Market timing
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Stop Waiting For The Crash: Why Monthly Cash Flow Beats Market Timing
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-28 12:35
Core Insights - The article highlights Rida Morwa's extensive experience in investment and commercial banking, emphasizing his focus on high-yield investment strategies since 1991 [1] - The Investing Group High Dividend Opportunities aims for a targeted safe yield of over 9%, offering various investment features and community support [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The service provides a model portfolio with buy/sell alerts, catering to both aggressive and conservative investors through preferred and baby bond portfolios [1] - Regular market updates and access to leaders in the service enhance the investment experience for members [1] Group 2: Community and Education - The philosophy of the service emphasizes community and education, promoting the idea that investors should not navigate the market alone [1]
Jeff Bezos warned Americans not to buy a new 'refrigerator, or whatever.’ Fearmongering, or good advice for 2026?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-21 13:33
Group 1: Investment Platforms - Robinhood provides access to over 650 global stocks through American Depository Receipts (ADRs) and offers a range of account types with no minimums, making it accessible for all investors [1][5] - Public is a self-directed investing platform that charges no commission on stock and ETF trades, allowing investments in bonds and alternative asset classes, with interactive social features for learning and sharing ideas [9] - FNRP allows accredited investors to diversify their portfolios through grocery-anchored commercial properties without the responsibilities of being a landlord, with a minimum investment of $50,000 [13][14] Group 2: Economic Indicators and Market Trends - The "Warren Buffett Indicator," which compares the U.S. stock market to the U.S. economy, is currently at 230%, indicating that stock valuations are rising significantly faster than GDP [3] - Despite economic concerns expressed by Jeff Bezos, the S&P 500 has surged about 83% since November 2022, suggesting a strong stock market performance [4] - Historical data shows that U.S. private real estate outperformed equities and bonds during periods of rising Federal Funds rates, indicating resilience in real estate investments [12] Group 3: Alternative Investments - Gold is viewed as a hedge against inflation and a safe-haven asset, with significant price increases noted, including a growth of about 60% year-over-year in 2025 [20][21] - Fine art has outperformed other asset classes as an alternative investment, with platforms like Masterworks allowing fractional ownership in blue-chip art, yielding net annualized returns of 14.6% to 17.8% [24][26][27] - Mogul offers fractional ownership in blue-chip rental properties, providing monthly rental income and tax benefits without the need for a hefty down payment [16][18]
Should You Really Invest in the Stock Market in 2026? Here's What History Says.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-13 21:50
Group 1 - Investors are increasingly concerned about a potential recession or bear market, with nearly one-third feeling "bearish" about the market's outlook for the next six months [1][8] - Historical data suggests that despite market downturns, long-term investments tend to yield positive returns, as evidenced by the S&P 500's performance post-2007 recession [5][6][7] - Timing the market can be challenging, and delaying investments may result in missed opportunities for gains, especially if the market continues to rise [4][6] Group 2 - The S&P 500 index experienced a significant decline during the Great Recession but has since provided substantial returns for long-term investors [6][7] - While short-term market predictions remain uncertain, historical trends indicate that stocks are likely to thrive over the long term [7] - Investors are encouraged to adopt strategies that allow them to not only survive potential downturns but also capitalize on market opportunities [8]
Time in the market is easier than timing it. See why some investors use dollar-cost averaging.⏳
Fidelity Investments· 2025-11-15 17:00
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2 Surprises From Berkshire Hathaway's Latest Earnings With Warren Buffett as CEO
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-15 09:45
Core Insights - Warren Buffett will step down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway at the end of 2025, marking the end of over 50 years of leadership, which could have significant long-term implications for the company [1] Group 1: Current Market Sentiment - Buffett is currently not optimistic about the U.S. stock market, emphasizing the risks of market timing and the historical upward trend of U.S. stocks over time [3] - Despite the long-term positive outlook, Buffett acknowledges the need for defensive investment strategies as individuals approach retirement [4] - Buffett faces a dilemma as a stock picker, struggling with a lack of investment ideas, leading to a rising cash position while being reluctant to invest in less favorable assets [5] Group 2: Financial Performance and Strategy - Berkshire Hathaway reported a record cash position of $381.6 billion, surpassing the previous high of $347.7 billion earlier this year, indicating Buffett's inability to find attractive investment opportunities [7] - The company has engaged in net selling activity, selling more stock than it purchased last quarter, which raises concerns about current market conditions [8] Group 3: Investment Philosophy - Buffett has not repurchased any Berkshire Hathaway shares in the past quarter, despite having repurchased nearly $80 billion worth over the last six years, suggesting a lack of confidence in the stock's valuation [9][11] - Buffett's investment philosophy emphasizes understanding the businesses one invests in, yet his current cash holdings and refusal to reinvest in Berkshire indicate he does not view the stock as undervalued [10][12] - The overall sentiment from Berkshire's latest quarterly results suggests a cautious outlook for investors, highlighting potential concerns in the broader investing landscape [13]
