Workflow
Interest rate cuts
icon
Search documents
Philly Fed's Paulson Sees Room for Cuts ‘Later in the Year'
WSJ· 2026-01-03 19:30
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve may consider further interest rate cuts if inflation decreases, but such reductions are not expected to happen immediately [1] Group 1 - Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson indicated the possibility of additional interest rate cuts contingent on inflation trends [1]
European Shares Seen Mixed At Open
RTTNews· 2026-01-02 05:31
European stocks are seen opening mixed on the first trading day of 2026 on Friday, following the New Year's Day holiday.U.S. equity futures ticked higher after the major indexes fell for a fourth straight session on Wednesday to wrap up 2025. But full-year performance was robust, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite rallying by 20.4 percent for the year, the S&P 500 surging by 16.4 percent and the Dow adding 13.0 percent amid the euphoria around AI-linked stocks.Closer home, the Stoxx 600 index soared 17 p ...
Sensex jumps over 350 pts, Nifty above 26,250 as earnings buzz builds
The Economic Times· 2026-01-02 04:03
The On the 30-stock Sensex, shares of Auto stocks outperformed, with the sector index rising 0.8%, buoyed by gains of about 2% in slid 5%, extending a steep selloff after a 10% drop in the previous session, as a string of brokerage downgrades flagged pressure on earnings from the government’s cigarette tax increase. The decline in ITC weighed on the fast-moving consumer goods index, which fell 1.4%.Live EventsBroader market sentiment was mildly positive, with small-cap stocks up 0.2% and mid-cap shares ad ...
Economist Mark Zandi sees the Fed surprising with three rate cuts in first half of 2026
CNBC· 2025-12-31 17:02
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates aggressively in early 2026 due to labor market weakness, inflation uncertainty, and political pressure, according to Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi [1][2]. Group 1: Labor Market and Economic Conditions - The job market is still flagging, particularly in early 2026, which will lead to insufficient job growth and rising unemployment, prompting the Fed to cut rates [2]. - Zandi anticipates three cuts of a quarter percentage point each before mid-year 2026, contrasting with market expectations of only two cuts later in the year [1][3]. Group 2: Federal Reserve's Outlook - Current market pricing indicates a first cut not until at least April 2026, with a second cut likely around September, while Fed officials are even more cautious, expecting only one cut throughout the year [3][4]. - The Fed's individual officials' expectations suggest a tepid pace for any potential reductions, with recent minutes indicating that the decision for a cut was a close call [4]. Group 3: Political Influence - The potential for President Trump to reshape the Fed's hierarchy adds uncertainty, as he currently has three appointees on the board and is likely to appoint another loyalist soon [5][6]. - Trump's advocacy for lower interest rates may lead to increased political pressure on the Fed, especially with midterm congressional elections approaching [7].
Stock Index Futures Slip in Weak End to a Banner Year
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-31 11:21
Economic data released on Tuesday showed that the U.S. Chicago PMI rose to 43.5 in December, stronger than expectations of 39.8. Separately, the U.S. October S&P/CS HPI Composite - 20 n.s.a. eased to +1.3% y/y from +1.4% y/y in September, stronger than expectations of +1.1% y/y.“Wall Street is rounding out the year in a subdued fashion, capping a good year for stocks, albeit one that included a nervous moment or two,” according to Kyle Rodda, senior analyst at Capital.com. “The markets are pricing in a pret ...
Best money market account rates today, December 31, 2025 (secure up to 4.1% APY)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-31 11:00
Core Insights - The article discusses the current state of money market account (MMA) rates, highlighting the importance of finding competitive rates as interest rates decline following recent Federal Reserve cuts [1][5]. Group 1: Current MMA Rates - The national average interest rate for money market accounts is 0.58%, while top rates can exceed 4% APY, comparable to high-yield savings accounts [2]. - Quontic Bank and HUSTL currently offer the highest MMA rates at 4.1%, which is over seven times the national average [8]. Group 2: Impact of Federal Reserve Actions - Deposit account rates, including money market rates, are influenced by the federal funds rate set by the Federal Reserve, which affects how banks charge each other for overnight loans [3]. - Between July 2023 and September 2024, the Fed maintained a target range of 5.25%–5.50%, but subsequently cut the federal funds rate by a total of 100 basis points, leading to a decline in money market rates [4]. Group 3: Considerations for Savers - With interest rates still elevated, money market accounts are seen as an attractive option for savers seeking safety, liquidity, and better returns than traditional savings accounts [6]. - Factors to consider when deciding on a money market account include liquidity needs, savings goals, and risk tolerance, as these accounts provide easy access to funds and are FDIC insured [7].
