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Core Insights - CF Industries Holdings, Inc. reported Q3 2025 earnings of $2.19 per share, an increase from $1.55 in the same quarter last year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.06 [1][9] - Net sales rose approximately 21.2% year over year to $1,659 million, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,665 million [1][2] Sales Performance - Average selling prices increased due to strong global nitrogen demand, supply disruptions from geopolitical issues, and higher global energy costs, although sales volumes decreased year over year due to lower beginning inventories [2] - Ammonia segment net sales increased 29.5% to $457 million, exceeding the estimate of $368.3 million [3] - Granular Urea segment sales rose 9% year over year to $423 million, surpassing the estimate of $363.5 million [4] - UAN segment sales increased around 27.3% year over year to $517 million, beating the estimate of $377.4 million [5] - AN segment sales rose approximately 15% year over year to $122 million, exceeding the estimate of $82.7 million [6] Financial Overview - As of September 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $1.84 billion, a decrease of 2.08% year over year [7] - Long-term debt remained flat at $2,974 million [7] - Net cash provided by operating activities was $1,064 million in the reported quarter, up nearly 14.3% year over year [7] - The company repurchased 4.3 million shares for $364 million in Q3 2025 [7] Market Outlook - The global nitrogen outlook is positive through 2025 and beyond, driven by strong demand and tight supply, particularly in India, Brazil, and North America [8] - Supply constraints from high energy costs and limited gas availability are impacting producers in Europe and Asia [8] - Growing demand for low-carbon ammonia is expected to strengthen the market [8] - North American producers benefit from energy cost advantages, with limited new capacity additions expected to tighten the global nitrogen balance, supporting firm pricing and margins in the future [8] Stock Performance - Shares of CF Industries have increased 4.8% over the past year, compared to a 12% rise in the industry [12]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $12.03, which is above the midpoint of the full-year fiscal guidance range [5] - Operating income margin was 23.7%, and return on capital (ROC) was 10.1%, both in line with commitments [5] - The EPS decreased by $0.40 or 3% from the prior year, primarily due to a 4% headwind from LNG divestiture and a 2% headwind from project exits [16][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Americas segment results were down 3%, impacted by a one-time asset sale and project exits, but offset by strong non-helium pricing and productivity improvements [17] - Asia's results were relatively flat, with lower helium demand offset by favorable pricing and productivity [18] - Europe's results improved by 4%, driven by non-helium merchant pricing and productivity, despite lower helium contributions [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company faced a 2% headwind from reduced global helium demand, affecting overall volume [15] - The market for green ammonia is developing, with expectations for significant demand growth by 2030 [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for high single-digit annual EPS growth and plans to optimize its large projects portfolio, including the NEOM project [6][7] - Capital expenditures are expected to be reduced to approximately $2.5 billion per year after completing several large projects, allowing for ongoing maintenance and investments in traditional industrial gas projects [7][10] - The company is focusing on productivity improvements and has identified 3,600 headcount reductions, translating to approximately $250 million in annual cost savings [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged challenges from helium headwinds and a sluggish macroeconomic environment but remains optimistic about achieving growth through new asset contributions and pricing actions [19][21] - The company expects to be modestly cash flow positive in fiscal year 2026 and aims to stay cash flow neutral through 2028 [21] Other Important Information - The NEOM project is about 90% complete, with ammonia production expected to start in 2027 [11] - The company is evaluating proposals to divest the carbon sequestration piece of the Louisiana project, linking it to potential hydrogen supply agreements [24][25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Evaluation of Carbon Capture in Louisiana Project - The company is considering selling the carbon capture piece and potentially supplying hydrogen to the buyer [24][25] Question: Alberta Project Cost Overruns - The company has a long-term commitment to supply hydrogen to a major customer, necessitating the completion of the project despite cost overruns [26][27] Question: Headcount Reduction Target - The target of 20,000 headcount is expected to be the new base, with ongoing efforts to optimize workforce levels [31] Question: CapEx for Louisiana Project - The company will provide CapEx data when updating the project, emphasizing that no off-take deals mean no final investment decision [32] Question: Growth Drivers for Next