Warren Buffett's Top Rule Echoed By Analysts: 'Betting Against America' Has Never Worked Since 1776 - SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY)
Benzinga· 2025-11-10 08:49
Core Insights - Market analysts emphasize the importance of long-term optimism in the U.S. market, referencing Warren Buffett's principle that betting against America has never been successful since 1776 [1][2] Market Performance - A chart tracking the inflation-adjusted growth of $1 in the U.S. stock market since the 1870s shows that despite various market crashes, that dollar has grown to over $33,000, reflecting a 7% real annual return [2] - Recent performance of major indices indicates declines over the past week: S&P 500 down 2.23%, Nasdaq 100 down 4.04%, and Dow Jones down 1.49% [5] Investment Strategy - Analysts argue that enduring market volatility is essential for long-term gains, with the greatest risk being exiting the market [3] - The discussion highlights the futility of trying to time the market, citing that more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections than during the corrections themselves [3] Compounding Power - The hosts illustrate the power of compounding by noting that 98% of Warren Buffett's $150 billion net worth was accumulated after age 65, underscoring the benefits of long-term investment [4]
3 Index ETFs to Buy With $1,000 and Hold Forever
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-01 15:07
Core Insights - The article emphasizes that average investors should ignore market chatter about bubbles and high valuations, as trying to time the market can lead to missed opportunities for significant gains [2] - A study by J.P. Morgan indicates that missing the best market days can drastically reduce total returns, highlighting the difficulty of market timing [3] - The recommended strategy for retail investors is to dollar-cost average into positions in low-cost exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to achieve diversification and mitigate the impact of market fluctuations [4] Investment Strategies - Investors can start with as little as $1,000 and consistently invest a similar amount monthly to potentially grow a portfolio to over $5.6 million in 30 years with a 15% annualized return [5] - The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF is highlighted as a leading investment option, tracking the performance of the S&P 500 index, which includes the 500 largest U.S. companies [6][7] - The article also mentions the Invesco QQQ Trust for those seeking more exposure to growth stocks and the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF for balance in a growth-heavy portfolio [8]
Bitcoin's Price Dips Back Down From Its Record High. Should Investors Buy the Coin Ahead of 2026?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-14 09:00
Core Insights - Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency, reached over $126,000 for the first time on October 6, 2023, but has since seen a 9% decline as of October 13, 2023, raising questions about its future performance in 2025 and 2026 [1] - Historical patterns indicate that Bitcoin is likely to experience a significant crash of approximately 66% in 2026, following previous trends of substantial declines every four years [2][4] Price Patterns - Bitcoin has experienced major price crashes in 2014 (61%), 2018 (73%), and 2022 (64%), averaging a 66% decline, with these crashes occurring every four years, suggesting a similar event is expected in 2026 [4] - The mechanics of Bitcoin differ from stocks, as it operates on a four-year cycle influenced by mining rewards and supply dynamics, which are not applicable to traditional stock markets [5][8] Supply Dynamics - Bitcoin mining rewards are halved approximately every four years, affecting the circulating supply and creating significant supply-demand disruptions [6] - Historically, Bitcoin's price tends to rise in the years surrounding the halving event, but the fourth year often sees a major pullback as demand balances with the slowed supply growth [7]
ADPV: When Market Timing Works
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-16 13:15
Group 1 - Market timing is considered the holy grail for both institutional and retail investors, although it is historically difficult to achieve [1] - Binary Tree Analytics (BTA) aims to provide transparency and analytics in capital markets instruments and trades, focusing on Closed-End Funds (CEFs), Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), and Special Situations [1] - BTA has over 20 years of investment experience and seeks to deliver high annualized returns with a low volatility profile [1]
X @CryptoJack
CryptoJack· 2025-08-11 11:00
Timing the market is a gamble. Time in the market builds wealth. ⏳ ...