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今年秋冬季赤道中东太平洋或将维持偏冷状态,不排除形成弱拉尼娜
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-10-17 03:32
Core Insights - The National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center predicts a cooler state in the equatorial central-eastern Pacific during the autumn and winter of 2025, while most coastal waters of China will experience higher sea temperatures [1][2] Group 1: ENSO Predictions - Experts discussed the changing characteristics of ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) under global warming, which poses new challenges for climate prediction [1] - The Nino3.4 index is expected to approach or reach the threshold for a La Niña event, indicating a possibility of a weak La Niña occurrence [1] Group 2: Seasonal Sea Temperature Forecasts - Predictions for this winter indicate slightly higher sea temperatures in the Bohai Sea and the southern part of the East China Sea, while the Yellow Sea and central and northern East China Sea will also see elevated temperatures [2] - The South China Sea's temperatures are expected to be close to the long-term average, with a focus on the impact of higher coastal sea temperatures on aquaculture and marine ecological environments [2]