Year - Expected growth will come from new assets and pricing actions, with a minimal volume growth forecast due to macroeconomic headwinds [37][39] Question: Helium Market Outlook - The company anticipates continued headwinds from helium but expects stabilization in 2027 [40][41] Question: NEOM Project Commercialization - The company plans to commercialize ammonia initially, with expectations for a growing market for green ammonia [44][45] Question: Equity Affiliates Income - The Mexican joint venture saw improvements, while contributions from the Jazan joint venture are expected to pick up in 2026 [46][47] Question: Decision Timeline for Louisiana Project - The company is working on advanced negotiations and aims to communicate updates before the end of the year [50][53] Question: CapEx Flexibility - The CapEx forecast for fiscal 2026 is between $3.5 billion and $4 billion, with no significant changes expected [91][92]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $12.03, which is above the midpoint of the full-year fiscal guidance range [4] - Operating income margin was 23.7%, and return on capital (ROC) was 10.1%, both in line with commitments [4] - The EPS decreased by $0.40 or 3% from the prior year, primarily due to a 4% headwind from LNG divestiture and a 2% headwind from project exits [16][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Americas segment results were down 3%, impacted by a one-time asset sale and project exits [17] - Asia's results were relatively flat, with lower helium offset by favorable on-site contributions [18] - Europe's results improved by 4%, driven by non-helium merchant pricing and productivity [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company faced a 2% headwind from reduced global helium demand, affecting overall volume [14] - Pricing for non-helium merchant products was favorable across all regions, helping to offset some volume declines [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for high single-digit annual EPS growth in 2026, despite anticipated helium headwinds [5] - Key priorities include optimizing the large projects portfolio, particularly the NEOM project, and balancing capital allocation [5][6] - Capital expenditures are expected to be reduced to approximately $2.5 billion per year after completing several large projects [6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about returning to staffing levels similar to 2018, adjusted for employee growth, to support new assets [7] - The company is focused on improving productivity and pricing actions to counteract inflation and lower capital expenditure levels [8] - Management anticipates a modestly cash flow positive position in fiscal year 2026, with a commitment to remain cash flow neutral through 2028 [20] Other Important Information - The company returned $1.6 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2025, marking the 43rd consecutive year of increasing dividends [4] - The NEOM project is about 90% complete, with ammonia production expected to start in 2027 [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Evaluation of carbon capture piece of the Louisiana project - Management explained that they are evaluating proposals to divest the carbon capture piece while still considering the project's future [24][25] Question: Cost overruns in Alberta project - Management confirmed a long-term commitment to supply hydrogen to a major customer, necessitating the project's completion despite cost overruns [26][27] Question: Employee headcount target - The target of 20,000 headcount is expected to be the new base, with ongoing efforts to rationalize the workforce [31] Question: CapEx remaining for Louisiana project - Management indicated that they would provide data on remaining CapEx when updating the project, emphasizing the need for off-take agreements [33] Question: Growth drivers for next year - Management expects contributions from new assets and productivity improvements to drive growth, with a focus on pricing actions [37][38] Question: Helium industry outlook - Management noted that while there may be a decline in helium demand in 2027, they expect stabilization thereafter [40][42] Question: NEOM project commercial options - Management stated that they will need to commercialize the product as ammonia initially, with expectations for growth in green ammonia sales over time [46] Question: Equity affiliates income growth - Management highlighted strong performance from the Mexican joint venture, with expectations for flat contributions in fiscal year 2026 [48] Question: Decision timeline for Louisiana project - Management confirmed that they are working on advanced negotiations and expect to communicate updates by the end of the year [52][56] Question: CapEx forecast changes - Management clarified that the CapEx forecast for fiscal 2026 was adjusted to $4 billion based on a refined bottom-up review [62]

Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Results Teleconference November 6, 2025 Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements about earnings and capital expenditure guidance, business outlook and investment opportunities. These forward-looking statements are based on management's expectations and assumptions as of the date of this presentation and are not guarantee ...

