Lower U.S. real interest rates
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Gold hit a record and silver’s at a 14-year high — this Wall Street bank says two other commodities will join the party
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-22 09:53
Core Viewpoint - Citigroup predicts a continued rally in gold and silver, with potential opportunities emerging in copper and aluminum by 2026, driven by economic factors and changes in U.S. monetary policy [1][4]. Group 1: Precious Metals Performance - Gold prices increased by $44.40, or 1.2%, reaching $3,750 per ounce, aiming for a new closing high, potentially its 36th this year [2]. - Silver rose over 2% to $43.86 per ounce, with an intraday peak of $44.10, the highest level since August 2011, as investors anticipate a new settlement high [3]. Group 2: Future Outlook for Metals - The bull market for gold and silver is expected to broaden into copper and aluminum by 2026, influenced by anticipated dovish Federal Reserve leadership and lower U.S. real interest rates [4]. - Factors driving this trend include a weak labor market, tariff-related growth concerns, U.S. debt worries, and a weakening dollar [5]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Citigroup suggests buying dips in gold, targeting $3,800 per ounce in the next three months, with a peak expected in the first quarter of the following year [6]. - The bullish scenario for gold could see prices reaching $4,000 amid stagflation and Fed independence concerns, while a bearish scenario could see prices drop to $3,400 [6]. - For aluminum, the strategists express strong bullish sentiment over the next six to 36 months, indicating that any price dips should be viewed as long-term buying opportunities [7].