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Reinsurance Group Trades Below 50-Day SMA: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 18:05
Core Viewpoint - Reinsurance Group of America (RGA) is currently experiencing a short-term bearish trend as its shares are trading below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) [1] Group 1: Price Performance - RGA shares have declined by 11.4% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry's gain of 1.3% [2] - The Finance sector and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite have increased by 13.9% and 12.8%, respectively, during the same period [2] Group 2: Valuation Metrics - RGA shares are trading at a price-to-book value of 1.03X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.93X, indicating they are affordable [4] - The company has a market capitalization of $12.5 billion and an average trading volume of 0.4 million shares over the last three months [4] Group 3: Revenue and Earnings Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RGA's 2025 revenues is $23.5 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 3% [6] - The current-year earnings estimate is $22.40 per share, while the 2026 earnings per share and revenues are projected to increase by 14.6% and 10.5%, respectively, from 2025 estimates [9][10] Group 4: Business Strategy and Growth Drivers - RGA's in-force portfolio and product expansion are expected to support long-term earnings diversification [8] - The company benefits from a balanced mix of organic initiatives and transactional opportunities, with a strong foundation in its individual mortality business [13] - Advancements in product design, underwriting, analytics, and innovation are anticipated to drive growth [14] Group 5: Investment Income and Financial Performance - RGA's net investment income has shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.2% from 2016 to 2024, supported by a larger asset base and higher risk-free rates [15] - In the second quarter, income after expenses rose by 30.1% year-over-year to $1.4 billion, with an average yield increase of 66 basis points [15] Group 6: Debt and Financial Flexibility - RGA's long-term borrowings reached $5.73 billion as of June 30, 2025, marking a 13.7% increase from the end of 2024 [17] - The debt-to-capital ratio for the trailing 12 months stood at 47.22, significantly above the industry average of 16.79, indicating elevated leverage [17] Group 7: Shareholder Value and Dividends - RGA has increased its dividend five times over the past five years, resulting in a five-year annualized growth rate of 6.3% and a current payout ratio of 17% [18] Group 8: Analyst Sentiment - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has decreased by 1.5% in the past 30 days, while the estimate for 2026 earnings has increased by 0.4% [10] - The average price target from 10 analysts suggests a potential upside of 22.3% from the last closing price, with a target of $235 per share [12]
MTG Outperforms Industry, Hits 52-Week High: How to Play the Stock
ZACKS· 2025-09-01 15:36
Core Insights - MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) has reached a 52-week high of $28.67, closing at $27.83, with a year-to-date gain of 17.4%, outperforming its industry and the S&P 500 composite [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $6.41 billion, with an average trading volume of 2.1 million shares over the last three months [3] - MTG is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating strong upward momentum [4] Financial Performance - MTG is expanding its insurance-in-force portfolio through robust new business and high annual persistency [7] - The company has a price-to-book value of 1.25X, significantly lower than the industry average of 2.48X, making it an attractive entry point for investors [8] - The return on invested capital (ROIC) has improved to 11.2%, well above the industry average of 2% [9] - Earnings have grown by 12% over the past five years, surpassing the industry average of 9.8% [11] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects a 3.4% year-over-year increase in earnings per share for 2025, with revenues expected to reach $1.23 billion, reflecting a 0.9% increase [10] - Analysts have raised their estimates for 2025 and 2026, with the consensus for 2025 earnings moving up by 4.1% [13] Market Dynamics - New business and solid annual persistency are expected to drive growth, supported by increased home sales and refinancing activity [16] - The company is witnessing a decline in claim filings, which will strengthen its financial profile [16] - MTG is enhancing its capital position through capital contributions and reinsurance transactions, with $742.2 million remaining in its authorization for share repurchases through December 2026 [17] Strategic Outlook - Higher premiums, excellent credit quality, and new business are anticipated to continue driving growth for MGIC Investment [18] - The company engages in share buybacks as part of wealth distribution to shareholders, reflecting its capital strength and financial performance [18] - Optimistic analyst sentiment and favorable ROIC are expected to benefit MGIC Investment in the long term [19]
TRV Stock Near 52-Week High: A Signal for Investors to Hold Tight?
