For Immediate ReleasesChicago, IL – December 16, 2025 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include AB SKF (SKFRY) , Dillards (DDS) and Dycom Industries (DY) .Here are highlights from Tuesday’s Analyst Blog:Finally! U.S. Federal Jobs Data: Global Week AheadWhat is happening in the Global Week Ahead?The U.S. Federal g ...

Yields on U.S. government debt have seen big swings over the past two days, as the latest round of nongovernment data on the labor market has left investors scratching their heads. ...

Market Response to Government Shutdown - The equity markets reached all-time highs despite the government shutdown, indicating a historical trend where shutdowns have not significantly impacted market performance [2][3][4] - The excitement surrounding AI technology, particularly in the semiconductor sector, has contributed to market strength [3] - Treasury yields decreased slightly, influenced by weak ADP job data and expectations of continued Federal Reserve rate cuts [5][6] Economic Implications - The government shutdown is expected to have a non-linear impact on the economy, with a general rule of thumb suggesting a 0.1% decrease in GDP for each week of the shutdown [19] - If the shutdown extends beyond October 17th, the unemployment rate could rise to 4.8%, but this is anticipated to be a temporary spike [19] - Businesses are likely to exercise caution and avoid significant risks during periods of uncertainty, which could lead to permanent losses in the economy [20][21] Data Dependency and Future Outlook - The lack of government data makes alternative data sources more critical for economic analysis, as traditional metrics may not be available [14][15] - The Federal Reserve's decisions will be heavily influenced by the available data, with a focus on labor market indicators [6][27] - The key number to watch for maintaining stable unemployment is 40,000 jobs created per month, which is essential for economic stability [29][30]

Government Shutdown Implications - The likelihood of a government shutdown is rising significantly, with probabilities now in the very high numbers [1][4][8] - The last continuing resolution was passed on March 1st, and the current impasse is partly due to the political fallout from that event [2] - If the government shuts down, critical labor market data, including jobs data, may not be released, which could impact market sentiment [3][9] Market Reactions and Economic Impact - Despite the uncertainty, it is suggested that the market and investors should not be overly concerned about the shutdown's impact on the overall economy [3][4] - Historical context indicates that previous shutdowns, such as during the Trump administration, did not lead to catastrophic economic effects [4][6] - A shutdown lasting a few days may not be significant, but if it extends to weeks, it could have more serious implications [7] Labor Market and Economic Indicators - Upcoming labor market data, including the Jolts report, is critical, with expectations of around 7.1 million job openings [14] - Consumer confidence is anticipated to dip slightly from 97.4 to 96 due to the looming shutdown [14] - The Case-Shiller home price index showed a month-over-month decline of 0.1% and a year-over-year increase of 1.8%, indicating mixed signals in the housing market [10][11] Federal Reserve Commentary - Several Federal Reserve speakers are scheduled to discuss interest rates and the economy, which may provide insights into future monetary policy [15] - The upcoming October Fed meeting's occurrence during a potential government shutdown raises questions about its implications [15]

Group 1: Bitcoin Price Movement - Bitcoin's price surged past $115,000, reaching a daily high of $116,317, marking a nearly 3% weekly gain [1] - The surge resulted in over $354 million in liquidations for leveraged traders, with $121 million from long positions and $233 million from short positions [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Rate Cuts - A Reuters survey indicated that 105 out of 107 economists expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points on September 17, lowering the target range to 4.00%–4.25% [2] - Weak labor market data has shifted sentiment towards a more aggressive easing path, with markets pricing in at least one rate cut and expectations for up to three reductions by year-end [3] Group 3: Market Indicators and Sentiment - CryptoQuant's Bull Score Index shows eight out of ten core market indicators are bearish, raising concerns about Bitcoin's short-term outlook [4] - The CoinGlass Bull Run Index (CBBI) is at 74, suggesting the market is about three-quarters through the current bull cycle, but only one of its 30 peak signals has triggered [5] Group 4: Potential for Continued Rally - Despite the recent liquidations and bearish signals, macroeconomic conditions could support Bitcoin's price if the Fed cuts rates and adopts a dovish stance [6]

Inflation & Pricing Pressure - PPI数据值得信任，细节与整体同样重要，需深入挖掘[1][2] - 生产者价格可能更多地传递到消费者价格[3] - 部分公司表示，即使未直接受关税影响，也可能提高价格[4][5] - 关税的影响不太可能是一次性的，公司将决定利润率的承担比例和价格转嫁比例[6] Market Performance & Strategy - 市场对关税采取乐观态度，但指数层面的表现主要由大型股驱动[7][8] - 标普500指数中，跑赢指数的股票占比约为三分之一，表明存在轮动[9] - Russell 2000指数与美联储政策预期短期相关[9] - 建议关注高质量的小型股，避免低质量股票，以应对市场回调或波动[14][15] Small Cap Concerns - Russell 2000指数中有40%的公司不盈利或现金流不足以支付债务利息[12][14] - 摆脱低质量反弹，倾向于更高质量的股票[15]

Interest Rate Expectations - The market anticipates an 84.5% probability of a rate cut in September [1] Economic Indicators - Inflation and labor market data are crucial this week [1] - Key data releases include CPI (today), initial jobless claims (tomorrow), and PPI (Thursday) [1] Market Outlook - Expect high volatility in the market [1]