Membership-based Business Model
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Costco or BJ's Wholesale: Which Warehouse Retail Stock Stands Out?
ZACKS· 2025-11-26 16:30
Key Takeaways Costco benefits from high member renewal rates, global scale and a resilient fee-based model.COST posted 8.6% sales growth in October and 16.6% growth in digitally-enabled comparable sales.BJ's club comps rose 1.8% ex-gas, with digital members driving stronger engagement and larger baskets.Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) and BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) operate in the warehouse retail space. Costco, which boasts a market capitalization of about $396.6 billion, runs a membership- ...
Costco vs. BJ's Wholesale: Which Membership Retailer Looks Promising?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 16:10
Core Insights - Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) has a market capitalization of approximately $444.3 billion and operates 905 warehouses globally, while BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) has a market capitalization of around $15.1 billion with 255 clubs and 190 gas locations [1][2] - Costco's membership renewal rates are high at 92.7% in the U.S. and Canada, and 90.2% globally, contributing to its competitive pricing and operational efficiency [3][4] - BJ's is expanding its footprint and refining its value proposition through localized assortments and digital capabilities, achieving an 8.1% increase in membership fee income in Q1 fiscal 2025 [2][9] Costco's Strengths - Costco's membership model ensures a reliable revenue stream, with membership fee income rising 10.4% year-over-year in Q3 fiscal 2025, and a total of 79.6 million paid household members, a 6.8% increase [4][3] - The company plans to open 27 new warehouses in fiscal 2025, increasing its global count to 914 [5] - E-commerce sales grew by 14.8% in Q3, with logistics deliveries up 31%, indicating strong online demand [6] BJ's Growth Strategy - BJ's focuses on marketing and merchandising, targeting high-growth regions and expanding its own-brand portfolio [8] - The company achieved a 35% increase in digitally enabled sales in Q1 fiscal 2025 and plans to add 25-30 new clubs over the next two years [11][12] - BJ's membership fee income reached $120.4 million in Q1, reflecting a strong membership base with a 90% tenured renewal rate [9][10] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Costco's current fiscal year sales suggests an 8.1% year-over-year growth, with EPS expected to grow by 12% [14][15] - For BJ's, the current fiscal year sales estimate indicates a 5.5% growth, with EPS growth projected at 6.2% [16] Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past three months, Costco's shares have advanced by 7.7%, while BJ's shares have risen by 3.2% [18] - Costco's forward P/E ratio is 51.19, compared to BJ's 25.62, indicating a higher valuation for Costco [19] Investment Outlook - Costco is viewed as a more compelling investment choice due to its global scale, customer loyalty, and consistent performance, while BJ's shows promise through expansion and digital innovation [21]