ZACKS· 2025-08-22 15:56
Core Insights - The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) shares closed at $274.92, close to its 52-week high of $277.83, indicating strong investor confidence and potential for further price appreciation [1] - The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, suggesting solid upward momentum [1] Financial Performance - Travelers has consistently beaten earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 89.97% over the last four quarters [2] - The company’s shares have increased by 23.9% over the past year, outperforming the Finance sector and the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] Valuation Metrics - TRV shares are trading at a price-to-book value of 2.1X, higher than the industry average of 1.53X, indicating a premium valuation [8] - The average target price for TRV is $293.86, suggesting a potential upside of 7.1% from the last closing price [11] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Travelers' 2025 revenues is $48.86 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 5.1% [9] - Analysts have raised earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026, with increases of 5.1% and 1.9%, respectively, over the past 30 days [10] Return on Investment - The return on equity (ROE) for the trailing 12 months was 18.69%, significantly higher than the industry average of 7.6% [14] - Return on invested capital (ROIC) was 10.8%, also outperforming the industry average of 5.9% [15] Strategic Initiatives - Travelers is positioned for growth through high retention rates, favorable pricing, and new business gains, with plans to launch new products in the Bond & Specialty segment in 2025 [7][17] - The company expects Q3 investment income of $770 million and Q4 income of $805 million, supported by a $100 billion investment portfolio [18] Market Position - Travelers has a strong presence in the U.S. property-casualty insurance market, with a diversified portfolio across nine distinct lines of business [16][20] - The company has been increasing its book value for the past 10 years and maintains a conservative balance sheet [19] Dividend Policy - Travelers has increased dividends for 21 consecutive years, with a dividend yield of 1.7%, which is attractive compared to the industry average of 0.2% [21]
Brighthouse Financial Trades Below 50-Day SMA: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-21 18:55
Core Viewpoint - Brighthouse Financial, Inc. (BHF) is experiencing a short-term bearish trend as it trades below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), which is a key indicator for identifying support and resistance levels [1] Price Performance - BHF shares have declined by 2.8% year-to-date, while the industry has seen a decline of 1.6%. In contrast, the Finance sector and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite have increased by 10.6% and 8.9%, respectively [2] - The market capitalization of Brighthouse Financial is $2.7 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.8 million shares over the last three months [2] Valuation Metrics - BHF shares are trading at a price-to-book value of 0.47X, significantly lower than the industry average of 1.87X, indicating that the shares are affordable compared to peers [4] Sales Performance - Life insurance sales grew by 17.8% in Q2 2025, reaching $33 million, while annuity sales rose by 8.4% year-over-year to $2.6 billion, driven by strong demand for fixed annuities [7][14] - Total expenses surged by 68% to $3.5 billion in the first half of 2025, with long-term debt reaching $3.2 billion [7] Revenue and Earnings Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues is $8.9 billion, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 1.5%. The current-year earnings estimate is $18.24 per share, down 7.1% from the previous year [8] - For 2026, earnings per share and revenues are projected to increase by 19.4% and 3%, respectively [8] Analyst Sentiment - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has decreased by 0.8% over the past week, while the estimate for 2026 has increased by 0.2% [9] Target Price and Upside Potential - The average price target for BHF, based on short-term projections from 10 analysts, is $56.90 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 23.4% from the last closing price [10] Strategic Initiatives - Brighthouse Financial is focused on expanding life insurance sales, enhancing annuity products, and extending its distribution reach to capture growth in the individual insurance market [13] - The company is reshaping its product lineup to meet changing client demands, including the introduction of SecureKey fixed indexed annuities and SmartGuard Plus, its first universal life product tied to market indexes [16] Financial Challenges - Despite solid fundamentals, Brighthouse Financial faces challenges from rising expenses, higher policyholder claims, and weakening margins, with total expenses increasing significantly [18] - The company's long-term debt has risen to $3.2 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 55%, which is considerably higher than the industry average of 16.7% [19] Conclusion - Brighthouse Financial is gaining traction through strong annuity sales and improving life insurance momentum, but rising expenses and high debt levels present notable challenges that could impact long-term performance [20]
FAF Stock Near 52-Week High: A Signal for Investors to Hold Tight?
