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泰格医药_近期评级上调后投资者反馈_新订单对复苏的驱动作用大于减值风险;重申买入评级
2025-11-24 01:46
21 November 2025 | 5:56PM HKT Equity Research Tigermed (3347.HK) Investor feedback post recent upgrade: New orders outweigh impairment risks in driving recovery; Reiterate Buy | 3347.HK | 12m Price Target: HK$63.40 | Price: HK$38.32 | Upside: 65.4% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300347.SZ | 12m Price Target: Rmb78.70 | Price: Rmb50.69 | Upside: 55.3% | Following our upgrade of Tigermed's rating (see link), the stock rallied after the 3Q results but later retraced to previous levels. Investor feedback reflect ...
药明康德_2025 年三季度业绩回顾_后期小分子研发生产支撑订单增长动能;早期阶段
2025-10-28 03:06
Summary of WuXi AppTec Co. (2359.HK) 3Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: WuXi AppTec Co. (2359.HK) - **Industry**: Biotechnology and Pharmaceutical Services Key Points Financial Performance - **Revenue Guidance**: The company raised its full-year revenue guidance and reiterated its target for TIDES revenue growth of 80% for the year [1][10] - **Gross Margin**: Achieved a record non-IFRS gross margin of 51.5% in 3Q25, up from 42.0% in 2023 and 41.6% in 2024, driven by: - Increased late-stage clinical and commercial projects in the chemistry segment [2] - Process optimization and operational improvements [2] - Ongoing divestment of lower-margin businesses [2] Order Growth and Backlog - **New Orders**: New order growth for 3Q25 was robust at 18%, with significant contributions from small molecule D&M projects [3] - **Pipeline**: The pipeline includes high-potential assets in various therapeutic areas such as GLP-1 and PCSK9 [3] - **Backlog Growth**: TIDES backlog growth was reported at 17%, reflecting a high base and large delivery volumes [3] Market Dynamics - **Sector Recovery**: Early-stage laboratory services are showing signs of recovery, with double-digit new order growth [3] - **Pricing Stability**: Pricing for safety assessments stabilized in 2025, although a full recovery is anticipated to take time [4] Geopolitical Impact - **Limited Impact**: The company noted limited impact from geopolitical uncertainties, with ongoing discussions regarding tariff developments and the Biosecure Act [8] Future Outlook - **Operational Focus**: Emphasis on operational excellence and technological advancements to secure client orders [1] - **Guidance for Next Year**: Management plans to provide guidance for next year's revenue and TIDES growth during the full-year results call [1] Risks and Valuation - **Valuation Adjustments**: FY25-27 non-IFRS EPS estimates revised upwards by 4.7%, 3.7%, and 5.9% due to margin improvements [10] - **Target Price**: The 12-month target price is set at HK$122.5, reflecting a 6.5% upside from the current price [12] - **Key Risks**: Include potential legislative impacts from the US Biosecure Act, pricing pressures, regulatory risks, and uncertainties in the business discovery model [10] Additional Insights - **Technological Advancements**: Increasing importance of technological advancements in securing client orders [1] - **Market Position**: The company is positioned to benefit from a favorable revenue mix and operational improvements, contributing to its competitive edge in the biotechnology sector [2][10]
高盛:中国医疗服务与设备_2025 年第二季度预览_新订单势头对 CDMO 至关重要;关注院内手术及消费复苏
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-14 00:36
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Asymchem, Kangji Medical, Weigao, Angelalign, and Hygeia, while Tigermed, WuXi XDC, WuXi Biologics, and Frontage are rated as "Neutral" [11][15][18][27][36]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in the healthcare sector, particularly in the CDMO segment, with expectations for earnings resilience driven by new order growth and demand from both US and EU markets, as well as from Chinese biotech licensing [2][3]. - The Medtech sector is anticipated to see clearer recovery in the second half of 2025, supported by normalized hospital activity and new product contributions [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring pricing competition and consumption recovery signals in the services sector, particularly in consumer-related categories [4]. Summary by Sections CRO/CDMO - Earnings are expected to remain resilient, especially for companies with exposure to late-stage development and manufacturing projects [2]. - Key investor focus areas include new order growth, client behavior shifts amid policy uncertainties, and pricing and margin recovery [2][13]. - EPS estimates have been revised upward by an average of 1.3% to 1.4% for 2025-2027, with target prices adjusted by an average of 4% [1]. Medtech - Recovery is expected to materialize more clearly in the second half of 2025, with key areas to watch including the pace of VBP rollout and surgical volume trends [3]. - Companies like Weigao and Kangji are ramping up new product launches and global expansions, despite some tariff-related uncertainties [3]. Services - Reimbursement control and DRG/DIP pressure are likely to persist, impacting pricing and volumes [4]. - The report notes a cautious outlook for M&A activity, with companies like Hygeia becoming more positive while others remain cautious [9]. Financial Estimates - The report provides detailed financial estimates for various companies, indicating expected sales growth and net income projections for FY25 and beyond [14][19]. - For instance, WuXi Apptec is projected to achieve a revenue growth of 10-15% for FY25, while Asymchem anticipates double-digit revenue growth alongside margin improvements [19]. Target Price Changes - Target prices for several companies have been adjusted, with Asymchem's target price increased to HK$85.5, reflecting a 13% change [11][15]. - WuXi Biologics' target price is set at HK$25.6, based on a 12-month forward P/E of 22x [15][31]. Backlog and Order Trajectory - The report includes a detailed analysis of backlog and new order trajectories for key players in the CRO/CDMO space, indicating significant year-on-year growth in sales and backlog for companies like WuXi Apptec and WuXi Biologics [17].