Market Overview - The market currently lacks strong momentum and fundamental threats that would typically shift the narrative [1][2][3] - Absence of imminent central bank meetings and major US data releases contributes to the current market stability [2] - A "black swan" event is considered the only factor that could significantly alter the market narrative [2] Potential Risks - An overstretched market could trigger an internal correction [3] - A year-end dollar rally is identified as a potential source of pressure on existing positions, with possible spillover effects [4] - A stronger dollar could tighten financial conditions globally, impacting assets priced in dollars [6] Gold Market - A stronger dollar negatively impacts gold, as gold is often inversely correlated with the dollar [6][7] - Higher yields also put pressure on gold prices [7][8] - Short dollar positions and consensus long gold positions are vulnerable to a dollar rally [8][9] Outlook - Equities are expected to continue grinding higher despite concerns [10] - A significant internal hurdle is needed to disrupt the current upward trend in equities [10] - Expect a dollar bounce, which is probably bullish [10]

Core Insights - Investor risk appetite is surging, with significant inflows into speculative investment vehicles despite ongoing tariffs [1][2] - Total assets under management (AUM) in leveraged equity ETFs have increased by 74% since April, surpassing $1.6 billion [1] - The current AUM is nearing the $1.8 billion peak from three years ago, indicating strong risk appetite [2] Market Trends - The market is described as increasingly "febrile," with over $700 million flowing into high-risk funds since spring [2] - The largest one-year inflow was noted in leveraged ETFs tied to gold miners, reflecting a strategy focused on volatility even in safe-haven sectors [4] Leveraged ETFs Overview - Leveraged ETFs utilize financial derivatives and debt to amplify returns, making them popular for short-term speculation [3] - The trend suggests a growing belief among traders in continued upward market momentum [3] Price Action - A list of notable leveraged ETFs shows significant year-to-date and one-year performance, with some bullish options like ProShares UltraPro QQQ up 33.36% YTD and 50.49% over one year [5] - Conversely, bearish leveraged ETFs like ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ have seen declines of -52.11% YTD and -60.86% over one year [5] - Major ETFs tracking the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices have also shown positive premarket movements [5]

Market Trends - The market is tracking momentum for altseason [1] Investment Opportunities - Every move counts in altseason [1]

Market Focus - The industry is currently focused on celebrity tokens and their potential [1] - The industry is exploring methods to identify genuine market momentum ahead of traditional chart analysis [1] Event Information - A live event is scheduled for August 22nd at 2 AM UTC to discuss the market [1]

you could be added to the list. Liesman is on the case. He'll follow, of course, as the pool is growing ever larger.Circle. You mentioned SoFi. Probably a fair amount of retail participation in those types of names.And an interesting note today out from Goldman Sachs on that very topic where they talk about how to play some of these retail heavy or meme like names at times. Kristina Partsinevelos looking at that for us today, what did you find. >> That the animal spirits are.>> Back. Scott. We're seeing ret ...

Market Sentiment - The financial industry highlights market momentum and potential shifts from bull to bear markets [1] - The new money app aims to capitalize on market trends [1]

A 30% probability of a US recession might sound like a red flag, yet global stocks remain buoyant as betting against the market momentum “feels almost irrational,” according to a Goldman trader https://t.co/fsNTTGeLYX ...

Charts turning green? Momentum building?We asked CMC AI: “Why is the market up today?”Get your answers for sharper entries 👇https://t.co/dHFQxQ4sXO https://t.co/4KVQn9oUIJ ...

Core Insights - Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) is expected to report earnings of approximately $1.75 per share, reflecting a 16% increase year-over-year, with revenues anticipated to grow by nearly 5% [2] - The growth is driven by an increase in assets under custody and administration, which surpassed $53 trillion, alongside cost reductions and a focus on higher-margin businesses [2] - Revenue from fees is projected to rise due to recent market developments and the acquisition of new clients, with a noted correlation between equity market shifts and fee income [2] Financial Performance - BNY currently has a market capitalization of $67 billion, with revenue of $19 billion and net income of $4.7 billion over the last twelve months [3] - The bank's fee income is sensitive to market performance, with a 5% shift in equity markets corresponding to approximately $70 million in fees [2] Earnings Reaction History - Over the past five years, BNY has recorded 20 earnings data points, with 12 positive and 8 negative one-day post-earnings returns, resulting in a 60% positive return rate [5] - This positive return rate increases to 83% when considering the last three years [5] - The median positive return is 3.9%, while the median negative return is -2.1% [5] Correlation Analysis - A strategy to evaluate the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be employed, particularly focusing on pairs with strong correlations [6] - The correlation between one-day and five-day returns is highlighted as a potential trading strategy [6]

Core Insights - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence before making any financial decisions [1] Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content for educational and research purposes [1] - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1] - Users are encouraged to consult competent advisors and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1] Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs) [1] - It highlights the high risk associated with these instruments and the potential for significant financial loss [1] - Users are advised to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing [1]