Summary of Meituan's 3Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Meituan (3690.HK) - **Industry**: E-commerce and food delivery services Key Financial Metrics - **Total Revenues**: Rmb95.5 billion, a 2% year-over-year increase and 4% quarter-over-quarter increase, but 1.8% lower than Citi's estimate of Rmb97.25 billion and 2.0% lower than consensus of Rmb97.47 billion [1][3] - **Core Local Commerce Revenue**: Declined 2.8% year-over-year to Rmb67.4 billion, below the expected Rmb69.0 billion [1] - **Delivery Services Revenue**: Decreased 17.1% year-over-year to Rmb23.0 billion, accounting for 24% of total revenues [1] - **New Initiatives Revenue**: Increased 15.9% year-over-year to Rmb28.0 billion, slightly below the expected Rmb28.2 billion, with an operating loss of Rmb1.3 billion [1] - **Group Adjusted Net Loss**: Rmb16.0 billion, better than the expected Rmb16.26 billion but worse than consensus of Rmb13.96 billion [1] - **Adjusted EBITDA**: Rmb-14.8 billion, with a margin of -15.5% [1] Operating Metrics - **Operating Loss in Core Local Commerce**: Rmb-14.1 billion, a significant decline from Rmb+14.6 billion in 3Q24, with an operating margin of -20.9% [2] - **Operating Loss for New Initiatives**: Rmb-1.3 billion, compared to Rmb-1.03 billion in 3Q24, with a loss margin of -4.6% [2] Competitive Landscape and Future Outlook - **Competition**: Intense competition is expected to continue, leading to further operating losses in the CLC segment and overall group level in 4Q25 [3] - **Concerns**: The increase in loss from unallocated items to Rmb4.4 billion this quarter from Rmb1.6 billion in 2Q25 raises concerns about financial management [3] - **Management Focus Areas**: Strategies to defend market share, recover from losses, updates on AI initiatives, and capital allocation for AI investments were highlighted as key discussion points for future calls [6] Valuation and Risk Assessment - **Target Price**: HK$117.00, representing a potential upside of 14.1% from the current price of HK$102.50 [4][11] - **Market Capitalization**: HK$625.54 billion (approximately US$80.41 billion) [4] - **Risk Rating**: High risk due to volatility and competition, with potential downside risks including continued losses in food delivery and intensified competition in the in-store and hotel business [12] Additional Insights - **AI Initiatives**: Progress on AI integration into the Meituan app is noted, with positive early results from AI Assistant Xiaomei and AI agent Ask Xiaotuan [6] - **Future Call Focus**: Management's thoughts on profitability timing, competition strategies, macroeconomic sentiment, and merchant feedback on promotional subsidies will be critical areas of discussion [6]

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