What's driving this unprecedented positioning? 👇https://t.co/tSXbRQvCrf ...

Was Friday's air pocket a oneanddone dip or did it open the way for a more choppy phase of this three-year bull market. Let's ask New Edge Wealth Chief Investment Officer Cameron Dawson. Cameron, good to see you here. Good to see you.So, let's do some tape reading, I guess. How are we thinking about this. We had this unusually calm, steady climb toward all-time highs.We finally get barely a 3% pullback. And now the market is kind of trading in that range, indecisive. Yeah, we've been stuck just within that ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report provides insights into various asset classes including equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities, with a focus on market sentiment and positioning as of September 19, 2025. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Equity Market Forecasts**: - S&P 500 is forecasted to return -25.3% in a bear case, with a base case return of -1.3% and a bull case return of 9.2% [3] - MSCI Europe shows a bear case return of -24.3%, base case of 4.5%, and bull case of 21.2% [3] - Topix is projected to return -31.1% in a bear case, -5.7% in a base case, and 5.4% in a bull case [3] - MSCI Emerging Markets (EM) is expected to return -32.7% in a bear case, -8.1% in a base case, and 3.8% in a bull case [3] 2. **Currency Performance**: - JPY is expected to appreciate by 18.3% in a bear case, with a base case of 10.9% and a bull case of 0.5% [3] - EUR is forecasted to return -4.7% in a bear case, with a base case of 4.7% and a bull case of 9.0% [3] - GBP shows minimal change with a bear case of 0.4% and a bull case of 12.3% [3] 3. **Bond Market Insights**: - UST 10-year bonds are expected to yield 5.7% in a bear case, 10.2% in a base case, and 15.3% in a bull case [3] - UKT 10-year bonds forecast a bear case return of 8.0%, base case of 10.0%, and bull case of 17.4% [3] 4. **Commodity Market Trends**: - Brent crude oil is projected to return -23.1% in a bear case, with a base case of -7.8% and a bull case of 84.4% [3] - Gold is expected to return -21.4% in a bear case, -7.5% in a base case, and 10.9% in a bull case [3] 5. **Market Sentiment and Positioning**: - The Market Sentiment Indicator (MSI) aggregates survey positioning, volatility, and momentum data to quantify market stress and sentiment [62] - Current sentiment shows a negative bias, indicating potential market stress [62] 6. **ETF Flows**: - US equities experienced a significant outflow of $19.8 billion over the past week, indicating a bearish sentiment [44] - In contrast, bonds saw inflows of $15.9 billion, suggesting a flight to safety among investors [44] Additional Important Insights - The Nikkei 225 index surpassed the 45,000 mark for the first time, indicating strong performance in the Japanese equity market [10][14] - The DXY index fell to its lowest level since March 2022, reflecting a weakening US dollar [10][19] - Bond volatility has dropped to a near four-year low, suggesting reduced uncertainty in the bond markets [10][13] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the current state and forecasts of various asset classes, market sentiment, and significant market movements.

Group 1 - The outlook for equities and risk assets is assessed through the lens of US and global business cycles, corporate earnings, monetary policy, liquidity, and positioning [1] - The investment research approach focuses on leveraging the business cycle and incorporates macro, fundamentals, technicals, sentiment, and market structure [2]

Market Sentiment - Consensus on Crypto Twitter (CT) often diverges from actual market positioning [1] - Tweeting activity is not necessarily indicative of trading behavior [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - NexNav's revenue for the first quarter was $1.5 million, an increase of $0.5 million from $1 million in the prior year period, driven primarily by increased service revenue from technology and services contracts with government and commercial customers [15] - Operating expenses for the first quarter were $18.5 million, up approximately $1.3 million compared to the same period last year [16] - The net loss for the first quarter was $58.6 million, which included a $24.5 million loss associated with the change in the fair value of derivative liability and a $14.4 million debt extinguishment loss, compared to a net loss of $31.6 million in the first quarter of the previous year [16][17] - The company finished the quarter with $188.4 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The increase in revenue was primarily attributed to technology and services contracts, indicating growth in the company's service offerings [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The FCC demonstrated meaningful progress in advancing space-based and terrestrial positioning, navigation, and timing (PNT) solutions, reflecting a growing recognition of the need for resilient PNT systems [8][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - NexNav is focused on providing a terrestrial backup to GPS, addressing vulnerabilities in GPS systems, and enhancing national security and public safety [6][14] - The company is actively working with the FCC and stakeholders to integrate its solution into a broader system of systems approach for national PNT resiliency [9][10] - NexNav's strategic roadmap includes driving innovation in geolocation technology and strengthening PNT resiliency [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism regarding the FCC's engagement and the bipartisan support for developing terrestrial PNT solutions, indicating a favorable regulatory environment for the company's initiatives [9][10] - The company is committed to advancing geolocation services that enhance PNT resiliency for national security, public safety, and the economy [50] Other Important Information - NexNav welcomed two new members to its board of directors, both with extensive military and national security leadership experience, which is expected to drive the company's agenda forward [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk us through your proposed network deployment model? - The technology is embedded in 5G and uses existing standards-based signaling mechanisms, allowing for seamless integration with mobile operators' infrastructure [20][22] Question: What would be the motivation for mobile operators to roll this out? - Mobile operators need low-band spectrum for coverage and capacity enhancements, which makes the deployment of NexNav's solution economically attractive [25][26] Question: How expensive would this be to deploy for an MNO? - The capital expenditure would be similar to adding any other spectrum, and the software-based nature of the solution minimizes additional costs [33] Question: How does NexNav's technology compare to satellite systems? - NexNav views satellite systems as complementary, addressing vulnerabilities in satellite-based GPS while providing a terrestrial backup solution [39][41] Question: Is there a shortcut path to achieve the desired regulatory changes? - The FCC can decide on the next steps, and an NPRM is necessary for rule changes, but other processes could expedite the timeline [46][48]