Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on Monday, “We have so much momentum in the U.S. economy that the Fed needs to keep the policy rate in a mildly restrictive stance,” adding that he does not project any rate cuts in 2026.Following the manufacturing data, traders slightly pared expectations for Fed rate cuts. U.S. rate futures have priced in a 91.0% probability of no rate change and a 9.0% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the next central bank meeting in March. The next rate cut is expected to ...

Core Viewpoint - Prologis is positioned as a stronger investment opportunity compared to Union Pacific due to its significant growth potential in the e-commerce sector and its ability to generate income through its extensive warehouse operations [1][15]. Prologis Overview - Prologis is a major real estate investment trust (REIT) with a warehouse footprint of 1.3 billion square feet, equivalent to two Manhattans, and facilitates the flow of $2.7 trillion in goods annually, ranking it as the eighth-largest economy globally [3]. - The company has strategically located warehouses near major metro areas and transportation hubs, making it ideal for rapid delivery services, with notable clients including Amazon, Home Depot, and FedEx [4]. Recent Performance - In Q1 2025, Prologis signed 58 million square feet of new leases, an increase from 48 million in Q1 2024, and initiated $650 million in new developments, up from $273 million the previous year [5]. - The company achieved a 10.9% increase in funds from operations (FFO) in Q1, driven by strong tenant retention and rising rents, while net operating income rose by 6.2% [6]. Market Demand and Future Growth - E-commerce currently accounts for approximately 24% of U.S. retail sales and is projected to exceed 30% by 2030, necessitating an additional 60 to 70 million square feet of warehouse space for each percentage point increase [8]. - Prologis possesses enough undeveloped land to support $41.2 billion in future warehouse constructions, positioning it well to meet increasing demand [9]. Union Pacific Overview - Union Pacific operates a vast network of 32,693 miles of track, generating revenue primarily from freight transportation, including coal, grain, and automobiles [10]. - Unlike Prologis, Union Pacific faces limitations in expanding its operations due to the nature of its railroad business, which requires significant capital for maintenance rather than new construction [11]. Recent Performance - Under CEO Jim Vena, Union Pacific has improved operational efficiency, resulting in a 7% increase in carload revenue and generating $2.2 billion in cash in its latest quarter [12]. Investment Considerations - While Union Pacific has solid fundamentals, its growth is constrained by market cycles and a near-capacity network, limiting long-term upside potential [13]. - Prologis offers a more attractive investment profile with a 3.8% dividend yield compared to Union Pacific's 2.4%, making it a better choice for investors seeking both income and growth [15].