HIBOR上行

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小摩:HIBOR上行香港楼市落后于恒生指数4% 偏好太古地产等
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 03:52
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that after three months of low HIBOR (below 1.2%), the one-month HIBOR has risen above 2% this week, which was anticipated. The firm believes HIBOR will likely remain in the range of 2-3% in the future [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - The rise in HIBOR has led to Hong Kong property stocks underperforming the Hang Seng Index by 4% over the past two days, which is considered a natural reaction [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - For the upcoming month (until mid-September), the property sector is expected to show resilience due to two main factors: 1) Increased market expectations for new policy support following the policy address on September 17; 2) Anticipated interest rate cuts in the US [1] - Over a 12-month horizon, Morgan Stanley predicts a gradual recovery in the Hong Kong property market, particularly in the residential and retail sectors [1] Group 3: Stock Recommendations - In the retail sector, the firm is optimistic about Swire Properties (01972), Hang Lung Properties (00101), Wharf Real Estate Investment (01997), and Link REIT (00823) [1] - In the residential sector, the firm favors Henderson Land Development (00012) and Sino Land Company (00083) [1]
小摩:HIBOR上行香港楼市落后于恒生指数4% 偏好太古地产(01972)等
智通财经网· 2025-08-19 03:51
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that after three months of HIBOR being below 1.2%, it has risen above 2% this week, which was anticipated. The bank expects HIBOR to remain in the range of 2-3% in the future [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - The rise in HIBOR has led to Hong Kong property stocks underperforming the Hang Seng Index by 4% over the past two days, which is seen as a natural reaction [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - For the upcoming month until mid-September, the property sector is expected to show resilience due to increased market expectations for new policy support from the policy address on September 17 and potential interest rate cuts in the US [1] - Over a 12-month horizon, the Hong Kong property market, particularly residential and retail sectors, is anticipated to gradually recover [1] Group 3: Stock Recommendations - In the retail sector, the bank is optimistic about Swire Properties (01972), Hang Lung Properties (00101), Wharf Real Estate Investment (01997), and Link REIT (00823) [1] - In the residential sector, the bank favors Henderson Land Development (00012) and Sino Land Company (00083) [1]