Fed Caution Ahead: 5 Low-Volatility Stocks to Buy for 2026
ZACKS· 2025-12-29 17:16
Core Insights - The Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate to a target range of 3.5% to 3.75% [1] - The transition in leadership at the Federal Reserve in 2026 introduces uncertainty regarding future interest rate policies [4][5][8] Consumer Staples and Utilities Sector - Stocks in the Zacks Consumer Staples and Utilities sectors are recommended due to their lower volatility amid current market uncertainty [2][9] - Notable consumer staples stocks include Monster Beverage (MNST) and Mama's Creations, Inc. (MAMA), both rated Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [2][11] - Utilities stocks such as Dominion Energy (D), Ameren Corporation (AEE), and Sempra Energy (SRE) hold Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) and are expected to perform well [2][11] Low-Beta Stocks - The highlighted stocks are categorized as low-beta stocks, indicating they are less volatile compared to the broader market [3][12] - These stocks are projected to show earnings growth in 2026, supported by favorable Zacks Ranks [3] Individual Stock Performance - **Monster Beverage**: - Beta of 0.48, long-term earnings growth of 16.81%, and 2026 sales estimate of $9 billion reflecting a growth of 9.48% [16][17] - **Mama's Creations**: - Beta of 0.79, long-term earnings growth of 4.35%, and 2026 sales estimate of $218.2 million reflecting a growth of 26.49% [18][19] - **Dominion Energy**: - Beta of 0.70, long-term earnings growth of 10.26%, and 2026 sales estimate of $16.48 billion reflecting a growth of 5.14% [20][21] - **Ameren Corporation**: - Beta of 0.57, long-term earnings growth of 8.52%, and 2026 sales estimate of $9.71 billion reflecting a growth of 6.33% [22][23] - **Sempra Energy**: - Beta of 0.73, long-term earnings growth of 7.33%, and 2026 sales estimate of $14.74 billion suggesting growth of 8.5% [24][25]
Keefe Bruyette Lifts AGNC Target Ahead of 2026 Outlook
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-27 06:00
AGNC Investment Corp. (NASDAQ:AGNC) is included among the 13 Highest Paying Monthly Dividend Stocks to Buy. Keefe Bruyette Lifts AGNC Target Ahead of 2026 Outlook On December 18, Keefe Bruyette analyst Bose George raised his price target on AGNC Investment Corp. (NASDAQ:AGNC) to $11 from $10.50 and kept an Outperform rating. The firm said it remains most constructive on agency MBS REITs heading into 2026. AGNC Investment Corp. (NASDAQ:AGNC) sits right in the middle of the housing and rate cycle. When ra ...
S&P 500 reaches a record high as ‘Santa Claus rally' kicks off
Fastcompany· 2025-12-26 14:01
Market Performance - The S&P 500 reached an intraday record high of 6,921.42 points, surpassing its previous peak from October, driven by broad sector gains and investor optimism regarding potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve next year [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 167.50 points, or 0.35%, to 48,610.95, while the S&P 500 gained 10.24 points, or 0.15%, to 6,920.24, and the Nasdaq Composite saw a slight decline of 2.48 points, or 0.01%, to 23,558.35 [5] Economic Indicators - The U.S. economy experienced its fastest growth in two years during the third quarter, although consumer confidence worsened in December and factory production remained flat in November, which tempered the economic outlook [2] - New applications for U.S. jobless benefits unexpectedly fell last week, indicating steady labor market conditions [2] Sector Highlights - Micron Technology's stock surged by 4% following a strong forecast, contributing to the overall gains in the market [3] - Bank stocks also supported the S&P 500, with financials rising by 0.4% to a new peak [3] - Dynavax Technologies experienced a significant increase of 38.5% after Sanofi announced plans to acquire the company for approximately $2.2 billion [8] Market Trends - The recent gains in U.S. stocks have led to expectations of a "Santa Claus rally," a seasonal trend where the S&P 500 typically gains in the last five trading days of the year and the first two in January [4] - The bull market, which began in October 2022, remains intact, supported by optimism around AI, anticipated rate cuts, and a resilient economy, with all three main indexes poised for their third consecutive yearly gain [6]
QQQS Has 2026 Tailwinds
Etftrends· 2025-12-26 13:39
Core Viewpoint - Small-cap stocks and related ETFs have faced challenges in 2023, but there are signs of recovery and potential growth for these assets heading into 2026, particularly highlighted by recent performance metrics [1][6]. Performance Indicators - The Russell 2000 Index has gained 4.33% over the past month, while the Invesco NASDAQ Future Gen 200 ETF (QQQS) has returned over 6% in the same period, indicating a positive trend for small-cap investors [1]. - Historically, small-cap stocks have outperformed large-cap stocks in the months following Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, with data showing this trend since 1990 [2]. Market Dynamics - Increased mergers and acquisitions activity, along with more accommodating regulatory policies, are expected to contribute to the favorable outlook for small-cap stocks [2]. - The QQQS ETF allocates nearly 52% of its weight to healthcare stocks, which are rumored to be potential takeover targets, enhancing its attractiveness [2]. Valuation Insights - Small-cap stocks currently exhibit undemanding valuations despite recent strength, making them an appealing option for growth and diversification [3][4]. - The QQQS ETF has a significant allocation (71%) to healthcare and technology sectors, which are typically seen as richly valued in the small-cap space [3]. Risk and Market Sentiment - The QQQS ETF is considered to have a manageable risk profile, with potential support from market participants willing to embrace risk in the small-cap sector [5]. - The recent rally in small-cap stocks has been driven by falling interest rates and economic growth, which are expected to continue benefiting this asset class [6].