Republican candidates weren’t the only ones who fell short in Tuesday’s elections. Pollsters had a bad night, too. https://t.co/df6QiB00S3 ...

Westin: This is a story about telling the future, or at least discounting it by paying attention to a whole lot of other people telling the future. The business of making a market and futures contracts tied to events is exploding. They may be fun, they may make some people some money, but do they tell us anything about what is around the corner. -I think our goal for the extra markets is really to allow every person that has an opinion on something to find their market and that big event that they care abou ...

Do prediction markets like poly markets potentially replace polls. I mean, polls have come under some siege. It's gotten harder and harder to do them.And by the way, are they more susceptible of being gamed. >> David, I don't think they replace polls anymore than the stock market replaces earnings forecasts. So, no, I don't think that prediction markets are a substitute for polls.Scott Rasmmanson is a traditional pollster and editor at large of ballot pedia. And as challenging as the business of polling has ...