Core Insights - Orange has launched a new strategic plan titled "Trust the future," focusing on sustainable value creation and profitable growth, with an emphasis on cash flow generation compared to the previous plan [1][4][19] Financial Guidance - For 2026, the expected EBITDAaL is approximately 3% with an organic cash flow target of around €4 billion, and a dividend of €0.79 payable in 2027 [1][20] - By 2028, the Group anticipates EBITDAaL to grow at a CAGR of approximately 3% from 2025 to 2028, with organic cash flow reaching about €5.2 billion [1][19] - The eCAPEX/sales ratio is projected to decrease to around 14% by 2028, while maintaining a net debt to EBITDAaL ratio of approximately 2x in the medium term [1][20] Strategic Ambitions - The strategy is built around three key ambitions: Customer intimacy, Innovative growth, and Excellence at scale [4][6][19] - Customer intimacy aims to enhance relationships with the 340 million customer base, reducing churn and improving loyalty [6][10] - Innovative growth focuses on expanding profitable services beyond connectivity, targeting an additional €1 billion in revenue by 2028 [7][10] - Excellence at scale leverages the Group's size for technological leadership and operational efficiency [9][12] Market Focus - In France, the Group is transitioning to a full fiber network while implementing efficiency measures to counteract declining copper-related revenues [3][13] - The Africa and Middle East regions are expected to see high single-digit revenue growth, with a similar growth rate anticipated for EBITDAaL [14] - In Europe, low single-digit growth in service revenues and EBITDAaL is expected, with a disciplined approach to CAPEX [15] Operational Efficiency - The Group plans to achieve €1 billion in savings through enhanced operational efficiency, particularly in procurement [12] - AI deployment will be expanded across operations, targeting €600 million in value generated from AI by 2028 [12][19] Shareholder Returns - The Group is committed to maintaining an attractive remuneration policy, with a progressive dividend growth strategy and a new floor set at €0.85 for 2028 [1][20] Commitment to Society and Environment - Orange aims to extend digital trust and provide free digital training to 6 million people by 2030, while also committing to a 45% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 [22][24]

Summary of the SG Bernstein China Next Winners Basket Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **China equities market**, particularly highlighting innovative growth companies in strategic sectors as part of the **SG Bernstein China Next Winners Basket** [1][7][18]. Key Points and Arguments 15th Five-Year Plan Insights - The **15th Five-Year Plan (FYP)** emphasizes high-quality development, technological self-sufficiency, and green transition, with a long-term GDP per capita target to reach middle-income status by **2035** [11][22]. - Key areas prioritized include: - **Technology and Innovation**: Growth in semiconductors and AI is expected [12]. - **Advanced Manufacturing**: New companies in automation and robotics are emerging [13]. - **Green Technology**: China aims for **50% penetration of electric vehicles** and full electrification by the end of the decade [14]. - **Healthcare**: Opportunities arise from an aging population and advancements in drug development [15]. - **Domestic Consumption**: A shift towards experience over material goods is noted [16]. - **Urban Air Mobility**: China seeks to dominate the low-altitude economy with proactive regulations [16]. Earnings Growth Projections - For the **2024-2027** period, **Discretionary, Communication, Technology, and Healthcare** sectors are expected to contribute around **75%** of EPS growth [17][29]. SG Bernstein China Next Winners Basket - The basket includes **42 innovative growth companies** across four sectors: - **Technology (60%)**: Includes Internet platforms and semiconductors. - **Industrials (13%)**: Focus on factory automation and humanoid robots. - **Consumer & Retail (20%)**: Reflects changing consumer preferences. - **Healthcare (6%)**: Emphasizes advancements in drug development [18][33]. Market Performance and Valuation - The basket is market-cap-weighted with a **15% cap** at inception, focusing on firms listed in **Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and the US** [34]. - The forward P/E ratio for the basket is **22.3**, compared to **13.7** for MSCI China, with a projected CAGR of **16.5%** for the basket versus **9.8%** for MSCI China [42]. Sector-Specific Highlights - **Tech Hardware**: Luxshare's growth in AI and optical transceivers is noted, with a **50% YoY growth** in its communication business [52]. - **Internet**: China is positioned as a leader in AI innovation, with significant potential for cloud services driven by AI [55]. - **Global Energy Storage**: The eVTOL market is projected to grow at a **30% CAGR**, with China leading in orders and regulatory advancements [60]. - **Industrial Technology**: Companies like Inovance are highlighted for their scalable product portfolios and profitable growth [68]. - **Autos**: Rapid adoption of L2+ ADAS features in vehicles, with a projected near-universal adoption by **2030** [69]. - **Pharma & Biotech**: Focus on globalization and pipeline competitiveness, with companies like Hengrui and Innovent identified as potential winners [74]. - **Consumer Trends**: A shift towards value-driven consumption is noted, with sectors like freshly-made beverages and wellness products highlighted [79]. - **Food & Beverages**: Instant retail is transforming the beer market, benefiting local brewers [82]. Additional Important Insights - The emphasis on **original innovation** and breakthroughs in key technologies marks a shift from previous plans, indicating a more aggressive stance on technological advancement [23]. - The **urban air mobility** market is expected to see significant growth, supported by regulatory frameworks and infrastructure development [16][62]. - The **healthcare sector** is evolving with a focus on R&D capabilities and a shift from imitation to innovation [15]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections discussed during the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the strategic direction and investment opportunities within the Chinese equities market.