涨，受油价推动，但需求淡季限制转嫁能力， 成本压力增大。涤纶 POY 价格上涨但价差收窄，粘胶短纤企稳，库存下 降，预计 8 月中下旬至 9 月旺季将带来化纤板块盈利修复机会。 Q&A 伊以冲突最新进展及其 ...

以色列与伊朗的冲突加剧，伊朗方面考虑封锁霍尔木兹海峡，对全球石油和航运市场产生冲击。 霍尔木兹海峡是全球最重要的能源运输通道之一。这条33公里宽的航道连接着沙特、伊拉克、伊朗、科 威特、阿联酋等石油核心国家，每月通过船只超过3000艘，出口原油超过5亿桶，承担着全球约五分之 一的原油运输业务。 据报道，上周五以来霍尔木兹海峡及附近海域已有包括油轮、货船、拖船和渔船在内超过900艘船舶的 导航信号出现严重异常。船只的信号轨迹呈现出"笔直的不可能路线"、诡异的"Z字形"迂回，甚至有 些"显示在陆地上"。 一桩船舶起火的意外事件，令霍尔木兹海峡安全局势更加扑朔迷离。参与搜救的阿联酋海岸警卫队证 实，当地时间6月17日，两艘油轮在霍尔木兹海峡附近海域发生碰撞并起火，并可能涉及第三艘油轮。 作为世界能源供应链的大动脉，霍尔木兹海峡的风吹草动，直接关系到全球能源市场动态和航运态势变 化。冲突爆发后，油轮运价和干散货船运价双双大涨，多家船东已开始考虑绕行好望角等替代方案。 中东海域局势紧张对航运业的冲击已初见端倪。6月13日超大型油轮（VLCC）运价首先大幅跳涨，中 东-中国（TD3C）全年平均收益（TCE）突破3万美金/ ...