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Are NAB shares worth considering in January?
Rask Media· 2026-01-05 19:38
National Australia Bank Ltd share price is on watch this month as ASX investors scramble to put a rough price target on the company. In this update, you’ll discover how to value a bank share like National Australia Bank Ltd, but remember this is just a quick version.Theshare price is on watch this month as ASX investors scramble to put a rough price target on the company. In this update, you’ll discover how to value a bank share like National Australia Bank Ltd, but remember this is just a quick version.Aus ...
Are ANZ shares worth considering in January?
Rask Media· 2026-01-03 02:02
Core Viewpoint - ANZ Banking Group's share price is under scrutiny as investors attempt to establish a valuation for the company amidst fluctuating market conditions [1][2] Valuation Methods - The PE ratio is a common method for valuing bank shares, comparing the share price to earnings per share [3] - Investors can use intuition, compare with sector averages, or apply a PE multiple to earnings to determine valuation [4] - ANZ's current share price is $36.42, with an earnings per share of $2.15, resulting in a PE ratio of 16.9x, lower than the sector average of 19x [5] Dividend Discount Model (DDM) - DDM is a traditional valuation model that uses dividends to estimate share value, factoring in a risk rate [6][7] - The formula for DDM is Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate) [8] - Using a blended growth rate and risk rate between 6% and 11%, the average valuation for ANZ shares is $35.10, with an adjusted dividend leading to a valuation of $35.74 [10] Growth and Risk Analysis - Different growth and risk rate scenarios yield varying valuations, with a 2% growth rate and 6% risk rate suggesting a valuation of $42.25, while an 11% risk rate drops it to $18.78 [11] Additional Considerations - Evaluating net interest margins and regulatory responses is crucial for understanding ANZ's financial health [12] - Company culture is also a significant factor in long-term investment decisions, with ANZ's culture rated below perfect [12]
Are CBA shares worth considering in January?
Rask Media· 2026-01-01 00:33
Core Viewpoint - The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) share price is under scrutiny as investors attempt to establish a rough valuation of the company, with various valuation methods being discussed [1][2]. Valuation Methods - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is a common method for valuing bank shares, comparing the share price to earnings per share [3]. - A comparative analysis of CBA's PE ratio against peers or sector averages can provide insights into its valuation [4]. - CBA's current share price is $160.57, with an earnings per share of $5.63, resulting in a PE ratio of 28.5x, which is higher than the banking sector average of 19x [5]. Dividend Valuation - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is a robust method for valuing banks, relying on past or forecasted dividends and a risk rate [6][7]. - The formula for DDM valuation is Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate), and it is advisable to calculate with various growth and risk assumptions [8]. - Using a blended growth rate and risk rate between 6% and 11%, the average valuation of CBA shares is estimated at $98.33, with an adjusted dividend payment leading to a valuation of $100.66 [10]. Adjusted Valuation - Considering fully franked dividends, the valuation based on a gross dividend payment of $6.80 results in a share price valuation of $143.80 [11]. Growth and Risk Analysis - A table outlines various growth and risk rates, showing how they affect the share price valuation, with significant variations based on these assumptions [12]. Additional Considerations - Investors should also consider whether investing in a low-cost, dividend-paying ETF may be more beneficial than individual bank shares [12]. - Key questions include the sustainability of net interest margins and the management of regulatory challenges in pursuit of non-interest income [13]. - The assessment of the management team's culture is also crucial for long-term investment decisions [13].
CBA share price at $161: here’s how I would value them
Rask Media· 2025-12-24 00:38
price of Commonwealth Bank of Australia (Right now, you could probably use Google or another data provider to see theof ASX: CBA ) is around $161 per share. But what are CBA shares really worth? How to get to an valuation is one of the more popular questions our senior investment analysts get asked by Australian investors, especially those seeking dividend income. It’s not exclusive to Commonwealth Bank of Australia, of course.ANZ Banking Group (ASX: ANZ) and Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) are also very pop ...
Are BEN shares worth considering in December?
