Group 1 - Market timing is considered the holy grail for both institutional and retail investors, although it is historically difficult to achieve [1] - Binary Tree Analytics (BTA) aims to provide transparency and analytics in capital markets instruments and trades, focusing on Closed-End Funds (CEFs), Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), and Special Situations [1] - BTA has over 20 years of investment experience and seeks to deliver high annualized returns with a low volatility profile [1]

Timing the market is a gamble. Time in the market builds wealth. ⏳ ...

Market Overview - The S&P 500 has reached a new all-time high in July, up approximately 25% from its low in April [1][2] - Despite the market's rise, one-third of U.S. investors feel "bearish" about future stock performance [2] Investment Scenarios - Scenario one suggests that stock prices could continue to rise, making it a favorable time to invest for immediate gains [4] - Scenario two indicates a potential market downturn, similar to the 20% drop experienced between February and April, but those who held their investments during this period saw a rebound [5] - A historical example from March 2020 shows that despite a rapid market crash, the S&P 500 has since returned nearly 112% [6] Long-term Investment Perspective - Even in the event of a prolonged recession, investing at record-high prices does not guarantee losses if investments are held until recovery [8] - An example from December 2007 illustrates that investing at market highs before the Great Recession could have resulted in a 75% return over ten years, and 312% today, despite initial losses [11][12][14] Investment Strategy - Timing the market is challenging, and waiting for the lowest point to invest may lead to missed opportunities [15] - A consistent investment approach is recommended, allowing for increased investment during market dips while still capitalizing on potential gains [16] Stock Selection - It is crucial to invest in long-term quality stocks with strong fundamentals to withstand economic downturns [17][18] - Companies with solid competitive advantages and robust financials are more likely to survive recessions, making it essential to ensure that all portfolio stocks meet these criteria [19]

Market Volatility & Uncertainty - The market faces continued uncertainty stemming from administration policies, tariffs, and geopolitical factors [2][3] - Despite volatility, the market hit a new high in June, and historically, markets tend to be positive 12 months after hitting a new high [3][4] - The best and worst trading days of the year occurred within four days of each other, making market timing extremely difficult [6] Investment Strategy - Advises clients to review their strategic asset allocation to meet long-term goals and tolerate volatility [5] - Recommends against trying to time the market, emphasizing the importance of reviewing investments and allocations with advisors [6] Economic Outlook - The consumer remains strong and has absorbed tariffs without significant pause, continuing to spend [8][10] - Economic data is strong, and it's important to differentiate between stock market volatility and the overall economy [8] - Inflation data shows prices of consumer goods are ticking up, with August suggested as a potential peak [9]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the potential of quantum computing to enhance financial models and outperform various market sectors through algorithmic advantages [1] - It highlights the use of proprietary Momentum Gauges® to alert subscribers about market changes and the strength of markets for short-term trading opportunities across 11 sectors [1] - The platform, Value & Momentum Breakouts, offers features such as a Premium Portfolio, bull/bear ETF strategy, morning updates, and an active chat room for investors [1] Group 2 - JD Henning, with over 30 years of experience in trading and investing, leads Value & Momentum Breakouts, focusing on identifying breakout signals and breakdown warnings through technical and fundamental analysis [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Nasdaq Composite has entered correction territory, defined as a decline of at least 10% from a recent high, raising investor concerns about potential trade wars and economic recession [1] Market Behavior - Market corrections are normal, and the uncertainty surrounding tariffs may not last, suggesting that panic selling is not advisable [2] - Timing the market is nearly impossible, making it difficult for investors to enter and exit at optimal times [2] Bear Market Insights - Bear markets, defined as a decline of 20% or more, tend to be shorter than bull markets, averaging less than 10 months in duration [3] - Historically, during the first month of a new bull market, stocks have risen by an average of nearly 14%, with returns exceeding 25% in the first three months [3] Historical Context - The bear market following the 1987 crash lasted only three months, while the COVID bear market lasted just over a month [4] Investment Strategy - Investors are encouraged to view market downturns as buying opportunities and to consider a dollar-cost averaging strategy, investing a fixed dollar amount at regular intervals regardless of market conditions [6][7] - Utilizing an exchange-traded fund (ETF) like the Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF is recommended over picking individual stocks during this strategy [8] ETF Overview - The Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF consists of the 100 largest non-financial stocks on the Nasdaq, with approximately 60% of its index comprised of technology stocks [9] - The ETF's top holdings include major companies such as Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia, with respective weightings of 9.7%, 7.9%, and 7.4% [10] Performance Metrics - The Invesco ETF has shown a cumulative return of over 407% over the past 10 years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which gained 239% during the same period [11] - The ETF has outperformed the S&P 500 87% of the time based on rolling monthly returns as of the end of 2024 [11] Conclusion - Current market conditions present a favorable opportunity for dollar-cost averaging into the Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF to establish an attractive cost basis in anticipation of a market rebound [12]