Light Street Capital Management去年回报率超过37%，表现优于其他选股型对冲基金，令投资者在2021 年和2022年遭受重创后得以挽回全部损失。 据知情人士透露，Glen Kacher麾下这家重押科技股的公司远非唯一实现两位数回报的选股型基金。 Maverick Capital去年上涨约29%，Whale Rock Capital Management上涨27%，Lone Pine Capital上涨 23%。 这标志着资产管理规模11亿美元的Light Street连续第三年实现两位数回报。客户终于收复了2021年和 2022年的亏损，当时该基金分别暴跌26%和54%。2022年的亏损及赎回曾导致该基金资产缩水70%。 像Light Street这样的选股型对冲基金去年迎来丰收年，地缘政治不确定性、特朗普贸易战和人工智能热 潮为多空交易创造了大量机会。对冲基金研究公司PivotalPath的创始人Jon Caplis表示，这类对冲基金取 得2020年以来业绩最佳的一年，他将此归功于对标普500指数的敞口增加。 Light Street Capital Management去年回 ...

The new year has started off with a bang—and one that initially had nothing to do with crypto. When U.S. Delta Force operators dragged Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro out of his fortified compound in Caracas on January 3, financial markets erupted into chaos. Gold surged above $4,400 per ounce, the S&P 500 rallied on tech momentum, and Bitcoin—after spending weeks trapped in a suffocating range—finally broke free. Today's price action shows BTC trading at $93,958, up 2.69% on the day. But it's not th ...

Core Insights - Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) and First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) are well-positioned to benefit from the strong upcycle in gold and silver markets [1] - Both companies are experiencing favorable industry trends, including rising precious-metal prices driven by inflation hedging, central-bank buying, and geopolitical uncertainty [4] Coeur Mining (CDE) - Coeur Mining focuses on silver and gold production in North America, with key assets in the U.S. and Canada, and has improved margins and cash flow due to higher metal prices and operational optimization [2] - In Q3 2025, Coeur reported record production of 111,364 ounces of gold and 4.8 million ounces of silver, with revenues reaching $555 million, reflecting a 15% increase in silver prices and a 4% increase in gold prices [5][11] - The Las Chispas mine acquisition significantly contributed to Coeur's growth, producing 1.6 million ounces of silver and 16.5 thousand ounces of gold in Q3 2025 [6] - Coeur's flagship assets, Rochester and Palmarejo, are expected to support a total production of 392,500–438,000 ounces of gold and 17.1–19.2 million ounces of silver in 2025 [7] - As of September 2025, Coeur's cash and cash equivalents were approximately $266 million, with a debt-to-capital ratio of 10.5% and free cash flow of about $189 million in Q3 [8] First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) - First Majestic, primarily focused on silver with growing gold exposure, reported a record production of 3.9 million ounces of silver in Q3 2025, a 96% year-over-year increase [9] - The Los Gatos Silver Mine, acquired in 2025, was a key contributor, producing 2.13 million silver-equivalent ounces during the quarter [10] - Overall, First Majestic produced 7.7 million silver-equivalent ounces in Q3 2025, with significant contributions from San Dimas and other properties [12][13] - At the end of September 2025, First Majestic's cash and cash equivalents were around $575 million, with a debt-to-capital ratio of 6.9% and free cash flow of about $55 million in Q3 [14] Price Performance & Valuation - CDE stock has increased by 104.2% over the past six months, while AG stock has risen by 99.8% [15] - CDE is trading at a forward 12-month sales multiple of 4.38X, compared to AG's 7.68X [16] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CDE's fiscal 2025 sales implies a year-over-year growth of 96%, with EPS suggesting a 322.22% rise [19] - For AG, the fiscal 2026 sales and EPS estimates imply year-over-year increases of 87% and 279%, respectively [21] Comparative Analysis - CDE is viewed as the stronger overall pick due to its balanced gold-and-silver portfolio, operational execution, and stronger earnings visibility, alongside disciplined cost management and improved balance-sheet profile [23] - CDE holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), while AG has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [24]

Market Performance - The S&P 500 increased by approximately 16% and the Nasdaq 100 gained nearly 21% in 2025, driven largely by artificial intelligence as a key return driver [2] - Gold was the standout asset in 2025, rising about 68%, while Bitcoin declined roughly 5% despite its growing institutional presence [3] Economic Outlook - There are few signs of an imminent economic slowdown, although a K-shaped economic recovery persists, with high living costs contrasting booming asset markets [4] - The investment landscape remains favorable, with technological innovation, geopolitical uncertainty, and abundant liquidity expected to drive returns into 2026 [5] Sector Insights - Big Tech continues to dominate, with strong revenue growth and profitability, expanding into areas like cloud computing and autonomous driving [6] - The AI infrastructure cycle is ongoing, with significant capital expenditures projected to exceed $500 billion, indicating a multi-year buildout [11] - Solar energy has emerged as a strong performer, with costs for photovoltaic modules dropping by about 90% over the past decade, making it one of the cheapest power generation sources [29][30] - Oil and gas remain essential, with natural gas demand accelerating and oil prices stabilizing after recent volatility [32][36] Investment Strategies - Aligning portfolios with durable economic megatrends has proven successful, with a focus on sectors like healthcare and biotech, which are showing signs of recovery [10][44] - The Magnificent Seven stocks are expected to see earnings growth of 16.5% in 2026, driven by strong revenue growth and the integration of AI technologies [16][18] - Healthcare stocks have outperformed in the final quarter of the year, supported by stable demand and improving earnings visibility [44][46] Alternative Assets - Gold has seen a significant rise, increasing nearly 70% this year, and is viewed as a portfolio diversifier amid rising geopolitical tensions [38][40] - Bitcoin is increasingly recognized as a legitimate alternative for hedging risk, with its narrative as "digital gold" gaining traction [42]

The safe-haven trade in precious metals is showing little sign of cooling, with gold, silver, and platinum extending gains into Friday’s session. Gold futures climbed ~1.6% to trade above the $4,500 level, while silver jumped more than 3% amid tight physical markets and strong industrial demand. Platinum also traded near the upper end of its recent range as supply constraints continued to support prices. Precious metals are rallying due to a "perfect storm" of heightened geopolitical uncertainty, expecta ...

