Workflow
Low - Carbon Economy
icon
Search documents
Arafura Rare Earths (ARU) 2025 Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-05 00:50
Project Overview - Arafura Rare Earths is developing the world's most advanced construction-ready rare earths project, offering a non-China alternative [1] - The Nolans Project has a mine life of over 38 years and is strategically located with access to existing infrastructure [28, 31, 47] - The project is construction-ready with environmental permits and approvals in place, and over US$40 million has been spent on site works to de-risk the project schedule [35] Financials and Funding - The project's NPV8 after tax is estimated at US$1,729 million (base) and US$2,549 million (incentive) [30] - The company is targeting 60% of equity funding through Cornerstone Investors [40] - Over US$1 billion of debt and completion support has been conditionally approved [40, 48] - NRFC has committed to a A$200 million investment [48] - KfW has an investment of US$113 million subject to conditions [40, 41] Market and Demand - The rare earth magnet exports to the US experienced a 93.3% year-on-year decline in May 2025 [13] - Demand for NdPr oxide is projected to grow at a 7% CAGR from 2024 to 2035, requiring an additional supply of nearly 60kt by 2035 [17] - Robotics is an emerging thematic with a CAGR of approximately 22% between 2024 and 2035, with humanoids forecast to be a US$5 Trillion market by 2050 [17] Production and Cost - The Nolans Project is projected to produce 4,440 tpa of NdPr oxide [28, 47] - The project is expected to be in the first quartile of the cost curve [29, 48] - The project will produce 573 tpa of SEG/HRE Oxide [29]