Rask Media· 2025-12-15 19:37
Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd share price is on watch this month as ASX investors scramble to put a rough price target on the company. In this update, you’ll discover how to value a bank share like Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd, but remember this is just a quick version.Theshare price is on watch this month as ASX investors scramble to put a rough price target on the company. In this update, you’ll discover how to value a bank share like Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd, but remember this is just a quick version.Aus ...
NAB share price at $42: here’s how I would value them
Rask Media· 2025-12-14 19:37
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation of National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB) shares, highlighting the importance of understanding their worth for investors, particularly those seeking dividend income. Group 1: Valuation Methods - The Price-Earnings (PE) ratio is a common tool for valuing shares, comparing a company's share price to its earnings per share, with NAB's current PE ratio at 18.6x compared to the banking sector average of 19x [4][6] - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for NAB, based on its earnings per share and the sector average PE, results in a valuation of $41.85 [6] - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is highlighted as a more effective valuation method for banks, relying on past or forecasted dividends and assuming consistent growth [7][8] Group 2: Dividend Valuation - The DDM formula used for valuation is Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate), with an average valuation of NAB shares calculated at $35.74 using a blended growth and risk rate [9][11] - Adjusting the dividend payment to $1.71 per share increases the valuation to $36.16, while considering gross dividends (including franking credits) raises the valuation to $51.66 [11][12] Group 3: Market Context - The Australian banking sector, including NAB, operates in an oligopoly, with large banks favored by investors for their dividend income and franking credits [2][3] - Despite attempts by international banks to enter the Australian market, their success has been limited, reinforcing the strong position of the "Big Four" banks [3]
Are WBC shares worth considering in December?
Rask Media· 2025-12-11 00:37
Core Viewpoint - Westpac Banking Corp's share price is under scrutiny as ASX investors attempt to establish a target valuation for the company, utilizing various valuation methods such as PE ratios and dividend discount models [1][2]. Valuation Methods - The PE ratio is a common method for valuing bank shares, comparing the share price to earnings per share, with a current PE ratio for Westpac at 19.8x, compared to the banking sector average of 18x [3][5]. - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for Westpac, based on its earnings per share of $1.92, results in a valuation of $35.01 [5]. - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is another valuation approach, which considers the most recent dividends and assumes they will remain consistent or grow [6][7]. Dividend Valuation - Using the DDM formula, the valuation of Westpac shares is calculated based on last year's dividend payment of $1.66, with a risk rate between 6% and 11%, yielding a valuation range of $34.05 to $48.64 when considering gross dividends [10][11]. - The expected gross dividend payment of $2.30 leads to a higher valuation of $48.64, reflecting the benefits of fully franked dividends [11]. Growth and Risk Rates - Different growth rates (2% to 4%) and risk rates (6% to 11%) yield varying valuations, indicating the sensitivity of the share price to these assumptions [12]. - The analysis emphasizes the importance of understanding net interest margins and regulatory impacts on non-interest income for a comprehensive evaluation of the bank's performance [13]. Management and Culture - An assessment of Westpac's management and corporate culture is crucial, as cultural factors can influence long-term investment decisions [13].
Are CBA shares worth considering in December?
Rask Media· 2025-12-04 00:37
Core Viewpoint - The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) share price is under scrutiny as investors attempt to establish a valuation for the bank amidst fluctuating market conditions [1][2]. Valuation Methods - The Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is a common method for valuing bank shares, comparing the share price to earnings per share [3][4]. - CBA's current share price is $151.41, with earnings per share of $5.63, resulting in a PE ratio of 26.9x, which is higher than the banking sector average of 18x [5]. - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for CBA, based on the average PE ratio, is calculated to be $100.80 [5]. Dividend Discount Model (DDM) - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is a more robust valuation method for banks, using recent or forecasted dividends and a risk rate [6][7]. - The formula for DDM is Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate), and it is advisable to calculate with various growth and risk assumptions [8]. - Using a blended growth rate and risk rate between 6% and 11%, the average valuation for CBA shares is $98.33, while an adjusted dividend payment valuation is $100.66 [10]. Gross Dividend Valuation - Considering fully franked dividends, the valuation based on a gross dividend payment of $6.80 results in a share price valuation of $143.80 [11]. Growth and Risk Rate Analysis - Different growth and risk rates yield varying valuations, with a 2% growth rate and a 6% risk rate resulting in a valuation of $119.00, while an 11% risk rate drops the valuation to $52.89 [12]. Additional Considerations - Investors should assess net interest margins, regulatory impacts on non-interest income, and the management team's effectiveness when analyzing CBA [13].
