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Walmart Earnings Top Estimates Amid Rising Put Activity
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-11-20 16:06
The shares of Walmart (NYSE:WMT) are up 5.5% to trade at $106.14 this morning, after the world's largest retailer reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings of $0.62 per share, compared to Zacks Consensus expectations of $0.61 per share. Revenue climbed 5.8% year-over-year to $179.5 billion, topping estimates of $177.4 billion. The company also hiked its 2026 outlook. WMT is heading for its best single-session gain since April 9. The shares are now 18.3% higher in 2025, with support in place at th ...
We Now Know Which Home Improvement Stock Analysts Prefer
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-11-19 15:58
Lowe’s Companies Inc (NYSE:LOW) is up 3.3% to trade at $226.75 today, after the home improvement retailer reported adjusted third-quarter earnings of $3.06 per share on $20.81 billion in revenue, the former of which topped estimates. The company also lowered its full-year guidance, citing home affordability and economic uncertainty as obstacles to overcome.The report was good enough for analysts to blitz sector peer Home Deport (HD) -- fresh off a lackluster post-earnings reaction yesterday -- with 12 price ...
Bull Signal to Watch: Antero Resources Stock
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-10-15 17:57
Core Insights - Antero Resources Inc (NYSE:AR) has experienced a pullback from its three-year peak of $44.02 on June 20, currently trading at $32.13, with support at the $30 level helping to limit losses, while still showing a 17% year-over-year gain [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock is within 3% of its 40-month moving average, having remained above it 80% of the time in the past 20 months, indicating a historically bullish trend [2] - In the past 20 years, similar signals have led to a 100% success rate of the stock being higher one month later, with an average gain of 6.4%, suggesting a potential target price of $34.18 [2] Group 2: Options Market Sentiment - There has been a notable increase in put options, with a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.62, ranking higher than 96% of readings from the past year, indicating a prevailing pessimism in the options market [4] - The current pricing of options is relatively low, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 49% ranking in the low 22nd percentile of its annual range, suggesting low volatility expectations among options traders [5]
RH Stock Eyes 5-Straight Losses Amid Earnings Blunder
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-09-12 14:56
Core Viewpoint - RH's stock is experiencing a decline following a disappointing second-quarter earnings report, leading to a lowered full-year outlook due to a weak housing market and tariffs [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - RH reported earnings per share of $2.93 on revenue of $899.2 million for the second quarter, which missed expectations [1]. - The company has lowered its full-year outlook, attributing this to challenges in the housing market and the impact of tariffs [1]. Group 2: Stock Performance - The stock is down 0.2% to $227.87 and is on track for a fifth consecutive daily loss, contributing to a year-to-date deficit of 41.6% [2]. - Following a significant post-earnings drop of 40.1% in April, the stock is now pulling back from a six-month high reached on September 11 [2]. - The 50-day moving average is currently acting as support for the stock [2]. Group 3: Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have issued downgrades, with at least four firms reducing their price targets, including Stifel, which cut its target from $390 to $320 [2]. - Among the 19 firms covering RH, 10 have a "hold" or worse recommendation [2]. Group 4: Options Activity - The stock has seen increased bearish attention, with a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.09, ranking in the 83rd percentile of its annual range [3]. - There is mixed options activity, with 18,000 calls and 17,000 puts traded, which is eight times the stock's average daily volume [3]. - The most active options contracts are the September 217.50 put and 230 call [3].
Potential Tailwinds Blowing For This Aerospace Stock
Forbes· 2025-08-20 19:50
Core Viewpoint - Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB) has experienced a decline since reaching a record high of $53.44 on July 17, but recent indicators suggest a potential short-term rebound for the stock [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance Indicators - RKLB is currently within 0.75 of the 50-day trendline's 20-day average true range (ATR), having spent at least 80% of the last 10 days and two months above this level [2]. - Historical data shows that similar signals have led to a 67% chance of the stock being higher one month later, with an average gain of 13.9% [2]. - A potential move from the current price of $40.16 to $45.74 would bring it closer to its recent peak [2]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) for RKLB is at 19.98, indicating it is in "oversold" territory, which typically precedes a short-term bounce [5]. - Short interest in RKLB represents 11.3% of the stock's available float, suggesting significant potential for short covering [5]. Group 3: Options Market Sentiment - An increase in pessimism among options traders is noted, with a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 0.98, ranking higher than 98% of readings from the past year [6]. - While call options are still more prevalent, the rate of put trading has increased significantly, indicating a shift in market sentiment [6].
Vistra Stock Could Chart Path Back to Record Highs
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-08-18 19:37
Core Insights - Vistra Corp (NYSE:VST) stock has increased by 0.6% to $198.53, approaching its all-time high of $216.85 from August 5, indicating a potential recovery from a three-day losing streak [1] - The stock is currently supported by the $190 region, and a historically bullish signal suggests that shares may extend their 150.4% gain [1] Technical Analysis - According to Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst, the recent pullback has brought Vistra stock within one standard deviation of its 50-day moving average, with the stock being above this trendline in 8 of the last 10 trading days and spending 80% of the past two months above it [2] - Historical data shows that similar signals over the last three years resulted in a 75% success rate for the stock being higher one month later, averaging an 8% gain, which could push shares back above $213 [3] Options Market Sentiment - At the International Securities Exchange, Cboe Options Exchange, and NASDAQ OMX PHLX, Vistra's 50-day put/call volume ratio of 1.17 is the highest in the past year, indicating potential for a reversal of pessimism [7] - The current options are considered affordable, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 49%, placing it in the 10th percentile of readings from the past year, suggesting it may be a favorable time to invest in VST [7]
Netflix Stock Could Bounce Off Bullish Trendline
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-02-26 17:11
Core Insights - Netflix Inc's shares have experienced a pullback after reaching a record high of $1,064.50 on February 14, but are currently trading at $998.53, showing a 2.3% increase and approaching a bullish trendline [1] - The stock has spent 80% of the past two months above its 50-day moving average, with a historical trend indicating a 67% chance of a one-month gain averaging 5.8% when this signal is triggered [2] - Year-to-date, Netflix's stock has a 12.2% lead and a 66.3% gain over the past 12 months, marking a consistent upward trend since August [3] Market Sentiment - There has been an increase in bearish bets, with a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1, ranking in the 88th percentile of its annual range, indicating a strong preference for puts among traders [4] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for Netflix is at 31%, placing it in the 16th percentile of its annual range, suggesting low volatility expectations which may benefit premium buyers [5]