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美国半导体:瑞银全球科技与 AI 大会-第三天要点-US Semiconductors_ UBS Global Technology & AI Conference - Highlights From Day 3
瑞银· 2025-12-08 00:41
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an overall investment rating for the semiconductor industry or specific companies within it Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a significant AI super cycle, with companies like AMD expecting substantial growth in AI workloads and custom ASICs capturing 20-25% of the total addressable market [2][15] - KLAC anticipates growth in its TSMC business and higher investment from INTC, indicating a positive outlook for memory and advanced packaging sectors [3][16] - CoreWeave reports an "insatiable" demand for compute resources, highlighting the shift in AI workloads from training to more compute-intensive inferencing [17] - ARM is making strides in data center CPU development, with expectations of increased revenue opportunities through its CSS model [5][18] - MCHP has raised guidance due to strong order flow and backlog, indicating robust demand across multiple sectors [6][19] - INTC is cautious about supply constraints peaking in 1Q26, while also seeing increased demand driven by AI applications [9][20] Summary by Company AMD - AMD is in a ten-year AI super cycle, expecting significant capital deployment from large companies [2] - The company anticipates multiple GW-scale customers beyond OpenAI, indicating strong market confidence [15] KLAC - KLAC expects low to mid-single-digit growth in C1H:26 due to memory pull-ins and reassured investors about N2 monetization continuing into C2026 [3][16] CoreWeave - CoreWeave's backlog is approximately 55 billion, indicating a strong demand for AI compute resources [17] ARM - ARM is progressing on a data center CPU chip for a major customer and sees significant revenue potential through its CSS model [5][18] MCHP - MCHP reported phenomenal orders in November and expects CQ1 to be significantly above normal seasonal levels [6][19] INTC - INTC reiterated that supply constraints are expected to peak in 1Q26, with a focus on AI-driven demand for CPUs [9][20] PI - PI sees growth from deeper apparel adoption and logistics deployments, with a focus on improving gross margins [10][21] AMBQ - AMBQ's customer base is stable, with expectations for diversified growth in 2027 [11][22] ENTG - ENTG is focused on improving gross margins and may consider consolidating capacity to enhance sentiment [12] SMTC - SMTC is optimistic about its CopperEdge ramp and the adoption of LPO technology among hyperscalers [13][23] Anthropic - Anthropic is constrained by compute capacity, indicating strong demand for AI resources [14] Impinj - Impinj is focused on expanding its RAIN market presence, with significant growth opportunities in logistics and food sectors [21] Semtech - Semtech is preparing for a ramp in its ACC technology to support major hyperscaler deployments [23]