Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to experience increased dispersion among MAG7 stocks in 2026, with a shift in focus from AI infrastructure providers to adopters of AI technology [1]. Market Performance - Over the past 6 months, only 17% of S&P constituents outperformed the index, but this figure rose to 61% in the last month, indicating improved market breadth [2]. - Small-cap stocks, represented by the Russell 2000, have shown the best improvement in breadth compared to both 50-day and 200-day moving averages [3]. Economic Indicators - Recent flash PMI data has been disappointing, suggesting potential challenges for the market narrative [4]. - The economy is showing signs of slowing, which is expected to continue into 2026, although earnings have not yet weakened significantly in line with macroeconomic data [5]. Earnings and Valuation - Since August, there has been a halt in aggressive multiple expansion, with earnings growth continuing to accelerate [6]. - The Russell 2000 index has seen a significant increase in unprofitable stocks, which are up 62% since April 8, compared to a 29% increase in profitable stocks [8]. Investment Strategy - It is recommended to avoid unprofitable lower-quality segments within small caps and to focus on higher-quality profitable segments [9].

I wonder Gina, from a market participants perspective, how does this influence how you will approach today, trading or otherwise. >> Well, you've given us a range that goes from nothing to a lot. So, uh it's a it's a pretty wide range, but look, our 2026 road map um does assume that we continue to see significant capex spending into the infrastructure of AI.Um and we do think that that continues to support uh the kind of let's call it the picks and shovels uh of that uh ecosystem which includes Nvidia, it i ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has revised its long-term stock market forecast, predicting a significant slowdown in returns for the next decade, with a forecast of only 6.5% annual return for the S&P 500, contrasting sharply with the double-digit returns of the past decade [1][4] Group 1: Market Predictions - The firm anticipates global stocks will yield an annual return of 7.7% through 2035, primarily driven by earnings growth rather than valuation expansion [3] - The forecast for the S&P 500 includes a steady 6% earnings growth, a mild valuation headwind, and a modest dividend yield, indicating a shift towards a more "normal" market environment [4][2] Group 2: Valuation Insights - Goldman Sachs believes current price-to-earnings (P/E) levels are unsustainable, predicting a fair-value P/E ratio of 21x by 2035, down from the current 23x [5] - The firm highlights that profit margins are near record highs and unlikely to see the same structural tailwinds that previously boosted them, such as global supply chain efficiencies and declining interest and tax expenses [6] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The emphasis will be on earnings growth rather than multiple expansion, suggesting that investors should focus on businesses that consistently grow and deliver real results rather than chasing market euphoria [4][2] - Goldman embeds a 4.5% yield for 10-year Treasuries into its framework, indicating limited room for valuation growth in the coming decade [7]

Group 1 - The internet's reliance on centralized cloud infrastructure was highlighted by the recent downtime of Amazon Web Services (AWS) [1] - Gold prices experienced a significant decline of -5.7%, marking the largest one-day drop since April 2013, which is a rare occurrence [2][4] - Institutional demand for gold remains strong, with 95% of reserve managers anticipating an increase in global central bank gold holdings over the next 12 months, a record high according to a World Gold Council survey [3][4] Group 2 - The gains of the "Mag 7" stocks have been primarily driven by earnings per share (EPS) growth, contrasting with the broader S&P 500, which has seen more reliance on multiple expansion [4] - Active fund managers are facing challenges, with only 22% of active funds outperforming the market year-to-date, marking the worst performance in at least 26 years [4]

[Music] [Music] Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Cra.Other people, my friends. I'm just trying to make you a little money. My job is not just to entertain, but to teach, put in context.So, call me at 1800 743 CNBC. Tweet me at Jim Kramer. Not that long ago, pretty much everybody assumed that the next non- tech stock to cross the trillion dollar threshold would be the stock of Eli Lilly.Why not. They developed a weight loss and diabetes wonder drug with incredible prospects. Oh, but this mar ...

Core Viewpoint - Laughing Water Capital is a concentrated, long-biased investment partnership targeting businesses facing temporary issues or market misunderstandings due to GAAP accounting or structural challenges [1] Investment Strategy - The company focuses on owning stakes in businesses that are currently undervalued or misinterpreted by the market [1] - It emphasizes the importance of management teams having significant equity ownership to ensure proper incentives for operational improvement [1] Operational Philosophy - The company views its portfolio companies as partners and expects management teams to navigate through challenges effectively [1] - Patience is highlighted as a crucial element in realizing benefits from operational improvements and multiple expansions [1]

Core Insights - Palantir Technologies has seen a remarkable stock price increase of approximately 630% since the beginning of 2024, making it one of the top performers in the market [1] - The company has demonstrated significant growth in both government and commercial revenue, with government revenue growing 45% year over year to $487 million and commercial revenue increasing 33% to $397 million in Q1 [5][6] - The valuation of Palantir's stock is considered extremely high, with revenue growth of only 40% compared to the stock price increase, indicating a potential risk for investors [8][10] Company Performance - Palantir's platform excels in providing AI solutions, transforming business operations for clients like Wendy's and Heineken, significantly reducing the time required for complex tasks [3][4] - The company initially focused on government clients but has successfully expanded into the commercial sector, with U.S. commercial sales growing at an impressive rate of 71% year over year [5][6] Valuation Metrics - Despite the stock's substantial rise, Palantir's valuation metrics suggest that the stock is overpriced, with forward P/E and P/S ratios indicating a high premium [10] - If Palantir achieves projected revenue of $20 billion and profits of $6 billion in five years, it would still be valued at 14 times sales and 48 times earnings, which are typical for growth stocks [10][11] - The assumption that Palantir can sustain high growth rates and profitability margins is critical, but the current stock price reflects an expectation of significant future growth that may not materialize [12]

Core Insights - Laughing Water Capital is a concentrated, long-biased investment partnership targeting accredited investors [1] - The firm focuses on acquiring stakes in businesses facing temporary challenges or those misunderstood by the market due to GAAP accounting issues or structural impediments [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes partnership with portfolio companies, seeking management teams with significant equity ownership to drive operational improvements and multiple expansions [1] - Patience is highlighted as a crucial element in the investment approach [1]