The S&P 500 has delivered what can only be described as a strong year to date, extending a rally that has rewarded investors for staying the course through inflation, rate hikes, and geopolitical uncertainty. ...

Key Takeaways Gold prices jumped in 2025 on easing rate hopes, dollar shifts, and rising geopolitical risks.GFI gains from higher gold prices, with solid earnings growth and improving estimates.Low rates cut gold's opportunity cost, boosting demand for miners like Gold Fields.Gold prices have posted a solid performance in 2025, with the recent gold rally on Wall Street highlighting the metal’s renewed appeal as a store of value. After a volatile start to the year, gold gradually gained traction as investors ...

Oil and gas activity in the key producing states of Texas, Louisiana and New Mexico edged lower in the fourth quarter, as executives there expressed concern about weak oil prices that are making some wells noneconomic and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, according to a survey released by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas on Wednesday. ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company generated TCE revenues of $236 million, resulting in an EBITDA of $152 million and a net profit of $78 million, reflecting a $25 million increase in EBITDA compared to the previous quarter [15][16] - The fleet-wide TCE rates averaged $31,012 per day, with LR2s earning above $38,000, LR1s around $29,500, and MRs exceeding $28,000 per day, indicating strengthened freight rates supported by solid market fundamentals [15][16] - Earnings per share for Q3 came in at $0.79, with a declared dividend of $0.62 per share, representing a payout ratio of 78% [16][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company advanced its fleet optimization strategy by acquiring five vessels, including four MR and one LR2, while divesting a 2007 built MR [2][3] - A three-year time charter was agreed for a 2009-built MR vessel at a daily rate of $22,234, which is above the prevailing market rate for such vintage [2][3] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Product tanker rates remained stable and attractive, with benchmark earnings for MR and LR2 vessels showing resilience [6][10] - Trade volumes increased significantly in Q3, driven by higher middle distillate flows from east to west, which lifted ton-miles above levels seen before the Red Sea disruption [6][7] - Two refineries in Northwest Europe closed, representing 6% of the region's refining capacity, increasing reliance on imported middle distillates [8][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining a modern, high-quality fleet and is in negotiations for longer-term charters due to favorable market conditions [3][4] - The company aims to navigate the current market environment of elevated uncertainty with a strong capital structure and operational leverage [14][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while the macro environment remains dynamic due to geopolitical uncertainty, market sentiment is broadly positive, with solid momentum supported by firm rates across all vessel segments [3][19] - The company increased the midpoint of its TCE guidance by $25 million to $900 million, reflecting secured coverage and current market expectations [19][20] Other Important Information - The company's net interest-bearing debt stands at $690 million, corresponding to around 24% of its capital structure, with only $122 million in borrowings maturing over the next 12 months [17][18] - The company has repurchased 13 out of 22 leaseback vessels, with additional purchase options exercised [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: How did the company manage to secure a long-term charter for an older vessel? - Management highlighted the integrated platform that allows for consistent service quality across all vessels, regardless of age, and noted ongoing negotiations for longer-term deals due to favorable market conditions [31][32] Question: What factors influenced the decision to acquire older vessels? - The company considers multiple metrics, including internal return hurdles and cash breakeven levels, ensuring that acquisitions meet their return requirements [34][35] Question: What is the company's approach to dividends going forward? - The dividend policy is designed to distribute free liquidity generated throughout the quarter, correlated to cash flow break-even levels, with a focus on maintaining a satisfactory payout ratio [53][56] Question: Why was the reported interest expense higher this quarter? - The increase was attributed to the accounting treatment of refinancing and upfront fees, which is expected to normalize in the following quarter [62][64]

Financial Performance - The company's TCE for Q3 2025 was USD 236 million, an increase from USD 208 million in Q2 2025[7] - EBITDA for Q3 2025 reached USD 152 million, up from USD 127 million in Q2 2025[7] - Net profit for Q3 2025 was USD 78 million, compared to USD 59 million in Q2 2025[7] - The company's basic earnings per share increased to USD 0.79 in Q3 2025, from USD 0.60 in Q2 2025[30] - The dividend per share increased to USD 0.62 in Q3 2025, from USD 0.40 in Q2 2025, with a dividend payout ratio of 78%[30] Market Dynamics - Trade volumes in Q3 increased by 4% compared to Q2 and 2% year-over-year[16] - The product tanker capacity trading CPP is down by 1% versus nominal fleet growth of 5%[26] Fleet and Strategy - The company's fleet size remained constant at 88 vessels between Q2 and Q3 2025[7] - The company acquired one 2010-built LR2 and four 2014-built MR vessels and sold one 2007-built MR vessel[9] Outlook - The company expects TCE earnings to be USD 875 - 925 million and EBITDA to be USD 540 - 590 million for 2025[54] - 55% of Q4 2025 is covered at USD 30,156 per day[53]