New Energy System
Search documents
十五五加快建设新型能源体系,关注细分领域头部企业 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-10-30 02:05
Core Viewpoint - The report emphasizes the acceleration of building a new energy system and increasing the proportion of renewable energy supply as outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan, aiming to construct a strong energy nation [1][2] Investment Highlights - In October, the photovoltaic industry index experienced a slight decline of 1.39%, underperforming compared to the CSI 300 index which had a return of 1.62% during the same period [2] - Most sub-sectors within the photovoltaic industry saw a decrease, with photovoltaic welding strips, silicon materials, and photovoltaic modules showing the highest gains [2] - Key companies such as TBEA, Yubang New Materials, Longi Green Energy, and others showed notable increases in stock prices [2] Industry Performance - Domestic newly installed photovoltaic capacity reached 9.66 GW in September, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 31.25%, although it still represented a year-on-year decline of 53.76% [3] - Cumulatively, from January to September, the domestic newly installed photovoltaic capacity totaled 240.27 GW, marking a year-on-year growth of 64.73% [3] - The export of photovoltaic components was 25.63 GW, showing a month-on-month decrease of 6.01% as the installation peak season concluded [3] Supply Chain Dynamics - In September, domestic polysilicon production was approximately 129,000 tons, a month-on-month increase of 5.3%, while the production of silicon wafers reached 56.85 GW, up 6.46% [3] - The number of operational photovoltaic glass production lines increased, and inventory days significantly rose [3] - The fourth quarter is expected to see a slight decline in terminal component demand, with a gradual reduction in supply across various segments [3] Investment Recommendations - The third-quarter performance of photovoltaic companies showed signs of stabilization and marginal improvement, attributed to the industry's anti-involution measures and rising polysilicon prices [4] - The photovoltaic industry remains undervalued historically, with potential for valuation recovery as policies regarding product sales prices, mergers, and industry entry barriers are expected to be implemented [4] - Focus on leading companies in sub-sectors such as energy storage inverters, BC batteries, perovskite batteries, photovoltaic adhesive films, photovoltaic glass, and polysilicon materials is recommended [4]