贵金属日报 | 2026-02-25 关税推动市场避险情绪 贵金属行情未歇 市场分析 关税方面，美国正式开始征收10%全球关税，白宫正在准备把税率提高到15%的正式命令；有消息称，美国政府还 在考虑以"国家安全"为由，对六个行业加征新一轮关税，涉及大型电池、铸铁及铁制配件、塑料管道、工业化学 品以及电网和电信设备等领域，并将独立于15%全球关税；市场避险情绪偏好出现明显升温。地缘方面，美国白宫 就伊朗问题表示，特朗普总统的首选方案永远是外交手段，但必要时也愿意使用致命武力。伊朗外长阿拉格齐表 示，在上一轮谈判达成的共识基础上，伊朗将在日内瓦与美国恢复谈判，决心在最短时间内达成一项公平合理的 协议。 期货行情与成交量： 2026-02-24，沪金主力合约开于1160.00元/克，收于1150.50元/克，较前一交易日收盘变动3.64%。当日成交量为41087 手，持仓量为129725手。昨日夜盘沪金主力合约开于1144.80元/克，收于1148.14元/克，较昨日午后收盘下跌0.21%。 2026-02-24，沪银主力合约开于22353.00元/千克，收于22327.00元/千克，较前一交易日收盘变动12.87 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Report's Core View - The price of precious metals is expected to continue rising in the long - term, and long - term long positions can be held. However, in the short - term, due to large price increases and over - optimistic market sentiment, there may be sharp fluctuations and adjustments, so short - term investors are advised to wait and see [6] - In the medium - to - long - term, factors such as the Fed's potential interest rate cuts, global geopolitical uncertainties, unsustainable US debt, and continued gold purchases by global central banks will likely drive up the price of gold [6] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Price Tracking - As of October 8, 2025, compared with September 30, 2025, London spot gold rose 4.5% to $4031.06 per ounce, London spot silver rose 3.9% to $48.63 per ounce, COMEX gold rose 4.4% to $4053.40 per ounce, and COMEX silver rose 3.1% to $48.47 per ounce. The prices of domestic gold and silver futures remained unchanged [5] - The price differences and ratios of gold and silver in the domestic and foreign markets also changed. For example, the COMEX gold - to - silver ratio rose 1.2% [5] 2. Position Data - As of October 7, 2025, compared with October 6, 2025, the holdings of gold ETF - SPDR remained unchanged, while the holdings of silver ETF - SLV rose 0.55%. The non - commercial long positions of COMEX gold rose 1.85%, and the non - commercial short positions rose 9.43% [5] 3. Inventory Data - As of October 7, 2025, compared with October 6, 2025, the COMEX gold inventory decreased 0.03% to 40144494 troy ounces, and the COMEX silver inventory decreased 0.11% to 530331634 troy ounces [5] 4. Interest Rate/Exchange Rate/Stock Market - As of October 7, 2025, compared with October 6, 2025, the US dollar index rose 0.49% to 98.59, the 2 - year US Treasury yield fell 0.83% to 3.57%, and the 10 - year US Treasury yield fell 0.96% to 4.14% [5] 5. Market Review and Outlook - On September 30, 2025, the main contract of Shanghai gold futures rose 1.485% to 874.4 yuan per gram, and the main contract of Shanghai silver futures rose 0.77% to 10918 yuan per kilogram. During the National Day holiday, the prices of precious metals in the overseas market continued to rise. It is expected that the prices of Shanghai gold and silver will open significantly higher [5] - The reasons for the sharp rise in precious metal prices during the holiday include increased market risk - aversion sentiment due to political events, expectations of the Fed's interest rate cuts, and China's central bank's gold purchases [6]