Core Insights - CF Industries reported a revenue of $1.66 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 21.1% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $2.19, up from $1.55 in the same quarter last year, with an EPS surprise of +6.31% compared to the consensus estimate of $2.06 [1] Financial Performance - Revenue of $1.66 billion was slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate by -0.34% [1] - CF Industries' stock has returned -8.1% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite increased by +1% [3] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market [3] Sales Volume and Pricing - Ammonia sales volume was 1,092 KTon, exceeding the average estimate of 994.59 KTon [4] - Total product sold was 4,504 KTon, below the average estimate of 4,648.64 KTon [4] - Granular Urea sales volume was 939 KTon, lower than the estimated 1,103.77 KTon [4] - UAN (urea ammonium nitrate) sales volume was 1,564 KTon, below the estimate of 1,665.21 KTon [4] Net Sales Performance - Net Sales for Ammonia reached $457 million, surpassing the average estimate of $387.62 million, representing a year-over-year increase of +29.5% [4] - Granular Urea net sales were $423 million, slightly below the estimate of $459.23 million, with a +9% year-over-year change [4] - UAN net sales were $517 million, exceeding the estimate of $498.46 million, reflecting a +27.3% year-over-year increase [4] - Ammonium Nitrate (AN) net sales were $122 million, above the estimate of $106.84 million, with a +15.1% year-over-year change [4] - Other net sales reached $140 million, compared to the average estimate of $128.84 million, representing a +19.7% year-over-year increase [4]

Financial Highlights - Q3 2025 net income attributable to IEP was $287 million, or $049 per depositary unit, compared to $22 million, or $005 per depositary unit, for Q3 2024[6] - Q3 2025 Adjusted EBITDA attributable to IEP was $383 million compared to $183 million for Q3 2024[6] - Indicative net asset value as of September 30, 2025, was approximately $38 billion, an increase of $567 million compared to June 30, 2025[6] - IEP declares third quarter distribution of $050 per depositary unit[6] Segment Performance - Energy segment net income was $258 million in Q3 2025, compared to a loss of $88 million in Q3 2024[9] - Energy segment Adjusted EBITDA was $409 million in Q3 2025, compared to a loss of $38 million in Q3 2024[9] - Investment segment returns were negative 05% for Q3 2025[13, 15] - Automotive Services revenue was $366 million, up $11 million when compared to Q3 2024[25] - Food Packaging Q3 2025 Adjusted EBITDA attributable to IEP decreased by $8 million compared to prior year quarter[32]

Company Overview and Strategy - Woodside's 2024 EBITDA margin was approximately 70%[21] - Woodside has returned approximately $11 billion to shareholders since 2022[21] - Woodside aims to increase annual sales from 2035 MMboe in 2024 to over 300 MMboe by 2032, representing a CAGR increase of over 6%[22] - Woodside projects net operating cash flow to increase from approximately $58 billion in 2024 to approximately $9 billion in 2032, representing a CAGR increase of over 6%[22] Projects and Operations - Scarborough is 91% complete and on track for first LNG in H2 2026[175] - The Scarborough development contains 115 Tcf of proved plus probable (2P) reserves, gross[176] - Trion is 43% complete with first oil targeted for 2028, holding 479 MMboe of proved plus probable (2P) reserves, gross[219] - Louisiana LNG is 19% complete with first LNG targeted for 2029, with a project cost of approximately $159 billion or approximately $960/tonne[223, 225] Market Outlook and Financials - Global ammonia demand is expected to double to over 400 Mtpa by 2050[98] - Woodside is targeting a unit production cost of less than $8/boe in 2025[157] - Woodside is targeting a gearing range of 10-20% through the cycle[138]

