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Takeda(TAK) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-30 11:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q1 2025 was just over JPY 1,100 billion, a decrease of 8.4% or 3.7% at constant exchange rates [9] - Core operating profit decreased by 15.8% at actual FX or 11.9% at constant exchange rates, amounting to JPY 321.8 billion [9] - Reported operating profit increased by 11% to JPY 184.6 billion [9] - Adjusted free cash flow was strong at JPY 190.1 billion [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Launch products, which represent 50% of revenue, grew by 5% at constant exchange rates [10] - In the GI segment, Entyvio grew by 4.9% at constant rates, with a 30% increase in active patients [10][11] - TAKHZYRO continues to grow as a market leader in HAE prophylaxis [11] - In oncology, prazacla is expanding with global launches [12] - QDenga was impacted by shipment timing and currency effects but is expected to deliver strong growth for the full year [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market saw a significant impact from Vyvanse's generic erosion, which was a main driver of the revenue decline [13][14] - The generic supply situation in the U.S. improved, leading to expectations of less headwind from Vyvanse in future quarters [14] - The appreciation of the Japanese yen against major currencies also posed a headwind this quarter [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company views FY 2025 as pivotal due to its rapidly progressing late-stage pipeline, including positive results from pivotal studies of oviporexton [6][7] - The focus remains on expanding the orexin franchise and exploring additional indications for orexin agonists [29][35] - The company plans to file for U.S. approval of oviporexton later this year, with regional filings to follow [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates that the impact from Vyvanse's generic erosion will moderate in future quarters, with no change to the full-year outlook [6][18] - The company is well-positioned to manage potential tariff impacts and is actively preparing for future negotiations regarding drug pricing policies in the U.S. [18][110] Other Important Information - The company executed two leverage-neutral bond issuances to streamline its maturity profile [16] - The average annual maturity over the next three years is approximately JPY 220 billion, which is considered manageable [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations for recovery in sales of Entyvio, IG, Vyvanse, and QDenga - Management believes Q1 performance does not reflect underlying product dynamics and expects recovery as market access improves [43][45] Question: Additional benefits of new molecules in the pipeline - The company is exploring multiple indications for orexin agonists, with ongoing Phase IIb programs and plans for new molecules [48][49] Question: Competitive landscape for narcolepsy treatments - Management believes oviporexton is potentially best in class, with significant benefits across all symptoms of narcolepsy type one [57] Question: Investment strategy in the U.S. market - The company is highly invested in U.S. manufacturing and R&D, with plans to continue this trend [59][60] Question: Dynamics affecting Entyvio's market access - Management is addressing local access issues and expects improvements to drive growth for the Entyvio pen [86] Question: R&D spending outlook - R&D spending is expected to ramp up as new trials begin, with management maintaining full-year guidance [72][107] Question: Most favored nation drug pricing policy discussions - The company is preparing for potential negotiations related to the IRA Medicare price negotiations but has not been contacted directly yet [110]