NAB share price at $40: here’s how I would value them
Rask Media· 2025-11-30 19:37
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation of National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB) shares, focusing on different methods such as the Price-Earnings (PE) ratio and the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) to determine their worth in the context of Australian banking stocks. Valuation Methods - The PE ratio compares a company's share price to its earnings per share, with NAB's current PE ratio at 17.7x compared to the banking sector average of 18x, leading to a sector-adjusted PE valuation of $40.68 for NAB shares [6]. - The DDM is highlighted as a more effective valuation method for banks, relying on past or forecasted dividends and assuming consistent growth, with a calculated valuation of NAB shares ranging from $35.74 to $51.66 depending on the dividend growth and risk rates used [11][12]. Market Context - Australian bank shares, including NAB, Westpac, and ANZ, are favored by investors, particularly for dividend income, due to the oligopolistic nature of the banking sector in Australia [2][3]. - The presence of large international banks has had limited success in competing with Australia's "Big Four" banks, reinforcing the attractiveness of local bank shares [3]. Dividend Insights - NAB's dividends are fully franked, which can enhance their attractiveness to investors, with a gross dividend payment forecasted at $2.44 leading to a higher valuation of $51.66 [12]. - The article emphasizes the importance of considering various growth and risk assumptions when using the DDM to improve valuation reliability [10].
Are WBC shares worth considering in November?
Rask Media· 2025-11-27 00:37
Core Viewpoint - Westpac Banking Corp's share price is under scrutiny as ASX investors attempt to establish a target valuation for the company [1] Group 1: Market Context - Australia's major banks constitute approximately 30% of the share market by market capitalization [2] - The popularity of ASX bank shares has been notable since the early 1990s, particularly following a recession and high mortgage interest rates exceeding 15% [2] - Banks are generally considered to have implicit protection against total financial collapse, as their failure would pose significant political challenges [2] Group 2: Valuation Methods - The Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is a key metric for valuing shares, comparing a company's share price to its earnings per share [3] - Three methods to utilize the PE ratio include intuitive buying/selling based on PE levels, comparing with sector averages, and calculating a valuation based on expected earnings and a chosen PE multiple [4] - Westpac's current share price is $37.95, with an earnings per share of $1.92, resulting in a PE ratio of 19.8x, which is above the banking sector average of 18x [5] Group 3: Dividend Discount Model (DDM) - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is a traditional and robust method for valuing banking companies [6][7] - DDM valuation involves using the most recent full-year dividends or forecast dividends, assuming consistent growth, and applying a risk rate for discounting future dividends [8][9] - Using a blended growth and risk rate, the average valuation for WBC shares is calculated at $35.10, while an adjusted dividend payment leads to a valuation of $34.05 [10] Group 4: Adjusted Valuation - Considering fully franked dividends, the valuation based on a gross dividend payment of $2.30 results in a share price valuation of $48.64 [11] - Various growth and risk rate scenarios yield a range of valuations, with a 6% risk rate and 2% growth rate suggesting a valuation of $40.25 [12] Group 5: Additional Considerations - The analysis of bank shares like Westpac should also consider alternative investment options, such as low-cost dividend-paying ETFs [12] - Key questions for further analysis include the sustainability of net interest margins and the management of regulatory challenges in pursuit of non-interest income [13] - Company culture is an important factor in long-term investment decisions, with Westpac's culture not rated as perfect [13]