Financial Performance - In 2025, the company reported net sales of $164 million, net income of $43 million, and EBITDA of $71 million [1][6] - The Board of Directors declared a distribution of $4.02 per common unit, to be paid on November 17 to unitholders of record at the close of the market on November 10 [1] - The company experienced a 95% utilization rate of its consolidated ammonia plant, with combined ammonia production of 208,000 gross tons and UAN production of 337,000 tons [1][4] Sales and Pricing - Approximately 328,000 tons of UAN were sold at an average price of $348 per ton, and 48,000 tons of ammonia at an average price of $531 per ton [4] - UAN and ammonia prices increased by 52% and 33% respectively compared to the prior year, driven by tight inventory levels and elevated demand [4][5] Capital Expenditures and Cash Management - The company spent $13 million on capital projects in 2025, with total capital spending estimated to be between $58 to $65 million [6][7] - Total liquidity at the end of the quarter was $206 million, consisting of $156 million in cash and $50 million available under the ABL facility [7][8] Market Conditions and Outlook - Domestic and global inventories of nitrogen fertilizer remain tight, supporting higher prices [5][12] - The company anticipates ammonia utilization rates to be between 80% and 85% due to a planned turnaround at the Coffeyville facility [8][9] - The company expects direct operating expenses and turnaround impacts to be between $58 million and $63 million [9] Geopolitical and Environmental Factors - Geopolitical conflicts, particularly in Ukraine, continue to impact the nitrogen fertilizer industry [11][12] - Natural gas prices in Europe remain high, affecting ammonia production costs and creating export opportunities for U.S. producers [13][14] Future Projects and Developments - The company is working on a project to utilize natural gas and additional hydrogen from the adjacent Coffeyville refinery, which could increase ammonia production capacity by up to 8% [14][20] - Ongoing debottlenecking projects at both plants aim to improve reliability and production rates [15][16]

Financial Performance - Methanex reported a net loss of $7 million for Q3 2025, a significant decline from a net income of $64 million in Q2 2025 [3][12] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $191 million, slightly up from $183 million in Q2 2025 [3][12] - The average realized price for methanol decreased to $345 per tonne in Q3 2025 from $374 per tonne in Q2 2025 [7][12] Production Highlights - Total methanol production in Q3 2025 was 2,212,000 tonnes, an increase from 1,621,000 tonnes in Q2 2025, driven by new contributions from the Beaumont and Natgasoline plants [7][12] - Beaumont plant produced 239,000 tonnes of methanol and 88,000 tonnes of ammonia in Q3 2025, compared to 11,000 tonnes of methanol in Q2 2025 [17][18] - Natgasoline plant produced 222,000 tonnes of methanol in Q3 2025, up from 10,000 tonnes in Q2 2025 [17][18] Sales and Revenue - Total methanol sales volume for Q3 2025 was 2,476,000 tonnes, compared to 2,133,000 tonnes in Q2 2025 [8][12] - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $927 million, an increase from $797 million in Q2 2025 [8][12] - The company returned $14.3 million to shareholders through dividends in Q3 2025 [7][12] Operational Developments - The company successfully completed the first full quarter of operations at the newly acquired Beaumont and Natgasoline plants, with operations proceeding safely and reliably [4][7] - Chile I operated at full rates throughout the Southern Hemisphere winter for the first time in over ten years, while Chile IV resumed operations after a planned turnaround [7][18] - Methanex ended Q3 2025 with a cash balance of $413 million and repaid $125 million of its Term Loan A [7][12] Future Outlook - Methanex expects production for 2025 to be approximately 8.0 million tonnes, with higher production anticipated in Q4 2025 [23][24] - The company forecasts a meaningful increase in Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 compared to Q3 2025, despite a slightly lower average realized price [24]