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CF Industries' Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates on Higher Prices
ZACKSยท 2025-11-06 18:51
Core Insights - CF Industries Holdings, Inc. reported Q3 2025 earnings of $2.19 per share, an increase from $1.55 in the same quarter last year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.06 [1][9] - Net sales rose approximately 21.2% year over year to $1,659 million, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,665 million [1][2] Sales Performance - Average selling prices increased due to strong global nitrogen demand, supply disruptions from geopolitical issues, and higher global energy costs, although sales volumes decreased year over year due to lower beginning inventories [2] - Ammonia segment net sales increased 29.5% to $457 million, exceeding the estimate of $368.3 million [3] - Granular Urea segment sales rose 9% year over year to $423 million, surpassing the estimate of $363.5 million [4] - UAN segment sales increased around 27.3% year over year to $517 million, beating the estimate of $377.4 million [5] - AN segment sales rose approximately 15% year over year to $122 million, exceeding the estimate of $82.7 million [6] Financial Overview - As of September 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $1.84 billion, a decrease of 2.08% year over year [7] - Long-term debt remained flat at $2,974 million [7] - Net cash provided by operating activities was $1,064 million in the reported quarter, up nearly 14.3% year over year [7] - The company repurchased 4.3 million shares for $364 million in Q3 2025 [7] Market Outlook - The global nitrogen outlook is positive through 2025 and beyond, driven by strong demand and tight supply, particularly in India, Brazil, and North America [8] - Supply constraints from high energy costs and limited gas availability are impacting producers in Europe and Asia [8] - Growing demand for low-carbon ammonia is expected to strengthen the market [8] - North American producers benefit from energy cost advantages, with limited new capacity additions expected to tighten the global nitrogen balance, supporting firm pricing and margins in the future [8] Stock Performance - Shares of CF Industries have increased 4.8% over the past year, compared to a 12% rise in the industry [12]