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Bristol Myers vs Gilead Sciences: Which Biotech Stock Is a Better Bet Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-28 14:36
Core Insights - Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) and Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) are prominent biotechnology companies with diverse portfolios and global reach [1][2] - GILD is a leader in the HIV market, with significant revenue contributions from its key drugs [4][10] - BMY has a strong oncology portfolio, with drugs like Opdivo driving revenue despite facing generic competition [12][17] Gilead Sciences (GILD) - GILD's flagship HIV drug, Biktarvy, holds over 52% of the U.S. treatment market and is the most prescribed regimen for HIV-1 infection [4][10] - The company has received FDA approval for lenacapavir, a twice-yearly injectable HIV prevention drug, which generated $39 million in sales in Q3 [5][6] - GILD forecasts a 5% revenue growth in HIV for 2025, up from a previous estimate of 3% [7] - The liver disease portfolio has been bolstered by the FDA approval of Livdelzi, which exceeded $100 million in quarterly sales for the first time [9] - GILD's oncology portfolio includes Trodelvy and a Cell Therapy franchise, although the latter faces competitive pressures [10][11] - GILD's total debt-to-total-capital ratio was 53.8% as of September 30, 2025, with $9.4 billion in cash and $25 billion in long-term debt [11] Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) - BMY's growth portfolio includes drugs like Opdivo, which is the top revenue generator and shows strong sales momentum [12][13] - The approval of Opdivo Qvantig has further strengthened BMY's immuno-oncology portfolio, with projected global sales growth [14] - BMY's Reblozyl and Breyanzi have also contributed significantly to revenue, with Reblozyl annualizing over $2 billion in sales [15] - BMY is facing challenges from generic competition for legacy drugs, impacting overall revenue growth [17] - The company announced the acquisition of Orbital Therapeutics for $1.5 billion, which will enhance its pipeline with promising candidates [18][19] - BMY's total debt-to-total-capital ratio was 72.5% as of September 30, 2025, with $15.7 billion in cash and $44.5 billion in long-term debt [20] Financial Estimates and Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BMY's 2025 sales indicates a decrease of 0.82%, while EPS is expected to increase by 466.96% [21] - GILD's 2025 sales are projected to grow by 1.05%, with EPS expected to improve by 76.84% [22] - GILD has outperformed BMY in price performance, gaining 38% compared to BMY's loss of 12.9% [24] - GILD's shares trade at a forward P/E ratio of 15.15, while BMY's is at 8.17, indicating GILD is more expensive [25] - BMY offers a higher dividend yield of 5.04% compared to GILD's 2.48% [26] Investment Outlook - Both companies hold a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), making the choice between them complex [29] - GILD's innovation in the HIV portfolio and recent approvals position it for growth [29] - BMY's efforts to stabilize revenue amid generic competition are noted, but significant challenges remain [30]
GILD Stock Rises on Q2 Earnings and Sales Beat, '25 View Up
ZACKS· 2025-08-08 14:25
Core Insights - Gilead Sciences, Inc. reported better-than-expected Q2 2025 results, with adjusted EPS of $2.01 surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.95 and remaining flat year over year [1] - Total revenues reached $7.1 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.9 billion, marking a 2% year-over-year increase driven by higher sales in HIV, Livdelzi, and Trodelvy [1] Financial Performance - Product sales increased 2% year over year to $7.1 billion; excluding Veklury, product sales rose 4% to $6.9 billion [5] - HIV product sales grew 7% year over year to $5.1 billion, driven by increased demand and higher average realized prices, beating estimates [5][6] - Biktarvy sales increased 9% year over year to $3.5 billion, holding over 51% market share in the U.S. treatment market [6] - Descovy sales surged 35% year over year to $653 million, maintaining over 40% market share in pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) [7] - Liver Disease portfolio sales decreased 4% to $795 million, primarily due to lower chronic HCV sales impacted by Medicare Part D redesign [9] - Veklury sales plummeted 44% to $121 million due to reduced COVID-19-related hospitalizations [9] - Cell Therapy product sales fell 7% to $485 million, missing estimates due to competitive pressures [10] - Trodelvy sales increased 14% year over year to $364 million, driven by higher demand [11] Cost and Guidance - Adjusted product gross margin improved to 86.9% from 86% year over year [12] - R&D expenses rose to $1.5 billion from $1.3 billion due to increased clinical manufacturing activities [12] - Gilead raised its 2025 product sales guidance to between $28.3 billion and $28.7 billion, with adjusted EPS now anticipated in the range of $7.95-$8.25 [14][15] Pipeline Developments - Gilead received FDA approval for lenacapavir (Yeztugo), a twice-yearly injectable HIV-1 capsid inhibitor for prevention, marking a significant addition to its HIV portfolio [16][20] - The company entered a partnership with Kymera Therapeutics to develop a novel molecular glue degrader program targeting CDK2, with potential payments up to $750 million [18] Market Position - Gilead's strong performance in the HIV segment is expected to continue, with projected growth of approximately 3% in 2025, driven by Biktarvy and Descovy [19] - The approval of Yeztugo addresses barriers to PrEP adoption, providing a competitive advantage over daily oral medications [21] - Gilead's breast cancer drug Trodelvy is gaining market share, while cell therapies face competitive challenges [22][23]