ZACKS· 2025-08-20 16:01
Core Viewpoint - First American Financial Corporation (FAF) is experiencing strong investor confidence, with shares closing at $64.88, near its 52-week high of $70.92, indicating potential for further price appreciation [1] Price Performance - FAF shares have gained 4.2% over the past year, although this is below the industry's growth of 6.8% [3] Earnings Surprise History - The company has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 20.30% over the last four quarters [2] Growth Projections - FAF anticipates modest improvements in residential purchase and refinance businesses for 2025, driven by direct premiums, escrow fees, and title agent premiums [7][14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FAF's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 16.1%, with revenues expected to reach $7.10 billion, reflecting a 15.8% improvement [8] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have raised earnings estimates for FAF, with a 2.6% increase for 2025 and a 1.2% increase for 2026 over the past 30 days [9] Price Target - The average price target for FAF is $77 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 20.4% from the last closing price [10] Valuation Metrics - FAF shares are trading at a forward price-to-book value of 1.28X, lower than the industry average of 1.52X, indicating affordability [11] Return on Equity - The company's return on equity (ROE) stands at 10.4%, outperforming the industry average of 7.6%, showcasing efficiency in utilizing shareholders' funds [12] Key Growth Drivers - Increased demand for first-time home purchases among millennials, along with an improving economy and labor market, is expected to drive home price appreciation [13][14] - The company is focused on enhancing its product offerings and expanding its valuation and data businesses, which should contribute to long-term growth [15] Shareholder Returns - FAF is committed to returning wealth to shareholders through dividend hikes and share buybacks, with a dividend yield and payout ratio better than the industry average [15]
CNA Financial Trades Above 50-Day SMA: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 18:10
Core Viewpoint - CNA Financial Corporation is experiencing a short-term bullish trend as its shares trade above key moving averages, despite a recent decline from its 52-week high [1][5]. Group 1: Price Performance - CNA Financial shares have decreased by 1% over the past year, underperforming compared to its industry and the broader market, which saw growth rates of 7.9%, 19%, and 18.1% respectively [2]. - The current market capitalization of CNA Financial is $12.9 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.5 million shares over the last three months [2]. Group 2: Valuation Metrics - CNA Financial shares are trading at a forward price-to-book value of 1.21X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.42X, indicating a discount compared to peers [4]. - The company has a Value Score of B, suggesting it is relatively affordable within the property and casualty insurance sector [4]. Group 3: Revenue and Earnings Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CNA's 2025 revenues is $13.4 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 5.4% [5]. - The current-year earnings estimate is $4.39 per share, with projections for 2026 indicating an increase of 8.4% in earnings per share and 3.5% in revenues compared to 2025 [6][7]. Group 4: Investment Income and Challenges - Net investment income for CNA rose by 7.1% to $662 million, driven by gains in fixed-income and equity investments [5][13]. - The company faces challenges from rising expenses and catastrophe risks, which could impact profitability [5][15]. Group 5: Growth and Underwriting Performance - CNA Financial has consistently reported growth in gross premiums written across all segments, supported by a strong product portfolio and improved retention [11]. - The combined ratio of its property and casualty business has shown substantial improvement, indicating stronger underwriting profitability [11]. Group 6: Market Outlook - The average price target for CNA shares is $49, suggesting a potential upside of 3.5% from the last closing price [8]. - The company has shown resilience in premium growth and investment results, but ongoing exposure to catastrophe losses and rising claims expenses remain concerns [16].
