Summary of XPeng Inc. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: XPeng Inc. (XPEV/9868.HK) - **Industry**: Electric Vehicles (EVs) Key Points 1. Financial Performance and Guidance - XPeng's share price declined by 10% following a 3Q25 result that was in line with expectations but provided below-expectation revenue guidance for 4Q25E, projecting a revenue growth slowdown from 149% year-over-year (YoY) in 3Q25 to 41% in 4Q25E due to increased competition in the market [1][2] - For the full year 2026E, XPeng anticipates a revenue growth of 40%, driven by the launch of 7 new models and collaboration with Volkswagen (VW) [2][6] - The company expects to achieve a GAAP net income of Rmb2.2 billion in 2026E, marking its first full-year break-even with a margin of 2.0% [2][6] 2. New Model Launches - XPeng plans to launch three EREV versions of existing models (G6/G7/P7+) and four new dual-energy models in 2026, including two MONA SUVs [6][9] - The X9 EREV model is set for an official launch on November 20, with pre-sales orders reportedly three times higher than the BEV version [6][9] 3. Collaboration with Volkswagen - XPeng's collaboration with VW is expanding, with technical R&D services expected to contribute to sustainable revenue levels [7][9] - The Turing AI SoC, which has significantly enhanced capabilities, has secured design wins from VW for two B-segment vehicles [7][9] 4. Gross Margin and Cost Management - XPeng reported a total gross margin of 20.1% in 3Q25, an increase of 4.9 percentage points YoY, attributed to higher service revenue from VW [7][9] - The vehicle gross margin was reported at 13.1%, with management expecting stable company-level gross profit margin around 20% in 4Q25E [7][9] 5. Research and Development (R&D) Investments - R&D expenses are projected to increase to Rmb11 billion in 2026E, reflecting ongoing investments in new technologies, including autonomous driving and humanoid robots [2][6] - Management maintains a 2025 full-year R&D expense guidance of Rmb9 billion [7][9] 6. Overseas Expansion - XPeng's overseas sales volume reached 11,000 units in 3Q25, a 54% YoY increase, with local production facilities established in Indonesia and Austria [6][9] - The company expects overseas volume growth to outpace domestic sales in 2026E [6][9] 7. Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - XPeng ended 3Q25 with Rmb29 billion in net cash, with improvements in working capital conditions noted [10][9] - The company has seen a reduction in receivable days from 22 days in 2024 to 10 days in 2025, which is expected to remain stable in 2026E [2][10] 8. Investment Thesis - XPeng is recognized as one of the fastest-growing pure EV makers in China, with a focus on intelligent vehicle features and a significant increase in new model launches [9][11] - The company is currently trading in line with its historical average forward price-to-sales multiple, which is considered attractive given its growth trajectory [11][12] 9. Price Target and Risks - The 12-month price target for XPeng is set at US$25 for ADR and HK$96 for H shares, with an upside potential of approximately 11% [8][12] - Risks include lower-than-expected sales volume, increased price competition, and weaker market demand [12][12] Conclusion XPeng Inc. is positioned for significant growth in the EV market with a robust pipeline of new models and strategic collaborations, particularly with Volkswagen. The company's focus on R&D and overseas expansion, coupled with improving financial metrics, supports a positive investment outlook despite potential market risks.

Summary of XPeng Inc. (XPEV/9868.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: XPeng Inc. (XPEV/9868.HK) - **Industry**: Electric Vehicles (EVs) Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - **2Q25 Results**: Total revenue met expectations, with vehicle gross profit and EBIT exceeding estimates by +17% and +12% respectively, indicating effective cost reduction efforts [1][2] - **Gross Margin Improvement**: Vehicle gross margin improved to 14.3% in 2Q25, up +8.0 percentage points year-over-year and +3.9 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, attributed to product mix changes and supply chain optimization [7] - **Future Margin Outlook**: Vehicle gross margin expected to increase to 15.5% in 3Q25 and 17.7% in 4Q25, with total gross margin projected to reach high-teens in 4Q25 [2][7] Sales Volume and Pricing - **Sales Volume Guidance**: Management expects to deliver 116,000 units in 3Q25 and 142,000 units in 4Q25, driven by new model launches [2][7] - **Average Selling Price (ASP)**: ASP is projected to decline by -2% in 3Q25 due to lower pricing of new models but is expected to improve by +12% in 4Q25 due to product mix optimization [2] - **Product Portfolio**: XPeng's current offerings span the Rmb100k-500k price range, with new models set to launch at Rmb300k and Rmb400k levels [7] New Model Launches - **Upcoming Models**: New P7 launching on August 27, expected to rank among the top 3 in its price segment. The X9 EREV model is set to launch in 4Q25 [4][7] - **Increased Launch Frequency**: XPeng plans to introduce 10 new and refreshed models annually from 2024 to 2026, significantly increasing from 1-2 models per year previously [10] Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations - **Volkswagen Cooperation**: XPeng reported Rmb1.4 billion in revenue from services in 2Q25, with expectations for sequential growth in 3Q/4Q. A new agreement with Volkswagen aims to expand technical collaboration into ICE/PHEV platforms [7] Research and Development - **R&D Investment**: Full-year R&D expenses for 2025 raised to Rmb9 billion, focusing on AI and technology advancements [7] Market Position and Future Outlook - **Market Growth**: XPeng's overseas sales volume increased by +150% year-over-year in 2Q25, with production starting at its Indonesia factory [9] - **Smart Driving Technology**: The Ultra version of the G7 accounts for 50% of its sales, featuring advanced AI capabilities. XPeng aims to lead in smart driving functions by 2026 [9] - **Robotaxi and Humanoid Robots**: Plans for mass production of L4 capable vehicles and humanoid robots are set for 2026, with trial operations for robotaxis expected to begin [9] Investment Thesis - **Buy Rating**: XPeng is rated as a "Buy" due to its growth trajectory, improved product competitiveness, and cost structure. The 12-month price target remains at US$24/HK$94, indicating an upside potential of +18% and +17% respectively [3][11] Risks - **Potential Risks**: Risks include lower-than-expected sales volume, increased price competition, and weaker market demand [11] Additional Important Information - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately $19.3 billion [8] - **Revenue Estimates**: Adjusted revenue estimates for 2025-2027 reflect a slight decrease in volume estimates but an increase in gross profit margin [3]