Fox Business Alert. We got new inflation data out today showing that inflation is stubbornly sticky and that's slamming the brakes on investors hopes for an early summer rate cut. So, let me show you.Exactly one week ago, the market was pricing in a 66% chance of a rate cut in June. On Tuesday, that number jumped to 70%. But now, a reality check for investors betting on more Fed easing.That drop signals that uh the Fed is laser focused on personal consumption expenditure. The price index which heated up to ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes that the current healthy labor market and cooling inflation reduce the immediate need for interest-rate cuts [1] Labor Market - The labor market remains robust, indicating strong employment figures and job growth, which supports consumer spending and economic stability [1] - Unemployment rates are low, contributing to a positive economic outlook [1] Inflation Trends - Inflation is showing signs of cooling, which alleviates pressure on the Federal Reserve to implement aggressive interest-rate cuts [1] - The moderation in inflation rates suggests that the economy may be stabilizing, allowing for a more measured approach to monetary policy [1]

Core Insights - January showed a favorable economic environment with cooling inflation and a robust labor market [1] Inflation Data - The US consumer price index increased by 0.2% in January and is up 2.4% year-over-year [1] - Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, also saw a rise of 0% [1] Labor Market - The labor market continued to add jobs, indicating strong employment growth despite inflation trends [1]

分组1 - The Federal Reserve paused interest rate changes to assess the impact of higher borrowing costs on inflation and the economy, maintaining the funds rate at 5.25% to 5.50% since September 2023 [1][2] - The dual mandate of the Fed requires balancing inflation control and job growth, with recent job market data complicating expectations for future rate cuts [2][20] - The January jobs report showed unexpected job growth, with payrolls rising by 130,000, leading to a decrease in the unemployment rate from 4.4% to 4.3%, indicating a resilient labor market [4][5][18] 分组2 - The health care sector led job gains in January, adding 82,000 positions, while other sectors like social assistance and construction also saw growth [7][8] - Economists expect inflation to ease, with projections of a more subdued Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading, suggesting potential room for rate cuts to support labor market recovery [17][20] - Fed officials are cautious about further rate cuts, emphasizing the need to monitor inflation trends and labor market stability before making decisions [21][24][25]

The January nonfarm payrolls report beat Wall Street expectations in both job creation and the unemployment rate. Here are the top five takeaways:"Just in: GREAT JOBS NUMBERS, FAR GREATER THAN EXPECTED! The United States of America should be paying MUCH LESS on its Borrowings (BONDS!). We are again the strongest Country in the World, and should therefore be paying the LOWEST INTEREST RATE, by far. This would be an INTEREST COST SAVINGS OF AT LEAST ONE TRILLION DOLLARS PER YEAR - BALANCED BUDGET, PLUS. WOW! ...

Let's start with the these Fed officials chiming in because this was interesting Danielle. This made headlines. You got Beth Hammock saying rates could be on hold for quite some time and then you had Lorie Logan echoing that saying current policy stance appropriate she says. I mean what did you make of that Danielle? That does not sound like two Fed officials who are you know jumping here itching to to cut rates because of this labor market. >> Uh it certainly does not. Um, and I would venture to say that t ...

Unemployment is still very low and is likely to stay that way. ...

Core Viewpoint - The ADP jobs report indicates a significant slowdown in private hiring, with only 22,000 new jobs created in January, reflecting a stagnant labor market that shows no signs of improvement [1]. Group 1: Job Creation - Businesses added a mere 22,000 jobs in January, which is substantially lower than Wall Street's forecast of a 45,000 increase [1]. - The report suggests that the labor market remains fragile, making it increasingly difficult for individuals to find work [1]. Group 2: Economic Context - The sluggish job creation is attributed to ongoing trade wars and a crackdown on immigration, which have negatively impacted employment opportunities [1].

Core Viewpoint - The discussion centers around Kevin Worsh's potential impact on the Federal Reserve, particularly regarding his views on inflation and monetary policy independence [2][6][9]. Group 1: Kevin Worsh's Background and Experience - Kevin Worsh has significant experience with the Federal Reserve, having served during both normal times and the global financial crisis, which provides him with a deep understanding of the Fed's culture and operations [3]. - He has been critical of certain actions taken during the pandemic, acknowledging that the Fed made mistakes, but also recognizes the good work done in analyzing the post-pandemic period [4][5]. Group 2: Monetary Policy and Independence - Worsh's belief in the independence of the Federal Reserve in setting monetary policy is emphasized, but he will need to establish credibility in this area, especially given recent challenges to the Fed's independence [6][7][8]. - The current environment requires Worsh to demonstrate that monetary policy decisions are based on sound economic analysis rather than political influences [8][9]. Group 3: Labor Market and Economic Conditions - The labor market is described as being in an "uneasy balance" between supply and demand, complicating the Fed's ability to address its softness through monetary policy alone [13]. - There are differing opinions within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) regarding the appropriate response to the labor market and inflation, with some members suggesting that inflation remains a concern despite potential softening in the labor market [15][16].

Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady as Job Market StabilizesCONCLUDED[The Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady. Powell Steers Clear of Politics.]Last Updated:---6 hours ago# Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady as Job Market StabilizesBy[Megan Leonhardt]The Federal Reserve opted to keep interest rates steady on Wednesday, a decision that was widely expected by markets but at odds with the Trump administration's goals.At the conclusion of a two-day policy meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to keep its target ...