MTG Hits 52-Week High: Time to Add the Stock for Better Returns?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 15:26
Core Insights - MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) has reached a 52-week high of $28.28, closing at $28.10, with an 18.5% year-to-date gain, outperforming its industry and the S&P 500 composite [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $6.67 billion, with an average trading volume of 1.9 million shares over the last three months [3] - MTG is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating strong upward momentum [4] Financial Performance - MTG is expanding its insurance-in-force portfolio through robust new business and high annual persistency [6] - The company has a price-to-book value of 1.3X, which is lower than the industry average of 2.68X, providing a favorable entry point for investors [7] - Return on invested capital (ROIC) has improved to 11.4%, significantly higher than the industry average of 2% [8] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects a 0.3% year-over-year increase in earnings per share for 2025, with revenues expected to reach $1.24 billion, reflecting a 1.8% improvement [9] - Earnings have grown by 12% over the past five years, surpassing the industry average of 10.1% [9] - MTG has consistently exceeded earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 15.88% [10] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have raised their earnings estimates for MTG for 2025 and 2026, with increases of 6.2% and 5.9%, respectively, over the past 60 days [14] - The company has a VGM Score of B, indicating potential upside and strong investor confidence [19] Market Dynamics - Factors driving MTG's growth include increased new business, solid persistency, and a favorable environment for home sales and refinancing [16] - The company is experiencing a decline in claim filings, which is expected to enhance its financial profile [16] - MTG has a solid capital position, with $232.9 million remaining in its share repurchase authorization through December 2026 [17] Conclusion - Higher premiums, excellent credit quality, and new business are anticipated to drive growth for MGIC Investment [18] - The company's share buyback activities reflect its strong capital position and commitment to generating long-term value for shareholders [18]
UNM Stock Trading at a Discount to Industry at 1.23X: Time to Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-06-13 14:56
Core Insights - Unum Group (UNM) shares are trading at a discount compared to the Zacks Accident and Health Insurance industry, with a forward price-to-book value of 1.23X, lower than the industry average of 1.82X, the Finance sector's 4.16X, and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite's 8.1X [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $13.93 billion and an average trading volume of 1.4 million shares over the last three months [1] Performance Comparison - Unum Group shares have surged 63.5% in the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 27.1%, the Finance sector's 20.4%, and the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 10.8% [3] Technical Analysis - Shares closed at $79.25, near a 52-week high of $84.48, indicating strong investor confidence and potential for further price appreciation [5] - The stock is trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $78.88 and $72.31, respectively, suggesting solid upward momentum [5] Growth Projections - For 2025, Unum U.S. expects sales growth of 5-10% and an adjusted operating return on equity (ROE) of 23-25% [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Unum Group's 2025 revenues is $13.24 billion, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 2.7% [10] - Long-term earnings growth is expected at 7.2%, outperforming the industry average of 6% [11] Analyst Sentiment - The average price target for UNM is $92.43 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 17.5% from the last closing price [12] - Recent analyst sentiment has shown some bearish trends, with three of eight analysts lowering estimates for 2025 and two for 2026 [16] Revenue and Premium Growth - Premiums are expected to grow due to healthy in-force block growth and higher sales, with projected sales growth of 5-10% and premium growth of 4-7% in 2025 [17][19] - Unum Group's operational excellence in its two largest segments, Unum U.S. and Colonial Life, is expected to drive growth [18] Dividend History - Unum Group has consistently increased shareholder value through dividend hikes, with a 15% increase effective in Q3 2024, marking the 15th hike in the last 14 years [20] - The dividend yield stands at 2.12%, making it attractive for yield-seeking investors [20] Conclusion - Favorable sales trends, strong persistency, and a solid capital position are expected to benefit Unum Group in the long term, making it a wise investment choice [21]
Radian Group Near 52-Week High: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-30 13:56
