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香港交易所(00388):交易费、上市费收入增速扩大
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-11-05 13:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388.HK) [1] Core Views - The report highlights significant growth in trading fees and listing fees, driven by high market activity and low operational expenditure growth [1][2] - The company achieved a revenue of HKD 21.851 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 37%, with net profit rising by 45% to HKD 13.419 billion [1] - The report anticipates continued profitability growth, with projected net profits of HKD 17.786 billion, HKD 19.152 billion, and HKD 20.811 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] Revenue Breakdown - Trading and transaction fees, listing fees, settlement and clearing fees, and market data fees showed year-on-year growth rates of 57%, 17%, 66%, and 8% respectively, contributing to the overall revenue [1][2] - The average daily trading volume for equity securities increased by 132% year-on-year, leading to a 123% rise in trading fee income [2] - The number of new listings on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange increased by 24 to a total of 69, with IPO and refinancing amounts growing by 239% and 274% respectively [3] Profitability Forecast - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) of HKD 14.07, HKD 15.12, and HKD 16.40 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 30, 28, and 26 [4][8] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise to 31.8% in 2025, indicating strong profitability [8]