Macro Uncertainty

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高盛-全球市场分析师:隐含波动率的宏观驱动因素
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-07 15:45
6 July 2025 | 9:31PM EDT Global Markets Analyst The Macro Drivers of Implied Volatility (Rosenberg) Isabella Rosenberg +1(212)357-7628 | isabella.rosenberg@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. c45a43530f604d12bcb9a82b5aa6b9f6 n FX volatility has declined in recent weeks, alongside more beni ...
Caterpillar's Dividend Hike Is A Positive Signal Amid Macro Worries
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-19 14:51
Amid so much macro uncertainty, global companies signal optimism to Wall Street. According to data from Wall Street Horizon through June 16, 2025, there’s a net 21 percentage-point positive differential between dividend raisers and slashers—the best Q2 going back several years.Freelance Financial Writer | Investments | Markets | Personal Finance | RetirementI create written content used in various formats including articles, blogs, emails, and social media for financial advisors and investment firms in a co ...
Viking Holdings Hit By Weak 2026 Pricing, Analyst Warns On Macro Uncertainty
Benzinga· 2025-05-21 19:29
Core Viewpoint - Stifel analyst Steven Wieczynski maintains a Buy rating on Viking Holdings Ltd, lowering the price forecast from $52 to $50 due to concerns over early 2026 pricing trends and macroeconomic uncertainty [1]. Financial Performance - Viking reported first-quarter total revenue of $897.1 million, reflecting a 24.9% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [1]. - The company aims for mid-single-digit yield growth for 2026, although the outcome remains uncertain [2]. Booking and Demand Insights - Viking's current 2026 booking levels are approximately 37% of inventory sold, which is ahead of forecasts [3]. - The company is not heavily relying on promotions to drive demand, indicating a strong position due to a longer booking window and a large customer base [3]. - Viking's response to booking strength concerns was reassuring, clarifying that FY25 pricing appeared inflated compared to FY24 due to the absence of a lower-yielding world cruise [4]. Marketing and Growth Potential - Viking has the capacity to drive demand through marketing without significantly increasing SG&A as a percentage of revenue, thanks to its direct marketing model [5]. - The company is projected to achieve strong EBITDA growth of approximately 18% annually through 2027 [5]. Stock Performance - Viking shares are trading lower by 2.62% to $43.59 as of the latest check [5].
Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz(KSPI) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-12 13:02
Kaspi.kz (KSPI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 12, 2025 08:00 AM ET Company Participants David Ferguson - MD & Head of Investor RelationsMikheil Lomtadze - Chairman of the Management Board , CEO & DirectorYgal Arounian - Director - Internet Equity ResearchDarrin Peller - Managing DirectorReggie Smith - Executive Director - Equity Research Conference Call Participants Jamie Friedman - Senior FinTech and IT Services Research AnalystNone - AnalystGabor Kemeny - Senior Analyst Operator Hello, and welcome, everyone, ...
Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz(KSPI) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-12 13:00
Kaspi.kz (KSPI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 12, 2025 08:00 AM ET Speaker0 Hello, and welcome, everyone, to the Kaspi KZ First Quarter twenty twenty five Financial Results. I will now hand you over to David Ferguson, Head of Investor Relations at Cassidy Cape Verde to begin. David, please go ahead. Speaker1 Great. Thank you, Maxine. Good afternoon, good morning to everyone. Thanks a lot for joining us for our first quarter twenty twenty five financial results. I'm David Ferguson. I'm joined, as usual, by Mikha ...
comScore(SCOR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-06 21:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $85.7 million, down 1.3% from $86.8 million in the same quarter last year [13] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $7.4 million, up 2.8% year over year, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 8.6% [14][15] - The company expects full year revenue for 2025 to be in the low end of the previously provided range of $360 million to $370 million [16][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Content and ad measurement revenue was $73.2 million, slightly up from the prior year, driven by growth in cross platform and local TV offerings [13] - Cross platform revenue increased by 20.5% year over year to $9.7 million, supported by growth in Proximic and Comscore campaign ratings [13] - Syndicated audience revenue decreased by 1.7% to $63.5 million, primarily due to declines in national TV and syndicated digital products [14] - Research and Insight Solutions revenue was down 11.5% to $12.5 million, attributed to lower renewals and timing of deliveries [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a cautious approach from advertisers in certain categories, impacting overall performance in the cross platform solution group [8] - The macroeconomic environment has created uncertainty, affecting ad spend, particularly in digital advertising [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on driving greater adoption of its offerings, particularly for use in TV currency transactions [10] - The rollout of the cross platform content measurement product has been encouraging, addressing an unmet need for clients [11] - Comscore certified deal IDs were announced, aimed at improving targeting and efficiency in programmatic advertising [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed caution regarding expectations for Q2 revenues due to macroeconomic uncertainty impacting ad spend [8] - The company anticipates revenue in Q2 2025 to be in line with Q1 and roughly flat compared to Q2 2024, with expectations for revenue growth in the latter half of the year [17] - Management is monitoring industry and economic conditions to align expectations and strategy as needed [18] Other Important Information - The company achieved another accreditation from the MRC for its TV measurement offering, making it the only solution meeting MRC standards for both local and national TV measurement [5][6] - The company is making progress in addressing legacy workflows and technical debt, which has improved operational execution [6] Q&A Session Summary - No questions were raised during the Q&A session, leading to the conclusion of the conference call [19]
Why Snap Could Potentially Double
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-03 09:34
Core Viewpoint - Snap's valuation decreased by 12% despite reporting better-than-expected results for its first fiscal quarter, primarily due to the company's decision not to provide guidance for Q2'25, citing macroeconomic uncertainty [1]. Financial Performance - Snap reported results that exceeded analysts' expectations for the first fiscal quarter [1]. Market Reaction - The stock price dropped significantly by 12% following the earnings report, indicating investor concerns over future guidance and macroeconomic conditions [1].
Block plunges 20% as Cash App miss triggers downgrades
CNBC· 2025-05-02 14:11
Block shares were on track for their second-worst day Friday, plunging more than 20% as investors digested a brutal quarterly report and a wave of analyst downgrades centered on one issue: Cash App.The first-quarter earnings miss rattled Wall Street, prompting multiple firms — including Wells Fargo, Seaport, BMO, and Benchmark — to downgrade the stock overnight. Many flagged fresh concerns around stagnant Cash App user growth, muted consumer demand, and a soft macro environment that may weigh on monetizatio ...
Amazon: Feeling The Trade-War Pain More Than Others
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-27 10:33
Group 1 - Amazon shares have declined over 30% from all-time highs due to macroeconomic uncertainty affecting investor sentiment [1] - For the trailing twelve months (TTM), Amazon shares are down 2%, while the S&P 500 has gained nearly 6% [1]