Core Insights - Radian Group Inc. (RDN) shares closed at $34.24, near its 52-week high, indicating strong investor confidence and potential for further price appreciation [1] - The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, suggesting solid upward momentum [1] Company Performance - Radian Group has a market capitalization of $4.6 billion, with an average trading volume of 1.7 million shares over the last three months [2] - Year-to-date, RDN shares have gained 7.9%, outperforming the Finance sector's growth of 4.8% and the Zacks S&P 500 composite's decline of 0.3% [5][6] - Compared to peers, RDN has outperformed Old Republic International Corporation (3.9% gain), while MetLife, Inc. and Assurant, Inc. have seen losses of 3.6% and 6.2%, respectively [7] Valuation Metrics - RDN shares are trading at a forward price-to-book value of 1.05X, significantly lower than the industry average of 2.44X and the Finance sector's 4.06X, indicating a better entry point for investors [10] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Radian Group's 2025 revenues is $1.26 billion, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 0.9% [11] - Earnings per share and revenues for 2026 are projected to increase by 3% and 3.2%, respectively, compared to 2025 estimates [11] - Radian Group has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates, averaging a 12.45% surprise over the last four quarters [11] Analyst Sentiment - One of the two analysts covering RDN has lowered estimates for 2025 and 2026, resulting in a 0.2% decrease in the 2025 earnings estimate and a 0.7% decrease for 2026 [12] Business Strategy - Radian Group is focusing on core business areas with higher growth potential, ensuring a predictable and recurring fee-based revenue stream [15] - The company is experiencing a decline in claim filings, which is expected to strengthen its balance sheet and improve its financial profile [16] Capital Position - Radian Group is enhancing its capital position through capital contributions and reinsurance transactions, allowing for dividend hikes and share buybacks [17] Dividend Performance - The company has increased its quarterly dividend by 4.1% in Q1 2025, marking the sixth consecutive year of dividend increases, with a current yield of 2.9%, surpassing the industry average of 2.6% [22] Market Outlook - The private mortgage insurance market is expected to grow by approximately 10% in 2025 compared to 2024, favoring mortgage insurers in the long term [21]
CNA Financial Near 52-Week High: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-27 12:45
Core Viewpoint - CNA Financial Corporation is positioned for potential price appreciation, closing at $47.00, near its 52-week high of $52.36, reflecting strong investor confidence [1] Valuation and Market Position - CNA Financial shares are trading at a forward price-to-book value of 1.24X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.54X, the Finance sector's 4.3X, and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite's 7.98X, indicating a better entry point for investors [2] - The company has a Value Score of B, suggesting it is considered undervalued compared to peers [2] Performance Comparison - Over the past year, CNA Financial shares have gained 5.5%, while the industry, Finance sector, and Zacks S&P 500 composite have grown by 22.7%, 17.4%, and 9.3%, respectively [4][5] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CNA Financial's 2025 revenues is $13.43 billion, indicating a year-over-year improvement of 5.4% [6] - For 2026, the consensus estimates suggest an increase of 10.8% in earnings per share and 3.5% in revenues compared to 2024 estimates [6] Analyst Sentiment - Mixed analyst sentiment is observed, with two analysts lowering 2025 estimates by 5.4% while one raised 2026 estimates by 1.3% over the past 30 days [10] Growth Drivers - CNA Financial's premium growth is supported by solid retention, favorable renewal premium changes, and new business growth across Specialty, Commercial, and International segments [11] - The company benefits from an improving rate environment and a conservative fixed-income investment strategy [11] Financial Strength - CNA Financial maintains a solid balance sheet with statutory capital and surplus of $11 billion, above target levels for all ratings [12] - The company has a strong dividend history with a 10-year CAGR of 6.3% and a current dividend yield of 3.6%, significantly higher than the industry average of 0.2% [13] Return on Capital - The trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) for CNA Financial is 11.9%, outperforming the industry average of 7.8% [14] Concerns - CNA Financial faces exposure to catastrophe losses from natural disasters, which can induce volatility in results [15] - The company has been experiencing rising expenses due to increasing net incurred claims and benefits, which may impact overall profitability [16] Conclusion - The combination of solid retention, favorable premium changes, and new business growth is expected to drive growth for CNA Financial, alongside its commitment to returning value to shareholders through dividends [17] - Favorable growth estimates, higher return on capital, and attractive valuation contribute to the company's upside potential, though caution is advised due to exposure to catastrophe losses and rising expenses [18]